Posted on 10/06/2016 4:10:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Matthew is big, bad and just downright scary, with iminent and sustained impacts to U.S. mainland. Florida Governor Rick Scott issued a state of emergency for all of Florida and disaster operations are activated. More than 1.5 million Floridians reside in current evacuation zones. Governor Scott has spoken with utilities across the state to ensure utilities are pre-positioned and there are no unmet needs. Multiple coastal hospitals have been evacuated. Meanwhile, feckless President Barack Hussein Obama is personally monitoring the progress of the storm.
Cone of Death Historic Archive Loop
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
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NHC Discussions
NHC Local Hurricane Statements
Florida Radar Loop
Florida & Eastern Gulf Buoy Locations
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SE U.S. Radar Sector
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Local News Sources: Palm Beach Post
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WPEC CBS 12 Palm Beach
My News 13 Brevard
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TC Palm (Treasure Coast)
Space Coast Daily
If the info above doesn't satisfy your need for speed and graphics, strap yourself in for a ride to Mike's Weather Page
In the Navy I rode out Hurricane David in 1979, at sea, off Charleston, SC in a frigate.
At one point we took a 48 degree roll to starboard followed by a 57 degree roll to port. That's a 105 degree swing in about 25 seconds.
That little expedition spoiled roller coasters for me. They just aren't exciting.
"Ceterum censeo Hillary esse delendam."
Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)
LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)
And I am saying that is a track model. GFS is always that way.
The latest flight info came in about 3 hours ago with a 939mb reading.
I’’m sorry, my presence on this thread is purely as an observer from afar. You’ll have to address that to someone else. I’m safe in Michigan.
My family feels secure by staying in place over that of a shelter.....I trust their judgment on this. They are very specific about their plans and have been ready for years....they simply update things when a crisis storm looks to approach ...but basically they’re set anyway. Lived in the area for 20 years so they do know what to do.
And what if the storm does track 15 miles further to the west than forecast? That is the point you are missing - the margin of error for the forecast track in a hurricane means worst case has to be prepared for. Two days later is the wrong time to find out that happened and someone did not evacuate.
And if you’re in the bulleye, let me just add that I’m sorry and know just how you feel. I have family and friends all the way from PB to Tampa to JAX, Savannah, and Sea Island. I will be praying for them and for you too.
The last hurricane that hit the Galveston/ Houston area was not nearly the size and strength of Matthew but it was a disaster for the whole area. (Can’t remember the name) . First people who were in no danger of storm surge thought they heard they should evacuate. Several friends sat in traffic jams for 9/10 hours until they were almost out of gas and they turned around and went back home.
We are 60 miles from the coast at my house and we had no electricity for 10 days. Gas stations either had no gas or no electricity. Street lights didn’t work. Grocery stores were open but food was limited to canned goods and it was dark inside and cash registers didn’t work.
It was a weird world, I am sure other coastal area learned from our mistakes.
...and I've been an astronaut for 40 and I can say emphatically the moon is made of cheese. AKA I think you are full of crap.
Well, if they bugged out... that’s a real good thing. It will take a while to find a place to hole-up, but for them it all improves from here.
I am not counseling anyone not to evacuate. My position has always been that people need to make the decision for themselves and not be forced out at gunpoint or state-induced panic.
Others getting out of Dodge!
Just listening to websdr 11175.01 USB. Seems to be an open emergency channel where various EMS dispatchers are calling in and updates given regularly on hurricane and damage. EMS from GA just broadcast shelters open in Macon and Dublin. I didn’t expect it to turn, but you never know.
Great link GOPJ posted on another ‘cane thread:
Forecast storm surge for zoomable map vs. various ‘cane strength designations.
If they’re inland a good ways, elevated but not exposed, and removed from direct effects of storm surge in a structure built to modern hurricane code, they’re probably as safe as they’d be at a shelter, but isolated. If the roads are blocked due to trees, debris or flooding, help will be a long time coming.
I haven’t seen any leaving MS either, but I have to assume that they are prepping to be ready as the storm passes and areas are clear enough to get into. Pretty amazing the way the States do so well supporting each other as the Feds drag their feet and running as inefficiently as possible. Would be better to put FEMA funds with certain States and allow them to make best use of it while cutting down on the Federal bureaucracy.
ROGER-THANKS FOR THE COMMS
"Plan genious"? Nope, never considered myself that.
Chances are it will track a little more to the west. When hurricanes interact with land, friction reduces the wind speed on the landward side. This creates an effect of pulling the storm closer to the coast. Seen it many times. Good news is he main hammer of this storm is in the east side. Doesn’t mean there won’t be destruction, but the worst that this storm has to offer is on the east side which should remain over water. Recon data, specifically the SFMR wind data, shows the west side is only cat 1 strength with cat 2 gusts. Thats good news. Surge will be bad over a large area. Severe wind damage will be confined to the immediate coast and first teir counties. Fresh water flooding will be sporadic. He total impacts will cover a large area just because of the track.
And South Carolina faces some serious dangers, despite your claims to the contrary.
So please, just go away.
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