Not to burst anyone’s bubble here, but Predict it had Hillary Clinton by 95% on the afternoon of 11/08/16.
Be careful what you read into it’s markets.
It's not to their advantage to lie about this particular race ...
Jimmy the Greek, the famous odds-maker was interviewed about his Super Bowl picks and was asked about his perfect record except for Super Bowl III when the Jets upset the Colts (this interview was in the era of SB XII). He said it is not my job to say who is going to win. It is my job to even up the betting by establishing a point spread.
Even I would not have put too much money on the Donald on November 8th. But if I was a betting man I would put some sort of a stake on Moore.
It's not to their advantage to lie about this particular race ...
I think it may be very close. If Moore wins, he can thank Gloria Allred for saving him.
Agreed. BUT...given all the negative media Trump was getting for months and months and months before the election (and then going on to win) I would think that the current market on Moore would be predictive given all the negative media he has gotten and Predicit still has him way ahead. The opposite of what they had Trump at.