Good news.
Pray this continues.
The landslide is on.
Trump landslide coming.
PA has become a regular tease. Too much “variability” from its 2 big cities that can swamp legitimate voter sentiment. I’ll believe it when I see it.
They elected Santorum, there must be some GOP votes out there.
Pennsylvania is the Lucy football for Republicans every cycle. Trump better win elsewhere so he doesn’t need it
A poll of car owners? Ehhhh...
An “Auto Alliance and Entertainment Software Association” poll of car owners? Oh yeah, I’d be terrified if I was Hillary.
But she damn well shouldn’t be up here in PA by 11 points either and — absent vote fraud — surely is not. That non-automotive poll showing her up only within the margin of error is the most realistic of the bunch and the trend has been solidly favoring Trump lately, at least up to today.
http://dailycaller.com/2016/11/02/new-poll-clinton-45-trump-44-in-michigan/
Just caught this new Michigan poll, with a D+5 sample.
BTW, The new and last gold standard Marquette University poll for Wisconsin is due out in the next hour or so.
In my heart I feel it’s 1980 all over again:-)
I wonder what the polls are like in NJ.
It’s like this:
He has to win the usual including Ohio Florida and North Carolina
Plus one of the following
Michigan
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
Minnesota
Colorado
Or
New Mexico and New Hampshire
That’s a fact
The demographics some here once on free republic once forced on the rest of us as righteous dogma has lost three critical states
Illinois New York and California
104 electoral votes in a lock
It’s taken a highly motivating candidate like Trump to even get this close
While the email investigation is re-opened, I feel that this had little to anything to do with the turn in polls. If you look at the enthusiasm levels of the Dems, they follow the up and down of the polls. As the polls have risen in Hitlary’s favor, the mood of the Dems becomes complacent. Complacent people don’t vote. When the polls have taken a downward swing the mood has changed to reinvigorate the people to come out and vote. There is a correlation here in which it has never quite been measured. The polls only take people at what they say they are going to do rather then on the typical behavior of a likely voter. We are starting to see some of this trickle down. It is of my opinion why polls can be so far off when the actual event happens. A poll taken today when the mood is up can show a candidate is up in the poll. Tomorrow the respondent of the poll could be hit with something to sour their tastes. While they will still commit to voting for their candidate their behavior suggests that they will not visit the voting booth. You have to take an accounting for the historical averages of total population versus actual voting population and compare that to other quantifiable factors to reach a more true conclusion of who will win. There is one individual who has done this and he seems to be pretty accurate. His name escapes me for now. This is the main reason I don’t trust the polls because they are only one measurement in the cog of what goes into measuring who will win on election day. As more and more correlations are drawn out, I feel that additional predictive models will come out that are extremely complex to understand but produce viable results in the end.
Another poll today has Cankles up just 1 in PA.
Team Trump VERY guarded about PA, even when discussing other states. I think they are sandbagging. I think they think it’s in the bag and don’t want to jinx it.
Probably an outlier, but time will tell.
IBTBP
In before the bad pun
that’s why they call it PENCE-ilvania...
BAM!