[SamAdams76]

Correct me if I'm wrong but wasn't the actual 2012 turnout Dem +6?

Yet now we are being told that this year, the turnout will somehow be Dem +8, that even more Democrats will turn out for Crooked Hillary than for Obama? (And even then, she can only hold a two point lead)

I think they are smoking weed.

Also, they are predicting a turnout mix of 39-27-27 (Dem, GOP, Ind). How did this even compare to 2012 actuals? Well according to this the turnout in 2012 was 38-32-29 (Dem, GOP, Ind).

So in essence, the pro-Dem pollsters are trying to get us to swallow the following:

That Democrat turnout (as a percentage) will INCREASE
That GOP turnout will DECREASE
That IND turnout will DECREASE

This poll is utter garbage.

[LNV]

http://cdn.bipartisanpolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/default/files/2012%20Voter%20Turnout%20Full%20Report.pdf

Turnout in 2008 was D +4.6.
Turnout in 2012 was D +1.6.

ALL the polls are using a bad turnout model, some worse than others.

[CottonBall]

“Also, they are predicting a turnout mix of 39-27-27 (Dem, GOP, Ind). How did this even compare to 2012 actuals? Well according to this the turnout in 2012 was 38-32-29 (Dem, GOP, Ind).”

Thanks for the 2012 data. Amazing they think Hillary will generate more turnout than Obama, while Trump will generate less than Romney. The size of Trump’s rallies show otherwise.