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Hurricane Matthew Live Thread II
NOAA/NHC ^ | October 6 2016 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 10/06/2016 4:10:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Matthew is big, bad and just downright scary, with iminent and sustained impacts to U.S. mainland. Florida Governor Rick Scott issued a state of emergency for all of Florida and disaster operations are activated. More than 1.5 million Floridians reside in current evacuation zones. Governor Scott has spoken with utilities across the state to ensure utilities are pre-positioned and there are no unmet needs. Multiple coastal hospitals have been evacuated. Meanwhile, feckless President Barack Hussein Obama is personally monitoring the progress of the storm.


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Hurricane Matthew Thread I


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: florida; georgia; hurricane; hurricanematthew; matthew; northcarolina; southcarolina; tropical; weather
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To: jeffers

You win.


1,221 posted on 10/07/2016 1:22:16 PM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: caww
A 10ft storm surge has been recorded at Daytona Beach, Florida...


1,222 posted on 10/07/2016 1:22:33 PM PDT by caww
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To: dirtboy

What I don’t understand is, some appear to be angry with people who are correctly noting that this hurricane has not been nearly as bad as was being predicted as recently as yesterday.

Rather than being relieved and grateful as most normal human beings would be, to have avoided being in harm’s way with relatively minimal damage as hurricanes go, it seems that some overly weather-involved people have a need for this to continue to be a horrible, historic storm, despite increasing evidence to the contrary.

I’ve spent some time on the boards at Weather Underground, etc. and have noticed this phenomenon with snow storms in particular, over-reporting threats, reporting excessive snow accumulations, jumping on the wildest, outlier in the models. I guess they got some sort of thrill out of it, but I can’t say I really understand their motivation.

I understand the motivation, however, of the news media. Hyping the storm increases their viewership.


1,223 posted on 10/07/2016 1:24:09 PM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: dirtboy

Eyeball puts Savannah at the eastern edge of the worst surge. I used to do this with 10 meter per pixel Digital Elevation Models from Shuttle Radar Tomography Mission 99, back in the dark ages of Win2K, when the last major hurricanes came ashore in the US.

Now I just squint one eye and close the other, since none of that software lives on this machine. Basically...from left edge of the eye, over to two additional eye diameters right of the right, inner eyewall, sees the max forecast surge.


1,224 posted on 10/07/2016 1:29:55 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: Black Agnes

“You win.”

Does a little victory dance, waving my axe and shaking my rescue harness, and looking up thru the hole, for inbound choppers.

With wet socks.


1,225 posted on 10/07/2016 1:32:12 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: NautiNurse

If you get time tween strategic dog walks, and, y’know, eatin bonbons w your feet up, canya post an updating graphic for the Nicole models in the header?


1,226 posted on 10/07/2016 1:34:47 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: jeffers

Speaking of darwin award candidates:

https://twitter.com/ShawSsimpsont/status/784430724514361344/video/1

Arterial bleeding in the midst of storm surge doesn’t sound like the way *I* personally would choose to die...but I guess everyone’s different.


1,227 posted on 10/07/2016 1:35:36 PM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: jeffers

Dark Grays and two of the Pinks show interesting behaviors...


1,228 posted on 10/07/2016 1:37:56 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: Black Agnes

To me...being a guy...the scariest, (and funniest, from a “what else can you do but laugh” POV) 911 calls during landfalls...are from pregnant women who all drop when the pressure plummets.

During a recent, and historically rated tornado outbreak here, my neighbors dog went into labor early, and there too, all I could do was shake my head.


1,229 posted on 10/07/2016 1:43:06 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: RegulatorCountry

If there is no major loss of life, the media will claim it was their dire warnings that saved America from epic tragedy.


1,230 posted on 10/07/2016 1:45:42 PM PDT by AppyPappy (If you really want to irritate someone, point out something obvious they are trying hard to ignore.)
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To: jeffers
Unfortunately, I cannot alter the body of the thread. Hopefully, the graphic below will suffice. Storm 15, aka Nicole:


1,231 posted on 10/07/2016 1:45:45 PM PDT by NautiNurse (ILLary uses BleachBit to scrub her medical history away...)
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To: PLMerite

That one is a fake.


1,232 posted on 10/07/2016 1:46:19 PM PDT by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: caww
Jacksonville beach...storm surge...

For some reason I can see this picture, and may I just say "WOW." Hang on tight, all you FReepers in Jacksonville.

1,233 posted on 10/07/2016 1:47:26 PM PDT by American Quilter (Hillary is an Unindicted Criminal.)
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To: RegulatorCountry
Yeah, we have both doomcasters and downcasters. I just try to present the information and forecasts coming out. Even Joe Bastardi, who has done a bang-up job forecasting the last three winters, was buying into the Euro track that had the eye tracking just inland - after all, the Euro pegged Sandy a long ways out. I posted his mea culpa earlier on this thread.

Hurricanes are notoriously finicky systems. Ike wobbled and spared Galveston while obliterating the Bolivar Pensisula. That wobble probably saved thousands of lives overall, but that is little consolation to those killed on Bolivar. Andrew wobbled and spared Miami while destroying Homestead. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, but only a misguided egomaniac tries to claim some kind of special sauce wisdom because they guessed one storm right.

I really think we have to look at the response to the NHC saying Sandy was no longer a hurricane at landfall to understand their tendency now to present more worst-case scenarios. Anyone can make a guess on a website and gloat when that guess ends up mirroring what actually happens - and just clam up if they are wrong. But the NHC gets it in the pants when they don't provide a proper assessment of top-side risks - and then they get a wedgie when worst-case ends up not happening due to sheer luck such as an eyewall replacement and a wobble right before potential landfall.

1,234 posted on 10/07/2016 1:49:25 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: thouworm
I have the same problem using FireFox browser. No photos appear that begin with this url image address -— https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ I use NoScript and AdBlock Plus.

Thank you, thouworm! I'll bet you've nailed it. I'm using FireFox and AdBlock Plus. I'll try getting out and coming back with Safari.

1,235 posted on 10/07/2016 1:49:53 PM PDT by American Quilter (Hillary is an Unindicted Criminal.)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
...Hurricane Matthew causes devastation along the northeast
coast of Florida...

Summary of 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...information
----------------------------------------------
location...30.2n 80.7w
about 40 mi...70 km E of Jacksonville Beach Florida
about 135 mi...215 km S of Savannah Georgia
maximum sustained winds...110 mph...175 km/h
present movement...N or 360 degrees at 12 mph...19 km/h
minimum central pressure...948 mb...28.00 inches


All coastal warnings have been discontinued south of the
Volusia/Brevard County line.

The Hurricane Warning from the Volusia/Brevard County line to the
Flagler/Volusia County line has been changed to a Tropical Storm
Warning.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

1,236 posted on 10/07/2016 1:49:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse (ILLary uses BleachBit to scrub her medical history away...)
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To: caww
Sheesh is right....I just thought it was an interesting photo and moved on....now I’m here trying to answer to people I don’t even know!..and I still think it’s an interesting photo...lololol

Man, I'm sorry. I didn't mean to start anything. I live in the Houston area and we use that and other photos on FB every time it floods in Houston. It IS an interesting photo and I thank you for all of the photos that you've posted.

1,237 posted on 10/07/2016 1:51:03 PM PDT by girlscout
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To: thouworm

Okay, I’m back, and you were right, thouworm—using Safari is enabling me to see all the pictures on this thread. Thanks so much!


1,238 posted on 10/07/2016 1:52:42 PM PDT by American Quilter (Hillary is an Unindicted Criminal.)
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To: AppyPappy

Two deaths that may be attributable to the storm thus far, one cardiac arrest death with delayed emergency response due to street flooding, and one respiratory distress with delayed emergency response due to street flooding who later died in a hospital. No drownings or trauma deaths from flying debris or collapsing buildings.


1,239 posted on 10/07/2016 1:55:34 PM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: caww

BookMark!!!


1,240 posted on 10/07/2016 1:56:27 PM PDT by thesearethetimes... (Had I brought Christ with me, the outcome would have been different. Dr.Eric Cunningham)
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