Posted on 10/26/2016 12:10:53 AM PDT by BlessedBeGod
|
|
10/26 |
10/25 |
Change |
|
Trump |
45.3 |
44.1 |
+ 1.2 |
|
Clinton |
44.2 |
45.0 |
- . 8 |
(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...
Yes it’s getting some, but not nearly the attention it deserves, and it should be the top news story.. Bribery to get out of a federal crime by a candidate for president? But I am not holding my breath on it getting the attention it should.
Bet they almost choked on it.
LOL! You may say that.
But as I understood the numbers, it says that Trump and Clinton were practically tied in the last 2 weeks. The margin of error says it all.
Annnnd apparently the dedicated Amish Trump Guy responded today...
The number of participants does vary in each day's report. Oct 25, the most recent report, N=3145. The day before N=3104. The first sevn days, N ranged from about 1600 to about 1800. N has not steadily increased, there are some dips in the same size.
There are some effects that can be seen as "popping in" and 7 days later "dropping off," very obvious in the African American group.
-- if these people are committed to doing this poll every day, they are probably definitely likely voters. --
Not necessarily, and nobody does the poll every day. Each participant is polled once a week. One seventh of the participants are polled each day.
-- Kind of suggests Trump has more enthusiasm and maybe he's higher because the Hillary voters just don't respond as often to this poll. --
Maybe, but the poll also has an intention to vote question, which in the Oct 25 report stands at about 85% for both candidates.
-- Trouble is Dems have a way of getting enthusiastic in the last 4 days before an election ... --
I agree. They put out an army of GOTV with plenty of walking around money.
That was poorly handled all the way. Someone in Cankles cadre pushed up the timing, and that in turn broke the fulcrum badly; notably last week when they tried to graft it onto down-ticket, when most of those were actually scheduled-way-in-advance appearances with safe Donk district mandarins.
It will be interesting to read how it was botched internally in a future wikileak.
Nah, not really. DJT has been consistently ahead. Think previous two days were blowback from the unrelenting assault. But now the Wikileaks stuff is overtaking the Billy Bush vid.
"I agree. They put out an army of GOTV with plenty of walking around money."
I wonder about this for a couple of reasons: one, she won't be the recipient of the VP effect - as Gore was, as Bush was - where voters 'come home' for a 3rd termer. This is a challenger election where those voters should majority break for Trump.
Walking-around money always a concern, but you have to wonder the further away you get from the money this time ...
Is a fine upstanding young Amish man going to ride the bus for ham sammich and chips to vote for an old white lady who reminds him of his former shift manager at McDonald's? The one that fired him for being late twice?
Hillary/DNC/GOPe have underestimated the anger of the electorate at them all cycle. The psyops/gas light polling was ludicrous.. If they had planted polls showing Hillary up 3 or 4 maybe, but polls showing 8and even 12 point leads are just laughable.
At 3 or 4 dejected can say maybe I am missing something. Maybe polls are right.. But at 7-10 or 12 points?? That’s too big a gap for the observable reality. Hillary can’t fill a fire hall but she’s up double digits?? Or even high single digits? Her VP candidate is stumping out of the back of a pickup truck to 25 people, but she’s up that much? Just not believable. And once the shock value wears off it just angers and motivates those it’s trying to depress even more.
Yes it is. But today I'm liking it's behavior.
As I said a couple of days ago (and have said many, many other times), this poll lags by about a week. The uptick we are seeing now (as predicted) is due to Trump’s strong performance in the debate last week.
media rats tried the phony band wagon psychops push polls hail mary .
it failed .
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein ABC News Tracking Clinton 49, Trump 40, Johnson 5, Stein 2 Clinton +9
Clinton dropped 3 in the ABC poll that was oversampled (Trump +1 Clinton -2)
Laughable - Hillary isn’t getting over 50% in their ludicrously rigged poll.
D +9 ain’t happening - never happened in the entire history of modern American electionsd.
The question is...is it still over sampled?
If we were to listen to the FR doom squad, you would have to assume that no Democrat could possibly EVER lose an election.
Yet for some weird reason they actually do.
Hell you can’t even have Trump up in these goofy polls without the panic posse coming up with some new thing to meltdown about.
Yes, yes and yes.
Hillary cannot be up by 9+ nationally and Trump is ahead in FL, OH and NC.
If she was up by double digits and Red States were faltering, we would have seen it in where the two campaigns are going.
Complete bunk along with their fantasy D +9 turnout.
UnHappy Birthday, Hillary...now you can go to an old age home, you senile witch...
Faked polls and Ds have lost elections.
CA, MA, MD, KY. All showed R behind by double digits a few days before the election.
R won. Let’s not be taken in by polls that promote a D + lead without any real evidence to confirm it.
If it was really over, Hillary wouldn’t be out scrounging for votes.
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