The number of participants does vary in each day's report. Oct 25, the most recent report, N=3145. The day before N=3104. The first sevn days, N ranged from about 1600 to about 1800. N has not steadily increased, there are some dips in the same size.
There are some effects that can be seen as "popping in" and 7 days later "dropping off," very obvious in the African American group.
-- if these people are committed to doing this poll every day, they are probably definitely likely voters. --
Not necessarily, and nobody does the poll every day. Each participant is polled once a week. One seventh of the participants are polled each day.
-- Kind of suggests Trump has more enthusiasm and maybe he's higher because the Hillary voters just don't respond as often to this poll. --
Maybe, but the poll also has an intention to vote question, which in the Oct 25 report stands at about 85% for both candidates.
-- Trouble is Dems have a way of getting enthusiastic in the last 4 days before an election ... --
I agree. They put out an army of GOTV with plenty of walking around money.
"I agree. They put out an army of GOTV with plenty of walking around money."
I wonder about this for a couple of reasons: one, she won't be the recipient of the VP effect - as Gore was, as Bush was - where voters 'come home' for a 3rd termer. This is a challenger election where those voters should majority break for Trump.
Walking-around money always a concern, but you have to wonder the further away you get from the money this time ...
Is a fine upstanding young Amish man going to ride the bus for ham sammich and chips to vote for an old white lady who reminds him of his former shift manager at McDonald's? The one that fired him for being late twice?
If we were to listen to the FR doom squad, you would have to assume that no Democrat could possibly EVER lose an election.
Yet for some weird reason they actually do.
Hell you can’t even have Trump up in these goofy polls without the panic posse coming up with some new thing to meltdown about.