and there are still hundreds of posts here about "internals", and "skewing", and "roll-off".......
just like there were in 1972......
get used to President HRC.
This is day four of the rolling poll and was to be expected. The Trump tape took effect yesterday and will be WORSE tomorrow. Then the results of the second debate and the new email drops will take hold. There may be some “Wilder factor” here as well. The “Wilder Factor” is a phenomena in polling where people will tell pollsters something other than what they really think. In the Doug Wilder situation he was winning in polls in Virginia before the election but lost. It turned out that people SAID they would vote for him indicating that Wilder being Black made no difference. It did.
So it is possible that some voters especially women told Dornsife they were against Trump because they think that is how they are supposed to think. We’ll see.
Shows that unfortunately the tape had a big effect
Hillary's lead drops by a point. She's up by 4. Was up 5 yesterday
The good news here.. Trump leads Indies... and he's only getting 71% of the Repub vote.. if he increase his base, he grabs the lead
Y’all should be really concerned now.
The polls keep fluctuating. Rasmussen has her ahead by 4 points, DOWN from 7 points a few days ago.
Stop worrying and keep fighting. The polls will be going UP for him and DOWN and UP for Hillary and DOWN over the next few weeks.
They are very volatile and what that translates into the real world on Election Day, NOBODY can predict.
Some of these like Rasmussen and LA Times APPEAR to be more reliable than the others.
Trump has to keep hammering her on here policy views and history on the policies.
If anything REALLY BAD personally appears, he needs to go after her only if she brings it up in the debates, otherwise stick to policy and let his surrogates handle the smears.
He also needs to start running INFOMERCIALS to counter the overwhelming Media Bias against him.
Getting HIS message out there is critical.
They sure are desperate.
The word "rapture" does not occur in the Bible. The concept of the rapture, though, is clearly taught in Scripture. The rapture of the church is the event in which God removes all believers from the earth in order to make way for His righteous judgment to be poured out on the earth during the tribulation period. The rapture is described primarily in 1 Thessalonians 4:13-18 and 1 Corinthians 15:50-54. 1 Thessalonians 4:13-18 describes the rapture as God resurrecting all believers who have died, giving them glorified bodies, and then departing the earth with those believers who were still alive, who have also been given glorified bodies. "For the Lord Himself will come down from heaven, with a loud command, with the voice of the archangel and with the trumpet call of God, and the dead in Christ will rise first. After that, we who are still alive and are left will be caught up together with them in the clouds to meet the Lord in the air. And so we will be with the Lord forever" (1 Thessalonians 4:16-17).
The rapture will be instantaneous in nature and we will, at that time, receive glorified bodies. "Listen, I tell you a mystery: We will not all sleep, but we will all be changed - in a flash, in the twinkling of an eye, at the last trumpet. For the trumpet will sound, the dead will be raised imperishable, and we will be changed" (1 Corinthians 15:51-52).
The rapture is the glorious event we should all be longing for. We will finally be free from sin. We will be in God's presence forever. There is far too much debate over the meaning and scope of the rapture. This is not God’s intent. Rather, in regards to the rapture, God wants us to “encourage each other with these words” (1 Thessalonians 4:18).
She’s leading in every poll... it’s sickening!
Every day, we invite one-seventh of the members of the UAS (Understanding America Study) election panel to answer three predictive questions: What is the percent chance that… (1) you will vote in the presidential election? (2) you will vote for Clinton, Trump, or someone else? and (3) Clinton, Trump or someone else will win? As their answers come in, we update the charts daily (just after midnight) with an average of all of the prior week’s responses.
The Understanding America Study (UAS) is a panel at the University of Southern California (USC) of approximately 5,500 individuals representing the entire United States.
https://uasdata.usc.edu/
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It's a bunch of polysci students that vote - without a clue given to the breakdown of political affiliations.
I have already voted for Trump by absentee ballot.
That said, these “the polls all lie” threads are looking like the comfort food of FR.
Trump has a good chance of regaining the lead in the poll by early next week.
Calm your tits, everyone.
I expected the polling to be worse, post-tape. We all knew this would happen. She still has one more ass-whippin’ to take at the next debate, the effect of “you’d be in jail” is going viral and is HYUUGE, believe me. Especially among young ppl. It’s one of the most brutal KO blows ever in a Prez debate. The Big Don has taken the gloves off. Plus she will prolly collapse again at some point. The dang ol’ karma.
Stay strong, stay defiant. I’m sittin here with both middle fingers in the air, if we go down.... we’re goin down SWINGING!!
This is all scripted. It always was.
I expected this to happen but I wouldn’t worry too much. These kind of things have to work there way through. Now if at the end of next week we don’t see a turn around then we have a real problem. I did notice that the latest PA poll shows a very narrow margin of four points. Right now team Trump needs to hammer home 3 core messages.
1. Clinton is the continuation of the failed Obama administration and Trump will end those policies.
2. Voters need to be continually reminded that the Clintons have a history of abuse and shaming of Bill Clinton’s victims. They can NOT let the media get away with the idea that Trump is some how worse for his crude comments than the Clintons are for their very REAL abuses.
3. Team Trump needs to compare and contrast Trump’s very real accomplishments versus Clinton’s history of failure and corruption.
This is a multi-day running poll. It will take a few days for the bad weekend to work out of the system.