Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Did The Polls Get The Handel/Ossoff Race Wrong?
Hotair ^ | 06/21/2017 | AllahPundit

Posted on 06/21/2017 2:15:52 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-63 next last
To: SeekAndFind

Pollsters lie and exaggrate. People talking to pollsters lie and exaggerate. The sample audiences pollsters tap are often skewed and dont genuinely representative of how the population demographics are really going to vote.


21 posted on 06/21/2017 2:31:46 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man ( Gone Galt; Not averse to Going Bronson.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: samtheman
No, they just didn’t get them right. AGAIN!!
22 posted on 06/21/2017 2:32:04 PM PDT by Road Warrior ‘04 (Molon Labe! (Oathkeeper))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: gov_bean_ counter

Bingo you asked te right question and the answer is the pollsters are trying to drive the polling info to lie to the public to suit their leftist agenda.


23 posted on 06/21/2017 2:34:28 PM PDT by Blue Highway (Q)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Pollsters should be given specific instructions NOT to watch CNN.


24 posted on 06/21/2017 2:35:05 PM PDT by rovenstinez
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: boycott

right and it actually worked. Had the polling been accurate the final result would have been a bigger defeat of Assoff


25 posted on 06/21/2017 2:36:25 PM PDT by Blue Highway (Q)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Galactic Overlord-In-Chief

The late polls had it tied, my average had Handel up 0.4%, her victory margin was within the margin of error for that.

A couple weeks ago all the polls showed Jagoff up 2 or 3 points. Those +7 polls were obviously outliers.


26 posted on 06/21/2017 2:36:52 PM PDT by Impy (End the kritarchy!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

The unemployed leftist millennials who live in their conservative parent’s basements were locked down there on election day and thus kept from voting for their social democrat candidate.


27 posted on 06/21/2017 2:39:38 PM PDT by GreyFriar (Spearhead - 3rd Armored Division 75-78 & 83-87)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Or was it a case of the pollsters knew what the real numbers were and had to un-fudge them near the end so the sheep wouldn’t realize the game? “Oh look, she is rising at the end” instead of “we have been lying to you all along, but are now telling the truth so you don’t realize it was a lie.”


28 posted on 06/21/2017 2:39:40 PM PDT by T. P. Pole
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I’ve never bought the idea of sudden shifts in polling at the last minute. Sample size, weighting, and noise makes all polls suspect. Actually, the best approach may be to sample the same people over and over to watch for shifts in the numbers. I think one of the polling outfits did that in 2016 and they were one of the few that predicted a Trump win.


29 posted on 06/21/2017 2:41:12 PM PDT by Flick Lives
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Road Warrior ‘04

:)


30 posted on 06/21/2017 2:41:56 PM PDT by samtheman (FAIL = FAIL Always Involves Liberalism)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: Blue Highway

They try and create a sense of inevitability around their candidate to try and supress voter turnout for the other side.


31 posted on 06/21/2017 2:44:55 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (I held my nose, voted for Trump, then took a shower. All to defeat evil.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: ladyjane

I’ve been voting Tepublican longer than most people have been alive and I’ve never been called and asked which candidate I’m voting for.


32 posted on 06/21/2017 2:44:56 PM PDT by luvbach1 (I hope Trump runs roughshod over the inevitable obstuctionists, Dems, progs, libs, or RINOs!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Vlad The Inhaler
The liberals have a theory: that the suburban collar counties in Southern cities like Atlanta, Charlotte, Dallas, and Houston are about to go from red to purple, based on demographics of increased settlement of Northeasterners, Californians, and Asian-Americans into places like Gwinnett County, Georgia, or Collin County, Texas. They saw narrowing margins for Trump vs. Clinton in such counties in 2016, as opposed to Romney vs. Obama in 2012 or McCain vs. Obama in 2008. The same trend occurred in the 1990s and 2000s in the suburbs of the Northeastern megalopolis, Los Angeles, and Chicago and the liberals saw the possibility of a like outcome in the Southern suburban counties. Plus the depth of the Trump hatred among the Left caused them to sink something like $50 million into the Georgia congressional race. They failed because they failed to account for the Never Trump voters returning to the reservation. Don't forget the Libertarian candidates polled 3-6% in these counties, well above their usual 1% or less.

Their optimistic assumption and their blind never Trumpism caused them to fail, big time. Nice outcome for the good guys.

33 posted on 06/21/2017 2:45:39 PM PDT by Wallace T.
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I love that graph. There is genuine stupidity on display there.


34 posted on 06/21/2017 2:46:45 PM PDT by so_real ( "The Congress of the United States recommends and approves the Holy Bible for use in all schools.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

The MSM seems to be getting very good at gagging and swallowing lately...


35 posted on 06/21/2017 2:46:49 PM PDT by SteveH
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: luvbach1

I’ve never been called, but I did have one pollster knock on my door in October...

He asked who I was voting for and I told him it wasn’t any of his business...

His reply: “Oh, I take it you’re a Trump supporter...”

My comment: “I told you it was none of your business...Now, go...”

He left....


36 posted on 06/21/2017 2:47:36 PM PDT by JBW1949 (I'm really PC....PATRIOTICALLY CORRECT!!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

This is a post from confessed #nevertrumper Allahpundit. This douche was damned gleeful when the polls had Ossoff up by 7. Now is he just trying to find a way to shift blame.


37 posted on 06/21/2017 2:50:13 PM PDT by guido911 (all)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I’m in this district. We got polling calls at least 5x a day. This is not an exaggeration. I hung up every single tine. These were obvious push polls and I refused to participate. I don’t think I was the only one. The Dems were very excited to participate in any poll they could so they could vent their frustrations.

Polls were not representative of the district


38 posted on 06/21/2017 2:50:47 PM PDT by Republican Red
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

They put out bogus polls hoping for the heard mentality to kick in. When it’s obvious it’s not going to work they try to get a more accurate poll out at the very end to save their reputation.


39 posted on 06/21/2017 2:53:34 PM PDT by Terry Mross (Liver spots And blood thinners.,)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
Propaganda, fake news, fake polls specifically created for the duplicitious purpose of manipulating the election results and surpressing voter turnout.

Didn't work because the public at large, especially conservatives no longer believe ANYTHING being reported by the MSM "ministry of truth": CNN, ABC, seeBS, NBC, the Washington Poo, the NY Slimes or the Atlanta Urinal, etc... .

40 posted on 06/21/2017 3:00:15 PM PDT by Jmouse007 (Lord God Almighty, deliver us from this evil in the name of our Lord and Savior Jesus Christ, amen.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-63 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson