Posted on 09/07/2017 8:09:47 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Irma had a devastating impact on islands in the Caribbean.
Hurricane and Storm surge watches were issued Thursday morning for South Florida. The Florida Keys began evacuating visitors and residents, followed by flood zones in Miami and Miami Beach. Sarasota FL declared a local state of emergency Thursday morning.
Polk County FL Sheriff Grady Judd said Wednesday that law enforcement authorities would check the identities of people who turn up at shelters--and take to jail anyone found to have an active arrest warrant. “If you go to a shelter for Irma and you have a warrant, we’ll gladly escort you to the safe and secure shelter called the Polk County Jail... “If you have a warrant, turn yourself in to the jail — it’s a secure shelter.” Judd also posted that sex offenders and sex predators would not be admitted to the shelters. "We cannot and we will not have innocent children in a shelter with sexual offenders & predators. Period." Judd's statements unleashed a liberal firestorm via Twitter.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Melbourne, FL
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar Jacksonville, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Charleston, SC
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Wilmington, NC, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Morehead City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Norfolk, VA
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Buoy Data NC/SC/GA
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
You picked a bad time to stop drinking.
Valium for everyone!
Thanks for update! My nerves are a tad raggedy:) Job has kept me in middle of plan/prep and it’s been intense. I notice a different tone than in prep for Matthew last year. There’s a sense this is real, it’s happening and our entire state will be affected.
Bastardi is good and often correct. We’ll see, neighbor.
Bkmrk
P.S. Does Bastardi think it’s still picking up steam over the straits and go back to cat5? He mentioned going under 900mb too..
It's only going to get worse!
winds now 165 officially
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 21.3 North, longitude 72.4 West. Irma is moving toward
the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue for the next day or two with a decrease in
forward speed. A turn toward the northwest is expected by late
Saturday. On the forecast track, the eye of Irma should continue to
move westward away from the Turks and Caicos Islands and toward
the southeastern Bahamas overnight. The core of the hurricane will
then move between the north coast of Cuba and the Bahamas during the
next day or two.
Maximum sustained winds are near 165 mph (270 km/h) with higher
gusts. Irma is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely
during the next day or two, but Irma is forecast to remain a
powerful category 4 or 5 hurricane during the next couple of days.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 75 miles (120 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185
miles (295 km).
"Greatest Evacuation In History" - 650,000 Ordered To Leave Florida
"There was no gas and it's gridlock. People are stranded on the sides of the highway," she said.
"It's 92 degrees out and little kids are out on the grass on the side of the road. No one can help them."
Where are 650,000 people going? For days, maybe weeks/months?
Won't Irma just follow all these evacuees north? Where will it catch-up?
And then, here comes Jose?
Will this require National Guard resources from other states.?
Hurricane Irma Discussion Number 36
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
1100 PM EDT Thu Sep 07 2017
Microwave images and data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter aircraft indicate that Irma is developing a concentric
eyewall structure, and the plane reported an elliptical eye. The
highest flight-level and SFMR winds measured by the aircraft were
146 kt and 139 kt, respectively, so the initial intensity is lowered
slightly to 145 kt. Irma’s central pressure has fallen a bit
despite the slight reduction in winds, counterbalanced by an
expansion of the hurricane-force wind field as observed by the
plane.
If Irma has developed concentric eyewalls, then some additional
gradual weakening or fluctuations in intensity are possible over
the next day or two, despite a seemingly favorable atmospheric and
oceanic environment. The intensity models depict a very gradual
decrease in Irma’s maximum winds up until a possible landfall in
Florida, but the hurricane is nonetheless expected to still be at
or near category 4 strength at that time. After landfall, a fairly
quick decay in maximum winds is expected due to land interaction
and increased shear, although Irma’s large wind field is likely to
still produce hurricane-force winds over a large area.
Irma continues to move west-northwestward at 290/14 kt, steered by
the western extent of the subtropical ridge. Irma should maintain
this trajectory but slow down during the next 36 hours, and then
turn north-northwestward toward a break in the ridge by 72 hours.
Although there was a westward shift in the 18Z GFS, this model’s
new track puts it very close to the previous NHC forecast. As
such, no major changes to the NHC track were required on this
forecast through 72 hours, and the projected path lies between the
GFS and ECMWF, closest to the TVCN consensus and HCCA. After 72
hours, the models are showing a more pronounced turn toward the
northwest when Irma interacts with a shortwave diving southeastward
from the Central Plains, and the NHC forecast has been adjusted
accordingly at the end of the forecast period.
Thanks for the update.
Governor Scott orders ALL schools, state colleges, universities and offices to close Friday.
Yes. He is not firm on that but feels it could strenthen. As for the 11 pm update on WFTV...The track has shifted FURTHER WEST. That means Lake county will get 77 mph winds and the storm will be a CAT 2 north of Orlando.
Well, we may get another wobble east but we’re looking at Seminole, Orange and Volusia getting whacked. It’s just so BIG.
Can’t imagine Lake County with those winds.
Tankers are getting police escorts.
Eyewall replacement cycle. Temporary hiccup.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
The VA IN JAX IS OPEN TOMORROW AND SAT AM...PHARMACY ALSO
Fiscal year end doesn’t mean anything more than taking last year’s check register out of your checkbook and inserting a new one.
Bump.
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