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We only have a 5 percent chance of avoiding ‘dangerous’ global warming, a study finds
Washington Post (Amazon) ^ | July 31, 2017 | by Chris Mooney

Posted on 07/31/2017 10:18:19 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer

In recent years, it has become increasingly common to frame the climate change problem as a kind of countdown — each year we emit more carbon dioxide, narrowing the window for fixing the problem, but not quite closing it.

This outlook has allowed for climate optimism, in which big changes, someday soon, will make the difference. Christiana Figureres, the former head of the UN's Framework Convention on Climate Change, recently joined with climate scientists and policy wonks to state there are 3 years left to get emissions moving sharply downward.

Yet a battery of recent studies call into question even that limited optimism. Last week, a group of climate researchers published research suggesting the climate has been warming for longer than we thought due to human influences.

The logic is clear: If the Earth has already warmed more than we thought due to human activities, then there’s even less remaining carbon dioxide that we can emit and still avoid 2 degrees of warming.

“There is a lot of uncertainty about the future, our analysis does reflect that, but it also does reflect that the more optimistic scenarios that have been used in targets seem quite unlikely to occur,” said statistician Adrian Wankery of the University of Washington, Seattle.

The upshot of all the latest research is that while limiting warming to 2 degrees is seeming unlikely. And who knows whether in thirty years, negative emissions may appear much more feasible than they do now, providing the option of cooling the planet back down again at some point.

In sum, climate pessimism has indeed had a strong run lately — but you have to keep in context. It’s pessimism that we’ll hit our current goals. It’s not fatalism, or the idea that we’ll accomplish nothing, or that present momentum doesn’t matter.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: climatechangefraud; climatechangelies; fakescience; globalism; globalwarming; hoax; socialism
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

The Bible confirms there is a 100% chance God is going to destroy the earth in it’s present form and remake into the perfect kingdom for Him and His people.

There is nothing no liberal can do to stop Him either.


21 posted on 07/31/2017 10:43:05 AM PDT by Angels27
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
there are 3 years left to get emissions moving sharply downward.

1. This is false precision, like stating that the distance between NYC and LA is 2973 miles, 483 yards, 27 and 3/4 inches. Weather phenomena are too complex to measure, let alone predict, with such precision.

Ironically, a lot of people who promote this propaganda will also say they believe in the butterfly effect, pursuant to which supposedly the air currents stirred by the flap of a butterfly's wings over the Amazon can cause a hurricane in the northern hemisphere months later.

2. If there really are only three years left, then climate disaster is a done deal. Enormous reductions in "greenhouse gas" emissions would have to start today, and as a practical matter are simply not going to take place. We may as well imitate Slim Pickens in his last scene in Dr. Strangelove.

3. Climate alarmists have squandered their credibility with absurd predictions over the past 20 years.

4. Anthropogenic global warming is a fraud and a hoax. It's all about confiscation and redistribution of the fruits of those who labor.

22 posted on 07/31/2017 10:47:06 AM PDT by T Ruth (Mohammedanism shall be defeated.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

I thought the “time to act and steal everybody’s income” had come and gone?

What is this extended area of action they speak of?

You need more time to rob from me and save your pathetic excuse of life?

Nah. It’s over. Go harp on global cooling or revive the rain forest bullshit again.


23 posted on 07/31/2017 10:51:38 AM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: winner3000

I think that the real scientists that are using their brains know that CO2 is not the problem. Teaching young minds something different nowadays won’t solve the supposed “problem”,it will just enrich somebody’s retirement plans.


24 posted on 07/31/2017 10:54:43 AM PDT by oldtech
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Of course that was meant for the Post and Chris Moonbeam.


25 posted on 07/31/2017 10:58:04 AM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
That's funny, who would'a thunk climate change has a correlation to the finish used on the wood of weather stations. Not sure what is cause and effect.... let's see, oh yeah, that's the ticket: In addition to all the other things it does, climate change is causing weather stations to be painted with latex paint instead of whitewash.


26 posted on 07/31/2017 11:04:17 AM PDT by C210N (It is easier to fool the people than convince them that they have been fooled)
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To: C210N
"MMTS" is the temperature gauge used for reporting....


27 posted on 07/31/2017 11:13:45 AM PDT by C210N (It is easier to fool the people than convince them that they have been fooled)
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To: C210N

I used to maintain one of those in AZ.

Specifications are VERY exacting.


28 posted on 07/31/2017 11:17:18 AM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Never tell me the odds.


29 posted on 07/31/2017 11:19:30 AM PDT by Ted Grant
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Waitaminut! They said only a 10% chance in the other thread!


30 posted on 07/31/2017 11:22:13 AM PDT by CodeToad (AA)
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To: Mr. K

Did we ever hear the last Vegas odds before the election?


31 posted on 07/31/2017 11:30:08 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

If we only have a 5% chance to avoid dangerous global warming, I guess I can enjoy the rest of my life...I’m going to buy a 250 foot yacht at $500 a month for the next 40 years...I might as well warm the globe, if I’m going to die...


32 posted on 07/31/2017 12:15:41 PM PDT by Deplorable American1776 (Proud to be a DeplorableAmerican with a Deplorable Family...even the dog is DEPLORABLE :-))
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

And a 99% chance of torrential bull chit with scattered horse puckey!


33 posted on 07/31/2017 12:22:58 PM PDT by TigersEye (TTKTA)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Plant some plants. They can’t survive without CO2. They love it. Plus they’re green. No really, plant are green, no pun intended.

Bonus: CO2 is heavier than air. Otherwise the plants would starve. Ergo, there is no such thing as “excess” CO2.


34 posted on 07/31/2017 12:26:30 PM PDT by 3boysdad (The very elect.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

“Global Warming - Climate Change” world biggest hoax and scam.
Just like Obama causing Global Flooding by pissing in the ocean.
That much can humans contribute.
Elaborate scam to screw off taxpayers off their money!

Earth climate and changes are dependent on Sun’s and Sunspots activity supplying 99.99% of energy. Humans can do schit about it.
Volcano eruptions can produce much more distractions to climate than all humans and SUVs farting together.
CO2 is not poison, it is “food” for plants, which in turn produce Oxygen, that we need to breathe.
STOP the scam, jail all the scammers!!!
God bless and protect Mr. Trump!
MAGA!!!!


35 posted on 07/31/2017 12:26:33 PM PDT by Leo Carpathian (FReeeeepeesssssed)
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To: Lurkinanloomin

OPMG, the Sky is Falling! AGAIN


36 posted on 07/31/2017 5:14:14 PM PDT by jayrunner
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