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Nate Silver Makes Prediction During Super Bowl (OOPS!)
Five Thirty Eight ^

Posted on 02/06/2017 6:43:57 AM PST by TigerClaws

That Patriots drive took another 5:07 off the clock and actually dropped their win probability from 1.1% to 0.5%: http://53eig.ht/2kc0q5e


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
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Obama's "expert" fails again.
1 posted on 02/06/2017 6:43:57 AM PST by TigerClaws
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To: TigerClaws

hahaha


2 posted on 02/06/2017 6:45:05 AM PST by CatQuilt (Lover of cats =^..^= and quilts)
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To: TigerClaws

3 posted on 02/06/2017 6:46:07 AM PST by TigerClaws
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To: TigerClaws

Maybe Nate Silver should be cleaning his closet instead of making all these erroneous predictions. He keeps shooting himself in the foot.


4 posted on 02/06/2017 6:46:09 AM PST by txrefugee
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To: TigerClaws

5 posted on 02/06/2017 6:47:04 AM PST by TigerClaws
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To: TigerClaws

Between this and Hillary Clonton’s ninety-however many percent chance of winning the election, Nate Silver doesn’t appear to be having a very good year.


6 posted on 02/06/2017 6:47:47 AM PST by VideoPaul
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To: TigerClaws

heh heh

Since going to the 16-game schedule, the NFL has played more than 20,000 games. That one-half of one percent leads one to expect over 100 of those games with such an improbable outcome.


7 posted on 02/06/2017 6:54:43 AM PST by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: TigerClaws

Ha-ha-ha! X 1000000000000^9


8 posted on 02/06/2017 6:58:59 AM PST by Red Badger (If "Majority Rule" was so important in South Africa, why isn't it that way here?.......)
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To: Red Badger; All

Some more entertaining comments here:

http://www.breitbart.com/big-journalism/2017/02/05/super-bowl-media-fail-god-election-night/

What a great game!


9 posted on 02/06/2017 7:00:36 AM PST by TigerClaws
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To: jjotto
Since going to the 16-game schedule, the NFL has played more than 20,000 games. That one-half of one percent leads one to expect over 100 of those games with such an improbable outcome.

Only 50 previous Super Bowls, though. Also note that lots of those games are either games between division winners vs. division patsies, and others are end of year play out the string kind of games.

The Falcons had the talent to go toe to toe with the Patriots, buit the defense collectively fell apart in the fourth quarter. Quinn may have gone into a run the clock out prevent in the late third, DON'T TRY THAT against Belichik. RUN UP THE SCORE if you can.
10 posted on 02/06/2017 7:08:21 AM PST by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics.)
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To: TigerClaws

Did anybody find out who that guy was with the #12 jersey in the first half?


11 posted on 02/06/2017 7:11:52 AM PST by budj (beam me up, scotty...)
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To: TigerClaws

Granted, the New England Patriots did win the Super Bowl but the Falcons scored more points during the regular season. We can’t forget that. We can’t consider this Patriots win a mandate in any shape or form....


12 posted on 02/06/2017 7:13:18 AM PST by Old Teufel Hunden
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To: TigerClaws

Silver generally goes where probability and historical experience tell him.

Unfortunately for him, numbers and historical experience are only part of the equation. In sports, like in politics and war, human emotion, random chance, and other intangible, un-quantifiable factors occur in reality. However it is impossible to factor them into any algorithm.


13 posted on 02/06/2017 7:15:32 AM PST by drop 50 and fire for effect ("Work relentlessly, accomplish much, remain in the background, and be more than you seem.)
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To: txrefugee

But the Falcons won the popular vote!


14 posted on 02/06/2017 7:16:23 AM PST by sarasota
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To: TigerClaws

Natie Silver a fake “expert” and Shaun King fake Negro make fake statements about a fake outcome of a real game what could go wrong?


15 posted on 02/06/2017 7:16:43 AM PST by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: TigerClaws

As much as I like to see Nate Silver squirm, there is nothing inaccurate as to what he posted. Those truly were the Falcons’ chance of winning at that time in the game. Now the election is a different story. All predictions relied on false and misleading polls.(Garbage in and Garbage out) The Super Bowl percentages, however, relied on actual real-time data.


16 posted on 02/06/2017 7:16:48 AM PST by tosh
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To: VideoPaul

and the Cubs prediction?


17 posted on 02/06/2017 7:18:55 AM PST by 4rcane
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To: jmaroneps37

Don’t forget our fake indian warren.


18 posted on 02/06/2017 7:19:39 AM PST by ImJustAnotherOkie
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To: TigerClaws

Nate’s popular website FiveThirthEight needs some more numbers crunching. Nate’s correct prediction stats are going down the tubes fast.


19 posted on 02/06/2017 7:24:04 AM PST by ImNotLying (The Constitution is an instrument for the people to restrain the government...Patrick Henry)
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To: tosh

Nate went to work at ESPN and was fired because he was so bad. No one was giving him the fixed numbers and thus the viewers saw the true Nate Silver. Which is horribly wrong. This is because he lets his politics trump his numbers.

I’m convinced someone gave Nate Silver the fixed election numbers in 2008 and 2012. This is also why Nate Silver refuses to share his method while others will.

Nate Silver is a FRAUD and a FAKE. Hence, why he was so wrong in 2016 and now the Super Bowl.


20 posted on 02/06/2017 7:30:30 AM PST by Enlightened1
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