The Kos Swine did Texas
Clinton captured 3 GOP districts, you won’t be surprised by which 3.
The only real swing district in the state, Will Hurd’s 23rd had her make a slight gain and win
Clinton/Trump/Obama/Romney
49.8 46.4 48.1 50.7
I figured she would win that district and was afraid Hurd would lose but he held on 48-47. So we lost it in 2012 when Romney carried it but hold it despite Trump losing it.
The others were the 7th in the Houston burbs, and part of the city itself, the seat has been trending the wrong way and seen GOP margins decline, as I recall. This was HW Bush’s district.
48.5 47.1 38.6 59.9
John Culberson won reelection 56-44. His narrowest margin, his next closest was winning 55.9 to 42.4 in 2008.
And finally the 32nd in the Dallas burbs
48.5 46.6 41.5 57.0
Pete Sessions did not have a rat opponent and won over 70% against a Libertarian and a Green.
As you’ve pointed out, twas upper class Whites and not Hispanics that swung Texas toward Clinton.
Several other districts narrowed, Clinton’s next best GOP district was the 24th (next door to the 32nd) which she lost by 6
44.5 50.7 38.0 60.4
Incumbent Kenny Marchant won 56-39.
I was afraid of a decline in the 12th district (Fort Worth and environs) but it wasn’t major, the rattiest part of Fort Worth is in the 33rd and the 12th’s large other territory swung towards Trump.
I went to the page to look:
Some of those swings are crazy (re: TX). How on earth could the execrable Willard, a fake ringer, have that much appeal in TX in those districts while Trump bled off somewhere of 1/5th from him ? It simply doesn’t make sense. I can understand some upscale Whites going squishy, but you’d think a REAL candidate would engender an increase.
I mean, here in TN, Trump declined in only 1 GOP district out of 7 (Knoxville-area 2nd) by 2%, but even Hillary dropped by 1%. TX had a Trump increase only in the 1st and 4th districts and a decline in 33 other districts, both Dem and GOP ?! Either Kos made a big boo-boo or TX is starting to go down a very dark path.