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USC Dornsife/LA Times Poll: 10/25 Trump 45.3 Clinton 44.2
USC/LA Times ^ | October 25, 2016 | USC/LA Times

Posted on 10/26/2016 12:10:53 AM PDT by BlessedBeGod

10/26

10/25

Change

Trump

45.3

44.1

+ 1.2

Clinton

44.2

45.0

- . 8


(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...


TOPICS: Breaking News
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; polls; trumplandslidecoming
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To: goldstategop

It’s an issue that’s just killing the middle class. I hope it becomes a constant focus with team Trump.


21 posted on 10/26/2016 12:36:31 AM PDT by LongWayHome
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To: goldstategop

Same old playbook:

Boston Globe Senate Poll: Coakley up 15 points

Democrat Martha Coakley, buoyed by her durable statewide popularity, enjoys a solid, 15-percentage-point lead over Republican rival Scott Brown as the race for US Senate enters the homestretch, according to a new Boston Globe poll of likely voters.

http://archive.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/articles/2010/01/10/senate_poll_coakley_up_15_points/

Scott Brown was elected a few days later beating Coakley by 5 points.


22 posted on 10/26/2016 12:37:39 AM PDT by Helicondelta (Deplorable)
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To: LongWayHome

People have to pay more for doctors they can’t see and they can’t choose the plan they want.

Obamacare is the Zika virus of liberal policy.


23 posted on 10/26/2016 12:38:37 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: BigEdLB

It’s a tight margin though. Has any candidate been outside the margin of error in it lately or ever?


24 posted on 10/26/2016 12:39:06 AM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: Helicondelta

The poll that says Hillary is up 12 - tell us honestly - is there anything like the D +6 to D +9 turnout media tells is supposed to happening for Hillary?

I’m not getting that impression. As a matter of fact, just yesterday she had to exhort her followers to vote because the race was close.

Huh? Didn’t she have it already in the bag? The MSM told us its over.


25 posted on 10/26/2016 12:42:15 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: BigEdLB
I thought I had this poll figured out. Trump had relatively low points (mathematically speaking nearly local minima) on 10/11 and 10/18 and Clinton had relatively high points on those two dates. I interpreted it to mean that many Clinton supporters submitted their votes on 10/11 and 10/18 to the poll. I was surprised that after the 10/25 votes were counted in the rolling average, Trump actually gained from the day before. This is an unusual poll.
26 posted on 10/26/2016 12:42:19 AM PDT by convoter2016
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To: All

Pauly, Rocky IV presser.

Who am I...


27 posted on 10/26/2016 12:42:26 AM PDT by 80skid
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To: BlessedBeGod

Weird. I’ve never been able to look at that site with my phone’s browser and have always looked at the LAT website instead. And today it is not updating on either phone or tablet. Usually they post the results by 1:00 my time but it seems stick on yesterday’s results... I guess they don’t want to show him ahead


28 posted on 10/26/2016 12:42:43 AM PDT by jackal7163 (If you are not willing to achieve victory at any cost, you are doomed to defeat!)
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To: JediJones

If you assume its really D +6, race is tight.

If its less than that, Trump wins comfortably.

Depends on whether the 2012 turnout model in fact is accurate.


29 posted on 10/26/2016 12:43:47 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: convoter2016

Hillary cannot keep a lead even in a tracking poll with a turnout assumption weighed in her favor.

Imagine where she really is if it isn’t. Not good news for her.


30 posted on 10/26/2016 12:46:19 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: LongWayHome

I just wish they’d throw in the philosophical argument that the government cannot run the economy or health care and that is why it’s failing. Even if they don’t have specifics, that would sound like they have a foundation of an idea in mind. We’re hearing too much about how Obama and Hillary specifically are bad leaders but not hearing hardly anything about why having the government run these giant programs is a bad idea in the first place.


31 posted on 10/26/2016 12:50:49 AM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: JediJones

That’s why I want to see both Trump & Pence address this together & bring home how truly troubling these high costs of health care are. Address this as the deadly serious issue that it is. Sadly....the American public has a short attention span.


32 posted on 10/26/2016 12:55:50 AM PDT by LongWayHome
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To: goldstategop

I read a new Nate Silver article saying polls have been more reliable overall since 2000 than they were in the past, but took a dip in reliability in the 2012 and 2014 elections. He said the shifting to cell phone usage is probably part of that. Polling technique has not caught up yet with how to deal with that.


33 posted on 10/26/2016 12:56:42 AM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: LongWayHome

Both Trump and Killary are running ads in western MD.


34 posted on 10/26/2016 12:57:39 AM PDT by Salamander (More deplorable than deplorable...)
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To: Salamander

I suspect they are trying to hit the PA market.


35 posted on 10/26/2016 1:06:17 AM PDT by LongWayHome
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To: BlessedBeGod

36 posted on 10/26/2016 1:08:09 AM PDT by Byron_the_Aussie (choo choo)
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To: LongWayHome

The area of PA that I am near is full-on for Trump, already.

We *never* see political ads out this way.

MD is always a “gimme” for Dems so nobody bothers.

*But*, Trump has been to MD, several times.


37 posted on 10/26/2016 1:31:08 AM PDT by Salamander (More deplorable than deplorable...)
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To: convoter2016

I’m pretty sure everyone has to answer the poll every day. If they skip a day, they are not counted so the overall sample for that day would be lower.

One thing’s for sure, if these people are committed to doing this poll every day, they are probably definitely likely voters.

Kind of suggests Trump has more enthusiasm and maybe he’s higher because the Hillary voters just don’t respond as often to this poll.

Trouble is Dems have a way of getting enthusiastic in the last 4 days before an election and then ignoring politics again for the next 4 years while their choices wreck the country and they look the other way. Pretty sure the undecideds broke for the Dems at the last minute in 2000, 2008 and 2012. Not sure about 2004 but seems like that one was good for Bush all around.


38 posted on 10/26/2016 1:36:53 AM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: LongWayHome

I’m being bombarded with Toomey and McGinty ads in the Philly burbs. Trump and Clinton are invisible. I assume Trump is conceding this part of the state to Hillary.


39 posted on 10/26/2016 1:38:03 AM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: JediJones

Philly is a nightmare for the GOP.


40 posted on 10/26/2016 1:40:22 AM PDT by LongWayHome
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