Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse
While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.
Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.
FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
Not the GFS (Takes storm east) which is why the NHC is not taking that model as serious as others but other outlets are. Local news is just showing the storm using GFS which could be correct, but not. Shows storm going east of Florida all together.
This is a large, very dangerous storm.
I won't comment.
Which I have explained too, but this is the actual tv media doing this wishcasting and just focusing on GFS.
We are on the road couldn’t take the chance on the tracking it’s just too bad any idea if it’s still going to hit the keys or not
Hmmm that’s unusual, because usually meteorologists and local news like to focus on the scare tactic. They like to keep people watching and they don’t get viewers by saying all this is not going to be a big deal just a little wind. Usually they take the path most scary vs wish casting.
Stopping by to say “hi”! It’s so good to see you, Jane.
Glad you made it through Harvey!
Hope that happens!
gas is super-tight.
we found some in Florida City at one station and then again marker 101 on I 95 but you had to get off the exit and go about a mile it’s pretty tight
WUnderground deteriorated quickly under IBM ownership. IBM is apparently more interested in harvesting the datapoints than in providing the service.
Good choice! Safe travels. How is traffic?
I’m getting my info from a family member who is a NOAA meteorologist. He was at the hurricaine center in Miami for Andrew. Of course he’s following NOAA with forwarding info from his friends at the hurricaine centers.
My point is NOAA cones are not exaggerating.
Definitely too close to call for the Keys at this point. You made the right decision to get out. Current NHC track takes Irma over upper Keys. All of FL peninsula ramains in the cone of doom.
Very valuable info about gas station availability—thank you!
Thanks to both of you, and great info for the thread on rollo’s post #1959.
I would recommend switching local tv stations. If they are all doing the same, then turn them off.
I refuse to click their site solely due to that despicable name.
/.02
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