Hurricane Irma Live Thread Part II

NHC/NOAA ^ | NHC/NOAA | NHC/NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Irma had a devastating impact on islands in the Caribbean.

Hurricane and Storm surge watches were issued Thursday morning for South Florida. The Florida Keys began evacuating visitors and residents, followed by flood zones in Miami and Miami Beach. Sarasota FL declared a local state of emergency Thursday morning.

Polk County FL Sheriff Grady Judd said Wednesday that law enforcement authorities would check the identities of people who turn up at shelters--and take to jail anyone found to have an active arrest warrant. “If you go to a shelter for Irma and you have a warrant, we’ll gladly escort you to the safe and secure shelter called the Polk County Jail... “If you have a warrant, turn yourself in to the jail — it’s a secure shelter.” Judd also posted that sex offenders and sex predators would not be admitted to the shelters. "We cannot and we will not have innocent children in a shelter with sexual offenders & predators. Period." Judd's statements unleashed a liberal firestorm via Twitter.

Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions

NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Melbourne, FL
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar Jacksonville, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Charleston, SC
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Wilmington, NC, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Morehead City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Norfolk, VA
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Buoy Data NC/SC/GA

Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki

Hurricane Irma Live Thread I

[dfwgator]

I don’t like that at all.

[Revel]

Yes it is a model “Projection” and it is almost 42 hours from now. Of course it is subject to change. Its just a prediction based on a mathematical model(a very complex formula). Current weather information is input, and the model runs. Unfortunately as we have seen again and again- It is subject to some error. Usually it gets closer to nailing the actual path the closer it gets to real time.

[Paul R.]

Lots of development to NW, nearing SE FL....

[caww]

Thanks....You can add this one too.....

Live from inside EVACUATION ZONE - BROWARD COUNTY EAST OF 1, Miami Condo...... This stream will be live 24/7 .....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QbevnNw0ayI

[dirtboy]

Seriously?

[justa-hairyape]

Cuba Story The category five storm made landfall on the Camaguey Archipelago, off the north-eastern coast.

[dirtboy]

People have to realize. The 1935 Labor Day hurricane, the most intense landfall in US history, went from a Cat 1 to a Cat 5 in the waters that Irma is forecast to cross at close to the same time in September. And Irma is already a Cat 5 before crossing those waters.

[justa-hairyape]

Yeah the front running through Gainesville and up to Georgia. Moving SW. To NE. No info on water vapor quadrants for Irma.

[untwist]

I am in Boca Raton less than 3 miles inland and we are already feeling a little kick in the gusts in the last 30 minutes from that last bump north as it rakes Cuba’s coast. I can’t imagine being in the Keys right now

[caww]

Still looks like the eye bounced off the coastline...graphic stops too soon to determine how long it hit the shoreline...at any rate cuba’s going to have some damage after a cat 5 this size engulfed, bounce or not.

[Bodleian_Girl]

Thank you.

[justa-hairyape]

Definitely got a little bounce off Cuba. Understandable due to added friction or slowdown in Western Quadrant.

[dfwgator]

The good news is that the area of Cuba getting hit is sparsely populated.

[mdmathis6]

I have a bad feeling as that stationary front seems to be pushingthe hurricaine more south and west like into the gulf west....New Orleans could be in for a surprise...

[Bodleian_Girl]

What does that portend?

[caww]

Now boys.....weather-lady here reminding you to play nice....you sound like two school kids in a playground match pulling underwear over each others shoulders...LOLOLlolol...

[nutmeg]

Thank you for that update on Jose and Bermuda! Hope Jose heads east out to sea...

[untwist]

Simply horrifying scenario. I say that as one who was at ground zero 24 hours ago and now am gradually moving outside the cone. Thank you for a very sober and real analysis of what is going on. Ignore the idiots saying stupid things on this thread. You obviously know what you are talking about

[Paul R.]

Somewhere I read that 5.6 million people have evacuated? Seems hard to believe, and yet...

[caww]

Yes...but even that photo was BEFORE Irma hit....there’s nothing, after looking again.....other than people saying it hit.....communication and power went out early.