Posted on 11/07/2016 5:55:13 PM PST by Alter Kaker
These Breitbart/Gravis five swing state polls show a nation in flux as America’s 2016 presidential election ends Tuesday night.
Virginia
Democrat Hillary Clinton leads her GOP rival Donald Trump with 47 percent to 42 percent for the New York City developer in the battle for Virginia’s 13 electoral votes, according to the Breitbart/Gravis poll conducted Nov. 1 through Nov. 4 with 1,362 registered voters there.
The poll carries a 2.7 margin of error with a 95 percent level of confidence.
Libertarian Gary Johnson has the support of four percent of the poll participants with Green Party nominee the choice of one percent.
The voters have similar feelings for the two major candidates, 34 percent had a strongly favorable opinion of Clinton and 26 percent had a strongly favorable opinion of Trump. Forty-six percent had a strongly unfavorable opinion of Clinton with 48 percent for Trump.
Fifty-five percent said the country was going in the wrong direction to the 36 percent of Virginia voters who said the country was going in the right direction.
Fifty-five percent said that President Barack Obama‘s healthcare reform, Obamacare, was a success, 42 percent said it was not.
Fifty-three percent of Virginia voters said they wanted the next president to change the polices of the Obama administration, 42 percent said those policies should continue.
Republican Mitt Romney lost Virginia to Obama in the 2012 presidential election with 47 percent of the vote to the president’s 51 percent.
The Virginia poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a Florida-based polling company, with a combination of interactive voice response polling and an internet panel of cell phone users. Results were weighted to match a proprietary turnout model.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
NM Clinton +8
Virginia/Michigan Clinton +5
Nevada Clinton +2
Florida Clinton +1
North Carolina HRC +1
Breitbart’s got to do some homework next time it chooses polling companies.
Why are they still using registered voters rather than likely voters?
Well that was depressing. Although, Gravis absolutely sucks as a pollster. Total crap outfit so we will see tomorrow.
Isn’t Gravis a Repub firm. These numbers suck, but all inside the margin of error.
Told Team Trump now sees VA an "absolute tossup" & Trump's ground operations there top. "If they can't win it, no one can"
Registeed rather than likely? What’s the Dem oversample?
CC
Sorry for my ignorance, but who is Larry Schweikart?
Sorry for my ignorance, but who is Larry Schweikart?
My friend’s in North Carolina is in the Navy (he’s an officer), and he said everyone there hates Clinton and are voting for Trump.
So should we hope no one can’t?
No clue - the internals are all at the link. Not sure what Breitbart/Gravis are doing.
Very odd that it’s Registered...so no likely screen applied. It true, add 3 or 4 points towards Trump.
55% said that Obamacare was a success. Ugh.
Those polls ended four or more days ago. Things have changed... :-)
Get out and vote!
Trump/Pence 2016!
“Fifty-five percent said that President Barack Obama‘s healthcare reform, Obamacare, was a success...”
That’s all you need to know about the people in this poll.
I saw a retweet by Bill Mitchell of him so I followed him
He posts some informative info
Freeper LS who communicates regularly with the Trump campaign.
They’re reporting their polling data. The last 8 years this forum has dismissed polls showing Obama ahead. Sorry but Trump has an uphill battle to win this tmrw. The Clinton corruption machine will not be easily defeated.
I think you're right, but 3-4 is a little high. Nate Silver (I know, I know) says that likely screens only help Trump about .8 points. That would be a swing of just under 2. That would be enough to give Trump Florida, North Carolina and maybe Nevada - enough possibly to swing the election.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.