Posted on 10/19/2016 4:24:06 PM PDT by Trump20162020
Republican candidate Donald Trump holds a one-point lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton ahead of tonight's final debate, according to the new IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll.
After more than a week of blistering attacks from Democrats, celebrities and the press, Donald Trump has managed to pull ahead of Hillary Clinton by 1 percentage point - 41.3% to 40% - in a four-way matchup.
Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson got 8% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein got 6%
IBD/TIPP has been the most accurate pollster in recent presidential elections.
In 2004 and 2008, IBD/TIPP had the smallest deviation from the certified results, and across the last three presidential races, IBD/TIPP has the lowest average divergence.
In the 2012 race, polling analyst Nate Silver, then of the New York Times' blog FiveThirtyEight.com, ranked 23 presidential polling organizations using his own methodology and called IBD/TIPP "the most accurate" tracking poll for the year.
(Excerpt) Read more at newson6.com ...
Most of Johnson’s voters, and about 1/3rd of Stein’s will break for TRUMP at the last minute, I believe.
Damn straight. Unlike Hillary.
Yes, I think you’re right.
The country’s known Hillary for 25 years, and all she can manage is 40%.
So the other 60% is suddenly going to decide they like her?
I don’t think so.
I hope the dems’ lyin’ ‘bout being so far ahead bites ‘em in the @ss. Hopefully their lazies’ll stay at home. I don’t think Hillary is adding any enthusiasm either.
Starting tomorrow, I think we’re going to see some significant movement toward Trump.
Folk didn’t have to commit until now, but it’s getting down to the wire, and I expect the late breakers to go Trump.
I’m going to start referring to Hillary as Patient X.
Trumps rallies are beyond well attended....Hillary is lucky to fill a quarter of her halls....the MSM has covered for her....Trump is and has been leading.....Fox News has even gotten this wrong not wanting to give into this American phenomenon.....
Everybody's known Trump longer than that and up until he ran for president most people liked him.
Hillary is at 40%. If this is close to the truth, does anyone believe she can top 45%?
Trump is over 85%.
Let’s see the media, especially Nate Silver who named IBD/TIPP the most accurate polling service in 2012, spin this.
2. Same with Johnson.
This close of a poll doesn't overcome the voter fraud. I live in Minnesota where voter fraud is as sure as death and taxes.
I think we need a Brexit effect. In my neighborhood Trump voters are afraid to say so publicly. I pray the Brexit effect is huge and emphatic and nationwide.
If not, I think we no longer have a country. I have been heavily invested in Republican Party "skin-in-the-game" efforts since 1994. I have had every BPOU job in my State Senate District, from at large official to Chairman. I'm now the Chair of my State House District.
At this month's meeting I told our group that a clinton win will tell us we are all wasting our time...that we no longer even have a country to struggle to defend. My assertion caused dead silence in the room.
I am praying we will still have a country worth the effort.
2. Same with Johnson.
This close of a poll doesn't overcome the voter fraud. I live in Minnesota where voter fraud is as sure as death and taxes.
I think we need a Brexit effect. In my neighborhood Trump voters are afraid to say so publicly. I pray the Brexit effect is huge and emphatic and nationwide.
If not, I think we no longer have a country. I have been heavily invested in Republican Party "skin-in-the-game" efforts since 1994. I have had every BPOU job in my State Senate District, from at large official to Chairman. I'm now the Chair of my State House District.
At this month's meeting I told our group that a clinton win will tell us we are all wasting our time...that we no longer even have a country to struggle to defend. My assertion caused dead silence in the room.
I am praying we will still have a country worth the effort.
Jill Stein hates Clinton..she says that even though she disagrees with Trump on basically everything at least he won’t go to war with Russia..she said that Clinton pretty much guaranteed that she would..I could see Stein supporters voting for Trump..maybe not all of them but a good chunk
Oh well now Nate will say the poll is NOT reliable LOL
Probably not. In a head-to-head two person race IBD/TIPP has Clinton up by 3 points.
If Hillary succeeds in getting Donald to stink, that would probably push people to one of the small following candidates, on the other hand.
She probably shot her wad too early with pu$$ygate (no pun intended, please), and Donald is recovering now.
“Most of Johnsons voters, and about 1/3rd of Steins will break for TRUMP at the last minute, I believe.”
In what issues do you believe that Trump voters agree with Gary Johnson and the Libertarian Party?
On what issues would a Green Party voter agree with Trump?
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