Posted on 11/07/2017 10:38:40 AM PST by SarahPalin2012
I just voted in SW Virginia. Rural area, goes usually about 58-42 for the good guys (or at least the less-evil guys). More cars than usual for off year elections but no real wait inside. This was about noon. I'd guess that it was half of 2016 (Trump), and about equal to when Cuccinelli lost a very close race without any establishment help in 2013 to McAuliffe. Although the Dems have an edge in VA now, I still think it is very winnable for Republicans. My hope is that we pull out a win in a close election. For those conservatives sitting out because Gillespie is kind of gutless, I know you won't listen but it still needs to be said. You are not helping.
87% of the 1.1 million legal immigrants that enter this country annually are minorities as classified by the USG and that doesn't include the 300,000 anchor babies born to illegal aliens. By 2019 half of the children 18 and under will be minorities.
These demographic changes have electoral consequences. We are seeing them now in VA.
Dunno but NorVa does seem to outnumber SoVa which is why VA ends up so often with some really stupid results like apparently Gillespie’s loss.
Very good night for gop judges in pa. This state is trending red.
Northern Virginia drives all elections in the state, now. There are too many voters up here in this part of the state that vote in super majority percentages for the dems. Arlington and Alexandria routinely vote 80% dem. Last I looked Northam won close to 70% in Fairfax County. Close to 1 out of 3 votes originate in Northern Virginia.
Tidewater is no better than 50/50, add Richmond and that means the rural areas of the state have to make up a huge deficit from the urban areas and there is just not enough people in Scott County, Bath County, etc to make up the difference. Repubs now get 80%+ in these rural counties but there is not enough voters in these small counties.
Today, a blood bath took place at the voting booth and some seem to think that is a good thing. It appears the repubs will lose the House and most all House seats in Northern Virginia - most are now gone for good and will never be won back by Republicans.
They are gone because there aren't enough Republican voters up here anymore. As some celebrate the loss of the House tonight, think about the implications.
New US House seats will now be drawn up with Dem input with a Dem governor and dem state house. The state senate is up for election in 2019 and republicans have only a 2 seat edge. If the pubs lose the state senate in 2019, the pubs will have zero say in how the US House districts are drawn, as well, as state house and senate districts. Republicans will be gerrymandered down to three or four US House seats, as well as gerrymandering the entire state house and senate districts.
The one he ran about Gillespie being a lobbyist and helping to send jobs overseas, I believe was very effective. Because it was true.
I was looking for election results and came across some on CNBC.
They had Larry Sabato on. He said that the GOP’s 64-36 edge in the state House of Delegates was being eroded away to the point they may only have a narrow advantage if they hold the majority.
In 2013 McAuliffe received 1,069,789 votes to Cuccinelli's 1,013,354.
In 2017 Northam received 1,389,691 votes to Gillespie's 1,159,758.
So Northam outperformed McAuliffe by 320,000 votes. And Gillespie outperformed Cuccinelli by about 150,000 votes. And Gillespie exceeded McAuliffe's 2013 vote total as well.
In 2012 Romney received 1,822,522 votes compared to Trump's 1,769,443. So Trump actually received 53,000 less votes than Romney. On the other hand, Hillary received 1,981,473 votes compared to Obama's 1,971,820 in 2012.
The bottom line is that the Dem numbers are increasing faster than the Reps in terms of votes. The fact that Northam increased his vote total over 30% compared to McAuliffe is frightening. VA is now a solid blue state.
Agree; one piece of good news tonite - the conservative Republican running for Chaffetz’ open seat in Utah defeated the well-funded Dem by 60-25 percent. No contest there at least.
It all started going downhill with that lover ad slogan. What does love have to do with it?
WV is supposed to be red on this map.
Again, Trump himself lost in Virginia one year ago by almost a quarter of a million votes. If Trump can't win in Virginia, how can someone that is a Trump mini me win?
Virginia is now a blue state. It is no longer competitive and my guess is that in 2020, Trump won't even campaign in Virginia. Virginia will not be considered a battleground state and attention will be elsewhere. Something to think about.
When you add that the media in Virginia is super liberal, it makes it even harder to overcome. Gillespie lost by about 230,000 votes. Were 50,000 of those illegal ? Possible or more. Those felons who don’t show up to vote, are possible being voted for by someone. If something can be done regarding the 50 maybe 100,000 illegal votes. Virginia can trend back to the to the right.
The problem are all the U.S. Census Department workers who live in NoVa. They can’t count. Wilbur Ross ought to do something.
I agree with Trump. The Gop dummies in Virginia are trying to blame Trump.
Sorry, but the numbers are quite clear. VA is not blue because of illegal alien votes or felons. VA is not going to trend the other way. 13 straight statewide wins make it obvious that VA is now solid blue.
Virginia is a blue state right now. The Gop must still find ways to be competitive. That’s their business, their apologist are already blaming Trump which makes no sense. The Virginia Gop needs new leadership. Whitbeck needs to go.
Something for you to strongly consider, a down ticket Trump agenda supporting candidate did better than “no political pull” Bush GOPe swamp thing candidate.
It may not have made a difference in eventual outcome in Virginia, but it shows the political winds are in Trumps sails, not the GOPe, Rove and “no political pull” Bushes.
This has national implications as it points to the Trump agenda doing better than the GOPe agenda.
Something for you to strongly consider.
Obama lost 1,000 seats for his party and he got the blame and Trump will now get blamed. That is how it works.
It is not so much losing the governor's race - all the polls predicted it, it is the fact that the repubs may lose the state House. There are still 7 races outstanding, but the pubs have lost 13 seats tonight and will lose more when all is said and done - it was a blood bath today at the polls. When voters are energized and want to express their displeasure, their only way is to vote against the president's party - and that is what they did. This will cause the republicans in the US House and Senate to be even more cautious than they are already. Fair or not, Trump will get the blame.
I would love to move out west, but our daughters and their families are in Virginia and Ohio. West Virginia has certainly become much more conservative than back when I grew up there. They even have constitutional carry now. They have come a long way.
I am marking off the months until we can leave the Charlottesville area. It’s a shame because it was a great place until the last 10 years.
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