Very odd that it’s Registered...so no likely screen applied. It true, add 3 or 4 points towards Trump.
55% said that Obamacare was a success. Ugh.
I think you're right, but 3-4 is a little high. Nate Silver (I know, I know) says that likely screens only help Trump about .8 points. That would be a swing of just under 2. That would be enough to give Trump Florida, North Carolina and maybe Nevada - enough possibly to swing the election.