Posted on 10/30/2016 9:13:58 AM PDT by rb22982
An abbreviated version of today's posting: all North Carolina absentee ballots have hit over 1.7 million, with nearly 1.6 million accepted as early votes for the November 8 general election.
All Absentee Ballots:
The 1.7 million ballots, which accounts for all absentee ballots (mail-in and in-person) by sent date, represents a 6.8 percent increase over the same-day cumulative total from 2012's general election absentee voting period (1.59 million).
Total Early Votes: Registered Democrats are 4.2 percent behind their same day 2012 total numbers, while registered Republicans are 4.5 percent ahead of their numbers. Registered unaffiliated voters are 36.9 percent ahead of their same day all absentee ballot totals from 2012.
White voters are currently 72 percent of all absentee ballots cast, with black voters being 22 percent and all other races 6 percent. This represents a steady continuation of the trends that we have seen, with white voters over-performing their 2012 numbers and black voters under-performing their 2012 numbers.
While there are more ballots than four years ago, of the accepted in-person ballots so far, registered Democrats are slightly behind their 2012 same-day totals (down 4 percent), while registered Republicans are ahead (14 percent) and registered unaffiliated voters are well ahead (41 percent) of their same day numbers from four years ago.
(Excerpt) Read more at oldnorthstatepolitics.com ...
Newt man says Trump can’t lose NC unless it;s really massive Fraud
Right now, Rs have about 55k more votes than 2012 in early in person voting, down about 23k votes in mail in, and Dems are down 28k votes. Net, that’s about 60k votes more for Trump at this point. Additionally, there have been an incremental 100k indy votes, 80% white, 48.3% male. I’m guessing Trump nets out at least 10k votes off these.
And then, we have this BS Tweet this morning from NBC’s “National Political Director”
Mark Murray
Verified account
mmurraypolitics
3 hours ago
In NC, 29% of likely voters say they have already voted and they are breaking for Clinton, 61-33, per new NBC/WSJ/Marist poll
Beware these results.
Yep spot on.
I pray they all look stupid on election night when Trump wins.
BS.
NBC/WSJ/Marist??
It was the least accurate poll during the primaries.
Toss it out - bet its heavily D+ oversampled, too.
Unless 100% of Democrats and 85% of indies have voted for Clinton, that would be imposslble. (Currently, registered Democrats are 43 percent of all ballots, with registered Republicans at 31 percent and registered unaffiliated voters at 25 percent; but there are differences in the voting method.) And given that Indies are 80% white, I think it’s safe to say the poll is bogus.
I agree.
NBC/WSJ/Marist never got a single primary call right.
And when they’re calling NC for Clinton, you invariably know they’re wrong.
I agree, I think Indies are breaking to trump 2-to-1, based on comments from Michael Bitzer when he looked at who of the Indies voted in the 2016 primaries, and in what party primary. So Indies breaking for Trump by 10% margin is fairly conservative.
Not that we already didn’t realize it, but these turnout results show us how the polling is absolute crap right now. TOTAL BREXIT SITUATION
Trump hasn’t been ahead in a NC poll for over a month. I’m afraid this is the state that will clinch it for Clinton.
Why do you care about rigged polls?
They’re never going to show Trump ahead.
Mitt won by 2 points in 2012. I expect Trump to do better in NC.
This isn’t 2012.
Don’t know about other media, but Shrillary has been pounding NC with radio ads. I hear 2-3 per hour, day after day as I listen at work. Nothing from Trump yet. Hope the low-info crowd doesn’t buy into that tripe.
I listen to satellite radio. I see about 1.5:1 TV ads for Clinton now but that’s an improvement from 10:1 a month ago (Charlotte area).
Actually, they do show Trump ahead on other battleground states like Ohio and Florida.
North Carolina is the problem
That’s proof right there that polls are delusional.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.