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Redoing the Electoral Math
New Republic ^ | September 14, 2017 | John B. Judis

Posted on 09/17/2017 7:17:27 AM PDT by BeadCounter

If any force on Earth could be powerful enough to unite the Democratic Party, you’d have thought the words “President Donald Trump” would do the trick. Instead, Hillary Clinton’s defeat last November only served to intensify the split within the party. Nine months in, two warring camps continue to offer seemingly irreconcilable versions of what went awry and how to fix it. On one side, populists like Bernie Sanders and Rust Belt Democrats like Representative Tim Ryan of Ohio argue that the party lost by neglecting working-class voters while catering primarily to “identity politics.” On the other side, an equally vocal contingent makes the opposite case: that the Democrats will blow it in 2018 and 2020 if they take voters of color for granted and focus their energy on wooing the white voters who backed Trump.

Steve Phillips of the Center for American Progress, a leading proponent of the latter view, argues that the Democrats doomed themselves in 2016 with “a strategic error: prioritizing the pursuit of wavering whites over investing in and inspiring African American voters.” In the wake of the election, Phillips wrote in The Nation that “the single greatest force shaping American politics today is the demographic revolution that is transforming the racial composition of the U.S. population.”

(Excerpt) Read more at newrepublic.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: demographics; elections; hillary; minorities; trump
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Babalu Blog (Cuban news): The demographics expert who predicted that Hispanics will always vote Democrat has second thoughts

First found this article per the above blog; so I'm posting the original from the New Republic. New Republic is liberal, Babalu Blog certainly is NOT.

1 posted on 09/17/2017 7:17:27 AM PDT by BeadCounter
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To: BeadCounter

Redoing the Electoral Math
I argued that demographics favored the Democrats. I was wrong.
By John B. Judis
September 14, 2017


To be clear, the author now thinks his demographics projections may not hold up.


2 posted on 09/17/2017 7:19:02 AM PDT by BeadCounter
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To: BeadCounter

“Steve Phillips of the Center for American Progress, a leading proponent of the latter view, argues that the Democrats doomed themselves in 2016 with “a strategic error: prioritizing the pursuit of wavering whites over investing in and inspiring African American voters.””

Yeah, that’s the ticket, spend all your resource on a $hit group of people, who delight in killing each other, that represent 13% of the population. I hope that that’s the strategy they pursue, because with Obola fresh in the white people’s minds, coupled with Trump’s successes, 2018 and 2020 will be GOP blowouts.


3 posted on 09/17/2017 7:23:14 AM PDT by vette6387 (LOCK HER UP! COMEY TOO.)
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To: BeadCounter

The Democrats stand to lose a lot if the minority voters stop voting identity and start voting issues. Even with the Democrats’ constant shrieks of “Racism!”, minorities aren’t stupid—some of them do see the Democrat tactics quite clearly.

On our part, we have only to ask minorities if the Democrats have done anything to improve their situation and convince them to look at issues, not race.


4 posted on 09/17/2017 7:23:59 AM PDT by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org/)
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To: BeadCounter

Well the whites are going to overwhelmingly go for Trump in 2020. This is because the Democrats and liberals in general continue to trash white people and try to make them feel guilty for even being white. White people are fed up with this hate campaign that the Left has launched against them.


5 posted on 09/17/2017 7:24:03 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: BeadCounter

Just so you know who/what Steve Philips is:

http://www.diversityinc.com/steve-phillips/

From his obvious skin color, I think he’s just an apologist for his race.


6 posted on 09/17/2017 7:26:24 AM PDT by vette6387 (LOCK HER UP! COMEY TOO.)
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To: SamAdams76
White people are fed up

You mean their "race card" has expired?

7 posted on 09/17/2017 7:40:04 AM PDT by ASA Vet (Make US Intelligence great again!)
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To: BeadCounter

This author is tacitly admitting the Left has created a monster

They have used divisive racial politics for decades, and now it has gotten out of control. They have empowered the radical #BLM types so much, they are scaring many of the whites out of their own party.


8 posted on 09/17/2017 7:48:14 AM PDT by PGR88
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To: BeadCounter

A winning strategy for Republicans (in the States) would be to stir up the hornets nest by (no specific order):

vigorously advancing Right to Work;

tax code simplification and reduction;

reducing regulations and eliminating fees / licenses just to do business (call it Regulatory Decapture);

no sales tax on non-retail sale of used goods (to complement reducing regulations on garage and estate sales, so they can’t claim that they need to to make sure people are paying sales taxes);

eliminating civil asset forfeiture entirely and only letting the government collect (non-excessive) fines as permitted and defined by statute;

eliminating hate speech laws entirely;

eliminating queer etc from civil rights laws;

eliminating support in laws for genderism;

strengthening castle laws;

constitutional carry everywhere;

clarifying the formation, rights and obligations of impromptu citizen militias during times of public distress (as distinct from individuals just defending their own homes) AND keeping the rules simple;

Advancing Voter ID till the cows come home;

vigorously enforcing immigration laws under the banner that what’s good to the Mexican government to do is good for the people of the United States to do too;

supporting deportation of illegals;

opposing importing of Islam;

punishing theft of social security numbers for any purpose, including for illegals trying to get jobs;

Welfare to work;

Rip out SJW crap from public education;

No multi-lingual education without English proficiency FIRST;

Restore occupational education;

Fail students who don’t show minimum proficiency in English grammar and math;

Ending federal funding and regulation of Public Schools;

Support for home schooling;

and so forth...

You know, all the stuff that would make being Republican truly distinct from being any shade of Democrap....


9 posted on 09/17/2017 7:57:50 AM PDT by Rurudyne (Standup Philosopher)
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To: BeadCounter

After decades of minority voter registration initiatives and motor voter laws, over 70% of registered voters are white.

I strongly suggest the Democrats continue to force them to choose who they will identify and associate with, all the while lecturing them on the fact that white people are the root of all evil in the world.


10 posted on 09/17/2017 8:01:47 AM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: PGR88

“They have empowered the radical #BLM types so much, they are scaring many of the whites out of their own party.”

Very good synopsis.


11 posted on 09/17/2017 8:11:13 AM PDT by enumerated
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To: exDemMom
convince them to look at issues, not race

That would be nice, but Obama threw gasoline on the fire of race-based politics.

12 posted on 09/17/2017 8:22:29 AM PDT by libertylover (Inhabitants of Earth with any freedom probably have the USA to thank.)
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To: BeadCounter
Steve Phillips of the Center for American Progress, a leading proponent of the latter view, argues that the Democrats doomed themselves in 2016 with “a strategic error: prioritizing the pursuit of wavering whites over investing in and inspiring African American voters.”

Steve Phillips is wrong. I didn't see Democrats pursue wavering whites at all.

13 posted on 09/17/2017 8:33:30 AM PDT by FreeReign
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To: exDemMom

Actually, although many African-Americans realize that they have been used, abused and chained into economic slavery by their great leader, Kenyan Son of Black Muslim, Slave and, Sex Traffic Traders of east Africa, Barack Hussein Obama, and. the Congressional Black Caucus/NAACP, cartel of low life Black racists...who only fill their pockets with gold while they pour misery on millions of African-Americans they have successfully and easily deceived with false promises, for many years.

However, the merry-go-round of history is spinning, and, many American Blacks are coming to realize that Obama and company are neither their friends or allies in advancement, freedom, opportunity and equality. Every large city in the USA shouts this tale across their streets and rooftops as Democrat political rule has brought African-Americans little more then meager crumbs on the table of success, the American way.

Hispanic-Americans have learned this lesson already, and that is exactly why POTUS, Donald J. Trump received so many Hispanic-American votes. As African-Americans finally realize, life as a Democrat has no end game of success for them, they will see the light and they will abandon the Democrat Party by the millions and finally become the full body “equal” Americans, they should have become many years ago. SAD!!! Obama was no savior whatsoever!!!


14 posted on 09/17/2017 8:47:32 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX (Defeat both the Republican (e) & Democrat (e) political parties....Forever!!!)
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To: BeadCounter

Recent demographic changes do not include an increase in the relative number of Black citizens.


15 posted on 09/17/2017 9:08:03 AM PDT by who_would_fardels_bear
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To: BeadCounter

Siding with illegal aliens over the citizens and the rule of law is not a winning strategy.


16 posted on 09/17/2017 9:09:23 AM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizen Means Born Here Of Citizen Parents - Know Islam, No Peace -No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: BeadCounter

From Article: “There is no need, in short, for Democrats to choose between appealing to white workers and courting people of color. By making a strong and effective case for economic justice, they can do both at the same time.”

Just WHO does John B. Judis think is paying for the import of ‘new democrats’? I’ll tell you who - The American People - the folks democrats play for fools year after year after year...

Here’s a partial list:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3585376/posts

1. $14 billion to $22 billion dollars are spent each year on welfare to illegal aliens (that’s Billion with a ‘B’)

3. $7.5 billion dollars are spent each year on Medicaid for illegal aliens.

4. $12 billion dollars are spent each year on primary and secondary school education for children here illegally and they still cannot speak a word of English!

5. $27 billion dollars are spent each year for education for the American-born children of illegal aliens, known as anchor babies.

6. $3 Million Dollars ‘PER DAY’ is spent to incarcerate illegal aliens. That’s $1.2 Billion a year.

7. 28% percent of all federal prison inmates are illegal aliens.

8. $190 billion dollars are spent each year on illegal aliens for welfare & social services by the American taxpayers.

9. $200 billion dollars per year in suppressed American wages are caused by the illegal aliens.

10. The illegal aliens in the United States have a crime rate that’s two and a half times that of white non-illegal aliens. In particular, their children, are going to make a huge additional crime problem in t he US.

11. During the year 2005, there were 8 to 10 MILLION illegal aliens that crossed our southern border with as many as 19,500 illegal aliens from other terrorist countries. Over 10,000 of those were middle-eastern terrorists. Millions of pounds of drugs, cocaine, meth, heroin, crack, guns, and marijuana crossed into the U.S. from the southern border.

12. The National Policy Institute, estimates that the total cost of mass deportation would be between $206 and $230 billion, or an average cost of between $41 and $46 billion annually over a five year period.

13. In 2006, illegal aliens sent home $65 BILLION in remittances back to their countries of origin, to their families and friends.

14. The dark side of illegal immigration: Nearly one million sex crimes are committed by illegal immigrants in the United States!

Total cost a whopping $538.3 BILLION DOLLARS A YEAR !


17 posted on 09/17/2017 9:10:04 AM PDT by GOPJ ("$3 Million Dollars 'PER DAY' is spent to incarcerate criminal illegals.That's $1.2 Billion a year.")
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To: vette6387

Not if they break all speed records to pass amnesty while doing nothing for the citizens.


18 posted on 09/17/2017 9:11:14 AM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizen Means Born Here Of Citizen Parents - Know Islam, No Peace -No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: BeadCounter

We can’t buy into the conservative frame that the Democrats are a party of the minorities.”


To the contrary, it’s not a “conservative frame” that Democrats are a party of the minorities.

It’s the Democrats who spout this racist/sexist, deplorable screed, such as Hillary did. It’s the Democrats who pound home how Republicans are racist and bigoted, and that if you fit into some minority group, your political home needs to be in the Democrat party. Republicans don’t pound that theme, it’s the liberals and Democrats who do this.


19 posted on 09/17/2017 9:14:47 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: BeadCounter
...Democrats doomed themselves in 2016 with “a strategic error: prioritizing the pursuit of wavering whites over investing in and inspiring African American voters.”

Well, how is that latter tactic working out for the NFL, NBA, and ESPN? :)

20 posted on 09/17/2017 9:15:19 AM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ([CTRL]-[GALT]-[DELETE])
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