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How Trump wins without PA, MI, WI, NH, or VA
270towin.com ^ | 11 Oct 2016

Posted on 10/11/2016 10:20:57 AM PDT by 11th_VA



TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Michigan; US: New Hampshire; US: Pennsylvania; US: Virginia; US: Wisconsin; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2016swingstates; pa2016; va2016
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To: 11th_VA
He's not likely to carry Nevada.

So how does he win without those other states?

61 posted on 10/11/2016 1:34:15 PM PDT by x
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Or Colorado, for that matter.


62 posted on 10/11/2016 1:34:53 PM PDT by x
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To: MNJohnnie

Sorry we’re talking two different things. You’re absolutely right. I was talking about a case of a 269-269 tie that goes to the HOUSE


63 posted on 10/11/2016 1:43:53 PM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!l)
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To: drypowder

They can’t steal a landslide. And if they try, Trump and his supporters won’t take it lying down.


64 posted on 10/11/2016 4:10:30 PM PDT by little jeremiah (Half the truth is often a great lie. B. Franklin)
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT; WildHighlander57

Ah, concerned, very concerned, are we....Yeah, Trump is down, he better take your advice about Miss Universe which is dead and gone.

Yes, so concerned you are, yes indeed, very very concerned.


65 posted on 10/11/2016 4:12:57 PM PDT by little jeremiah (Half the truth is often a great lie. B. Franklin)
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To: little jeremiah

You’re nothing but a pathetic stalker, who adds NOTHING to any conversation. Go pound sand, loser


66 posted on 10/11/2016 4:32:31 PM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!l)
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To: MNJohnnie

Public Policy Polling (PPP) only work for Democrats yet in 2012 they were among the three most accurate polling organizations in their final prediction before the election.
The NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll uses BOTH Democrat polling firm Hart Research Associates AND Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies.
Since realclearpolitics takes a simple average of up to ten national polls, any one poll’s findings impact the whole in a minor way.
My own way of using them is to take the seven most recent polls, throw out the widest and the narrowest outliers and average the other five. For this week, the NBC News poll is thrown out.


67 posted on 10/11/2016 4:42:45 PM PDT by Nero Germanicus
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To: 11th_VA

That’s hanging onto all of Romney’s and adding NV, CO, IA, OH and FL.


68 posted on 10/11/2016 4:48:19 PM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: JediJones

<img src=”http://imageshack.com/a/img923/2073/svuH8d.png";

My map prediction


69 posted on 10/11/2016 4:51:27 PM PDT by roostercogburn
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To: roostercogburn

I think he should focus on Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida.
Iowa, Nevada and Colorado are secondary states that could help offset if Penn doesn’t pan out.
I really feel good about Pennsylvania..better than I ever have. Western part of the state is going to turnout big time.
And no matter what the polls might say, I think they are overestimating the energy of her base.


70 posted on 10/11/2016 4:54:50 PM PDT by roostercogburn
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

I don’t stalk you. I happened to be reading this thread and happened to read your comment, and then happened to reply to it.

Yes, very concerned, I know.


71 posted on 10/11/2016 4:55:08 PM PDT by little jeremiah (Half the truth is often a great lie. B. Franklin)
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To: little jeremiah

Please, your obsession with me is a little creepy... I’m happily married


72 posted on 10/11/2016 5:17:14 PM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!l)
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To: roostercogburn

I heard Pennsylvania described as Fool’s Gold for Republicans a couple years ago. Seems accurate to me. Ed Rendell was sure McCain had a great chance at it and McCain didn’t come close. Romney campaigned hard here and narrowed the loss to 5 points. Bush lost it both times. And the state has only become less and less white with each passing election. I think Trump’s wasting his time in Pennsylvania just as McCain and Romney did. The election post-mortems in 2008 and 2012 always made a point that the GOP wasted their time in Pennsylvania. Trump shouldn’t make the same mistake.


73 posted on 10/11/2016 5:33:56 PM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: JediJones

I have never seen so many lifelong democrat voters deciding to vote for a GOP candidate as I have seen this year.
I have at least 10 family members throughout that part of the country that I have spent years arguing with over politics, never getting one of them to vote for a republican.
This year, everyone of them are sick of Obama, do not like Hillary and are excited about Trump.
Anecdotal? Maybe. But I’m feeling positive about it.
Trump having a error free next 4 weeks will really help.
I can’t see how Trump does worse than Romney there.
They painted him as a raider, a destroyer of companies, a huge free trade guy. And he still got within 5%.


74 posted on 10/11/2016 5:56:45 PM PDT by roostercogburn
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To: 11th_VA

bkmk


75 posted on 10/11/2016 9:19:15 PM PDT by AllAmericanGirl44 (If you ain't the lead dog, the scenery never changes.)
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