Posted on 10/31/2016 12:13:27 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Nationally, REP early voting UP 4.5%
Nationally, DEM early voting DOWN 4.2%
That is a swing of 8.7% from 2012 early voting.
I agree with the last half of your statement. I would propose that akin to a regular 3-4 point advantage; more low information voters come out for presidential years.
They have been gas-lighting us all year with some of these “liar polls”.
Limited to SEIU "helpers" in extended care facilities.
Good news. We’ll see. My position remains unchanged: it’ll be damnably close and whatever we get will be based strictly on turnout.
Now that is a valid point.
They do concentrate on early voting, so if the ground game can’t GOTV for early voters, why would one expect them to do it election day?
If true, all this talk of a Trump landslide will be accurate.
Also consider that Trump is likely winning the Independent voters by a wide margin. For comparison, Romney won the Independent voters by just five points (50-45) and lost the overall popular vote by 51-48.
If Trump wins the Independents by 10 points (conservative) then he easily wins the overall popular vote on that alone. Some estimates have Trump winning Independents by 20 points!
Now throw in the number of Democrats, namely Democrat men, who will vote for Trump over Crooked Hillary. I think it is a somewhat safe bet that 1/3 of Democrat men will vote Trump. Especially blue-collar men who would normally vote Democratic.
The monster vote is out there.
They most certainly are doing exit polling. However, all exit polls are quarantined from public release until the polls officially close on Nov 8.
You can bet however that results of these early voting polls are leaking to the campaigns and other insiders. This explains the actions of the past several days. Not only FBI Director Comey having the confidence to re-open the investigation on HRC but the fact that Trump is now expanding the battleground to MI, WI, NM, CO, NH, ME and PA.
Just look at the face of Crooked Hillary Clinton in recent photos. She is devastated and just going through the motions. Meanwhile, Donald Trump is confident and smiling ear to ear.
Unpossible.
The MSM and the Dems have assured us early voting has put Hillary way ahead. The Clinton campaign referred to the numbers as ‘eyepopping’ in Clinton’s favor, and the MSM said Hillary has probably already won the election before regular voting even begins.
YES PIKEACHU has made a comeback!
Yup, I think it's going to resemble 2014.
In case you missed it, my 2 cents: November 8: It’s Déjà Vu All Over Again
In summary, On November 8, the factual data is indeed in Trump’s favor:
I The Results of the 2014 Midterms. The reasons for that vote have only increased exponentially.
II The Republican Primary Turnout was record breaking.
III The ant-globalist Brexit surprise.
Plus add point IV: "The Governor's race in KY last year. Pre-election polls showed Bevin behind by 5; he won by 8" as pointed out by libertylover.
Trump/Pence! Charge!
Celinda Lake Democrat pollster says lie. Project Veritas O’keefe video. Lake: We are in trouble.
“Published on Oct 31, 2016
In this video, Democratic pollster Celinda Lake encourages union workers to lie to voters on specific issues because the Democrats are behind the Republicans at the moment and are “in trouble.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rSFiwA2P914&feature=youtu.be
Is Tim Kaine homosexual?
I accidentally turned Shep on for a minute and he was bragging on how North Carolina was going to be the state to put Hillary over the top with the 7 point lead she has in the NBC poll. He was so giddy. He then stated that she had a 3 point lead in all the NC polls combined.
Wouldn’t that mean she was losing then in most of the other polls Shep? He was defending the NBC poll almost to the fact he new the was the only one showing her with a big lead. I then changed the channel.
“Hillary. I think it is a somewhat safe bet that 1/3 of Democrat men will vote Trump. Especially blue-collar men “
I’ve been saying for quite a while that burly union men are going to tell their shop stewards they are voting Hillary 100% but won’t vote for a lesbian grandma in the election booth.
Yup....Shep is gas-lighting people who don’t understand polling.
asking the question sort of answers the question....
I see a Reagan vs Carter win.
“I see a Reagan vs Carter win.”
I don’t. I see a Bush vs algore situation. Although probably not quite as close.
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