John James (MI) endorsed by President Trump (vanity,twitter)

twitter ^ | 07/27/2018 | donald trump

[newfreep]

Will Anne Hathaway send him money to overcome her “white privilege”?

[Red Steel]

Next I spoke with a CO political operative and he said the only R on a “tossup” list (I think Hoffman?) is safe.

If it's anyone it's Hoffman than the other 3 CO congressman. And right, Hoffman is likely safe.

[higgmeister]

Does anyone know if he is related to the famous NORAD General?

[taildragger]

"If everything went our way and one of the longshots came in,"

LS....

As you know I am big Kuhner fan out of Boston, so here is my longshot pitch.

Mass centrist / conservatives are outraged.

* A wonderful new dad and veteran was killed by a drunk driver that was an Illegal, real bad dude, perhaps a murder to boot and was let out on bail that was pretty much pocket change, rather than thrown in the pokey before this accident.
* The LEO's that have lost their lives recently again to illegals in MA.
* And now the beautiful hill town of Blanford, MA in Western MA ( near Westfield north of Grandville, yes sort of a get a way area for us young bucks back in the day )the Police Dept resigned in protest because their hardware is all shot and their is no money, the State spends money on crap instead of what is really needed.

People in MA are pissed LS, when does this effect Fokahauntus, Does this open the door even more for Geoff Diehl, Am I Nuts, or am I the only one to see that this is the race along with John James v Stabusnow?

[Jeff Chandler]

Man, I wish Sheriff Joe would bow out. I voted for him every election, but he is past his sell-by date.

[bitt]

LS ping!!

[Kenny]

Thanks, Larry.

[entropy12]

Thanks Larry for so much news from so many states.

[onyx]

The woman running for Issa’s seat in CA49 is not as well funded as her opponent, but is running at +3 while Issa only won with +1.

Diane Harkey is well funded and has GREAT local and state endorsements. She also has a GOOD ground game. San Diego won't get active until well after Labor Day.

I think we’ll lose a couple in PA, but likely get back Conor Lamb’s seat in PA18.

HUH? That goes against everything reported! I sure hope you're right!

[onyx]

JOHN JAMES!
U.S. SENATE (MICHIGAN)

[campaignPete R-CT]

yer spot on.

PS
Dems in CT not expecting any gains

[MarMema]

I can ask. I work in the campaign.

[Songcraft]

Now, that's a BUMP!

[laplata]

It is very encouraging. Thanks for the ping, LS.

[GOPJ]

Thanks for the ping.

[Impy]

Lea Marquez-Peterson, the Tucson Hispanic Chamber of Commerce President (and presumptive GOP nominee as her challengers are weak), is running for MCSALLY’s seat (AZ CD 2), not Sinema’s (remember the district numbers changed). Ann “Like a bad rash” Kirkpatrick is her likely rat opponent.

I am skeptical we can win Sinema’s seat (CD 9) which went big for Hillary. Former Navy Chief Medical Officer Steve Ferrara is the likely Republican. The rat will be Former Phoenix Mayor Greg Stanton, who would be a formidable foe even if the district were more friendly.

There are 2 Republicans running in CD 1 (O’Hallaran after Kirkpatrick left it to challenge McCain), we would have won this seat in 2016 if the our candidate wasn’t that creepy bald Gay sheriff. This is much likelier gain than CD 9 but O’Hallaran is far ahead in terms of money. The late primary is not helping us here.

Regarding PA’s redrawn districts, the bane of this cycle

Open CD-5 is a certain loss, redrawn to very rat

Open CD-6, rat leaning (43% Trump 48% Romney 43% McCain) is also a certain loss because the GOP candidate is weak, the incumbent Costello retiring AFTER the filing deadline, leaving only the weak guy on the GOP ballot, really screwed any chance of keeping this one

CD 14 (old CD 18), with Lambchop not running is a certain GOP takeback

The close races are

CD 1 (Fitzpatrick (R), Hillary by 2%)

CD 7 (Open seat of RINO Dent, Hillary by 1%, the rat has more money)

CD 17 (Rothfus vs. Lamb, Trump by 2.6%, a recent poll showed Lamb with a huge lead, I don’t buy it)

CD 8, Rat Cartwright in a Trump +9 district, this one should be getting more attention, our guy is well funded

New polling for Wisconsin Senate, Leah Vukmir trails the dyke by 14. But Kevin Nicholson only trails by 9. Another state where a late primary is doing us no favors. This is the first poll I’ve seen that showed one of the GOP candidate poll appreciably better than the other.

Poll in Colorado for CD-7 (Coffman), a tie. What’s this about Trump winning “Heavy Dem” districts in Colorado, state legislative districts?

[Impy]

What are our chances in CD-5 (Ruby O’Neill?)? Most rate it “Safe D” but Kos only has it “Lean D”.

The Republican running in CD-2 reports no fundraising, embarrassing after Trump came within 3 points of carrying the district.

[Impy]

Senators have been long absent before, I think Karl Mundt (R-SD) missed most of his final term.

There is no remedy other than the Senate expelling, which is obviously not even being considered, few Republicans even have the balls to say he should resign.

[fieldmarshaldj]

Mundt had a bit more than 3 years left on his term when he suffered his stroke in 1969. He should’ve resigned and had the then-GOP Governor appoint his wife (who was already running the office on her husband’s behalf). Although there was worry at the time that SD was trending Democrat. In 1970, the Dems took the Governorship and both House seats, leaving Mundt as the sole Republican (had there been a special Senate election, the Dems might’ve captured it, too). As it was, the execrable Jim Abourezk took it in 1972.

[SunkenCiv]

Thanks LS.

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