Posted on 09/04/2017 2:02:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse
While thoughts and prayers are with our Texas FRiends and neighbors, we are at the peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season. Hurricane Irma continues its trek from Cape Verde across the pond and toward the Hebert Box (see below). People with interests in the Southeastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico should be alert to the forecast path updates for this powerful storm. It is important to note that the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively.
Hurricane Irma originally had a small wind field. In the past 24 hours, however, the wind field has expanded with hurriance force winds up to 40 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds up to 140 miles from the storm center.
FL Governor Rick Scott reminds Floridians: Families should take time today to make sure you have a disaster plan and fully-stocked Disaster Supply Kit. Florida residents from West Palm Beach to Tampa Bay are heeding the alert. Store shelves are emptying of bottled water.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar San Juan, Puerto Rico
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
Honestly, I don’t see how Jose can follow Irma’s track and reach any major intensity, given how much energy Irma has sucked out of the ocean with her path.
I wonder if we’re ever going to be able to get an accurate death toll for this storm.
I cannot fathom how bad the islands are going to be hit.
“———given how much energy Irma has sucked out of the ocean with her path.”
—
I am NOT beings nasty here-——can a storm really suck energy out of the ocean?
.
Yes, it can. A hurricane draws energy from the ocean waters. It tends to also pull up cooler water with its passage. It is well documented that any storm that closely follows an intense storm will have less fuel to work with until it gets away from that storm’s track.
Go East, Irma—right out into the Atlantic.
Looks like a direct hit on Barbuda.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/11L/imagery/vis-animated.gif
Most of them stayed (less than 300 residents). I can’t fathom the devastation.
Is your family prepped? Remind them to be. Canned goods with a manual can opener. Fill every water jug and put a lid on them. Stuff water bottles in the freezer like yesterday so when they lose power, the extra ice will help keep things cold. Bring the bbq grill/charcoal inside so it doesn’t blow away and once the weather is past they have a means to cook. Please, bring in the pets and do NOT leave them out or tied to a tree. Make sure the furbabies have food and water.
Have food they can eat without cooking. Canned goods don’t need heated. Tuna can be eaten straight from the can. Give the furbabies the drained liquid - don’t waste it. If they have time, cook/bake foods to grab which don’t need refrigeration - cookies, cake, bread, cornbread, a cooked roast will last a day in a closed fridge without power.
Wash the dishes and laundry before power goes out. Wash themselves. Fill cleaned bathtub with water.
Don’t take shelter in the attic in rising water unless they have a means to hack their way out.
Charge every battery they can find NOW including their computers and phones and any batteries in flashlights, clocks and radios.
Organize their preps now so they don’t have to hunt for items in the dark.
Make copies of their important papers like BC, health and house insurance, etc. Write down important phone numbers in case something happens to their cell phones.
Make room in the garage for the vehicles. Face it, 99% of that stuff in the garage is junk whereas vehicles are expensive, needed and can be their lifelines. It would be wise to pre-pack vehicles with extra clothing and foods if they need to get out quick.
Make a disc of the family photo album and move both to separate safe areas.
Anyone up for a trip to Disney?
Heat. That's where it starts.
Add a bit of movement (that had origniated from heat, and rotation of the planet, and tug of the moon, and everything and anything that can make something else -like, air- move), then keep stirring in more heat = more movement. Keep traveling over yet more water (with heat) pulling that energy up with the moisture.
= wind energy.
Gotta' admit. 185 winds are a lot of "energy".
Roughly speaking here. I'm just an amateur.
“It tends to also pull up cooler water with its passage,”
That one sentence clarifies it better for me——thanks.
.
The Weather Channel is still all over the map with their possible tracks.
I was in a microburst once and it looked just like that... moderate gusts at first making the trees sway ...then all the sudden the trees laid over flat, as if on command, and instead of just tree branches flying... it was privacy fencing.
Good list—thanks for the useful post.
This guy on ABS is nuts!
Thanks for the info——and Neil Young-——that takes me back.
.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
