Posted on 10/24/2016 6:09:14 AM PDT by xzins
Florida is a must-win state for Donald Trump to declare victory on election day and the good news is that he’s off to a very good start.
In fact, his lead in early voting there is a first for Republicans. Back in September Trump led Hillary Clinton in early voting.
BREAKING: #Trump the FIRST Republican EVER to win early votes in FL! #TrumpPence16 pic.twitter.com/PzefGCEAfE
— ALWAYS TRUMP! (@Always_Trump) September 23, 2016
Trump still leads Hillary Clinton in Florida early voting.
In 2012 the early voting breakdown was this: 43% Democrats 40% Republicans 17% Other-Independent
This year the early voting breakdown is: 40% Democrat 42% Republican 18% Other-Independent
Trump still leads in Florida two weeks before election day. This is big news! Don’t expect the corrupt media to report on this.
You’re just saying that we don’t know because we don’t yet know. Fine.
In that case, no probability statement should ever be made. No polls taken. No data based assumptions.
The whole point here is that past performance is a good indication of what will again come about.
True, there could be NeverTrumpers voting who are registered Republicans, but there could be Trumpocrats voting, too, i.e., registered democrats who are voting for Trump.
Unless you're female, then all bets are off this election year.
A large percentage of those Independents are Trump voters.
You would be wrong. I have been doing numbers for OH and they are actually better for reasons i won’t go into. Ravi has tracked IA and FL and SpeedyinTexas has tracked FL.
“WHY DO THE MEDIA KEEP SAYING HILLIARY IS uP BY 12 POINTS???”
When she asked, “Why am I not up 50%”? they gave her only 12 so it wouldn’t look rigged.
It’s true of republican females, too. A larger % of them vote republican.
Well check this one out!
http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/republican-lead-two-early-voting-states-will-be-tested-n671396
Apparently dead voters look at things differently.
DO you think that might bear on whether they vote for Trump or not?
Past performance is out the window on this election because the race is totally different. You have the Republican party's candidate being opposed by the Republican Party Elite. (I hope Paul Ryan dies of the Drizzling Shits) The so-called "Monster Vote" might skew the whole thing or the Trump version of Bimbo Eruptions might totally destroy the Republican women's vote. And I will surmise that the fraud associated with Absentee ballots will hit all-time highs this election ESPECIALLY IN SWING STATES,
So yeah like I said "grain of salt" time.
Anyone who knows anything about polls will tell that Ohio is the true National poll. It has a margin of error of 2%. The candidate who is leading in Ohio by more than 2% will be the president. The other bellweather is whatever comes out of Karl Roves big fat snout is 100 percent the opposite of what will happen. Bet the farm on it!
The historic rule remains the same, female reps are more likely to vote rep.
Even if DJT were losing by 90 points in the polls, my family will be out there to vote for him.
The RCP average is not particularly reassuring at the moment, but I do take some hope from TIPP and Rasmussen.
I’m an Ohioan, and the Ohio bellwether has proven true for quite a few decades.
Early voting in Florida didn’t start until today.
What is this article talking about?
I assume this data is about numbers REGISTERED voters; and not HOW they voted?
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