Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse
While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.
Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.
FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
Noaa stuff as well here is a clip:
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24 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:
Recon reports don't support that right now. ADT estimates are up to 140kts which is ~160MPH.
LOL, NHC begs to differ.
ZCZC MIATCUAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Hurricane Irma Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 745 AM AST Tue Sep 05 2017
...HURRICANE IRMA BECOMES A CATEGORY 5 ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE...
NOAA and Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft data indicate Hurricane
Irma has intensified into an extremely dangerous Category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale with maximumwinds of 175 mph (280 km/h) with higher gusts. A special advisory
will be issued at 800 AM AST (1200 UTC) in lieu of the scheduled
intermediate advisory for Irma.
We are at the point in the keys where we ask local business men to hold back a few cases for us....
She
175 MPH winds now. Hope you guys get out; the Keys sounds like a really dangerous place to be.
Come up here to the Midwest for a vacation; very nice here now!
Maddening knowing that you have to evacuate, and don’t have a clue which direction to go? I feel your pain while juggling options between home on the west coast, and elderly mother on the east coast.
Am thinking that Irma is no longer breaking news. Just a hunch!
Thanks for that graphic link. It’s a good one.
All appreciated but NN is our “go to” person and we’ve been with her here for many, many years at FR.
Yeah we do need to go no question.
Actually for us I am guessing the best place to be would be South Dade. That gives us quick reentry and basically out of the worst of the worst. Don’t know if I can talk my kids into it or not.
Interesting destination. Homestead area?
(image loop - the islands show up toward the end - I believe this will update.)
Just returned from Publix in East Lake (Pinellas County) area. We got there at 7 when it opened and there was some water. When we left at 8 there was hardly any left on the shelves.
Lots of management types around the bread and peanut butter aisles pretty much saying they expected those areas to be cleaned out by tonight.
Key West is gonna get hammered. There is a FReeper down there who used to post on the Florida hurricane threads.
Don’t recall the name, something with “bee” in it? Woman IIRC. Hope she is taking precautions.
Elle Bee is his name. Haven’t heard from him in awhile. Maybe he will check in. Always offers excellent Key West info and great stories.
Just returned from Publix in East Lake (Pinellas County) area. We got there at 7 when it opened and there was some water. When we left at 8 there was hardly any left on the shelves.
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I have lived in south Florida my whole life, and this will be the first time I’ll be getting the heck out of dodge.
I haven’t prepared for anything, except to leave. We loaded up on extra gas, and that’s it.
No way I’m I staying for a direct hit of a a category 5
One model has the storm coming up through GA and into SC between Greenville and Columbia. I am just west of Columbia and have never had to evacuate. I would not make the trek to Greenville when Columbia will do. If the storm does go up between Greenville and Columbia, it's an either/or situation. We should have high winds and a lot of rain but not the flooding you would expect in Bluffton. Freepmail me if you want to "talk".
That’s the name, thanks.
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