This thread has been locked, it will not receive new replies. |
Locked on 10/06/2016 6:07:28 AM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason:
New thread |
Posted on 10/01/2016 7:00:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Matthew is big, bad and just downright scary, and we await the long anticipated sharp turn northward. Jamaica is completing final storm preparations. All interests in the Eastern U.S. and Bahamas should be carefully watching the track of Mighty Matthew.
Ripped straight from the NHC Discussion page:
Matthew remains south of a low-to mid-level ridge over
the western Atlantic. The dynamical models forecast this ridge to
weaken over the next 72 hours as a mid- to upper-level trough develops
over the Gulf of Mexico. This evolution should cause Matthew to turn
northwestward after 24 hours and northward by 48-72 hours. The guidance
generally agrees with this scenario. However, there is a spread between
the GFS forecast of landfall in Jamaica and eastern Cuba and the ECMWF
forecast landfall in southwestern Haiti. The guidance becomes more
divergent after 72 hours.
Cone of Death Historic Archive Loop
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
Buoy 42058 Central Caribbean (in storm path)
Florida & Eastern Gulf Buoy Locations
SE Atlantic Coast Buoy Locations
SE U.S. Radar Sector
Gitmo Radar (primitive)
Jamaica Radar Loop (primitive)
If the info above doesn't satisfy your need for speed and graphics, strap yourself in for a ride to Mike's Weather Page
North Palm Beach/Singer Island area - near beach. Bought my water Sat. Packed this morning. Probably shutters this afternoon. Will see what happens later today but will be ready to leave.
That much is so. Honestly, I think I know why: if authorities would let people get back into evacuated areas more quickly, I think more would be inclined to get out of harms’ way.
But typically, once you leave, you can’t get back for at least 3-4 days, and often up to a week. That’s a real hardship for many of the retirees, and thus they opt to risk riding out the storm, figuring risk to life is maybe a 1-2% dice roll.
People tend to get very impressed by sprawling storms, but they do tend to be more disorganized and less intense than the compact, tightly wrapped storms with a very well-defined eye.
Good point. Add to that the very elderly have rather rigid routines day-to-day. Upsetting their daily routine is very unsettling.
We are supposed to attend a wedding Saturday afternoon in St. Simons. Anyone here live down that way? I’d love to know about emergency plans, etc...
Our niece just bought a beachfront in Fort Lauderdale.It’s a condo so she should be OK.She’s in Spain now.
Good to know you are ready, willing and able to protect life and property.
I’m in Richlands, which is about 30-45 minutes from ocean depending on which way you go. I also am pretty close to the Neuse River. Don’t know too much about them flooding. Will do some history when I get back from my insurance agency. (ha) Asked the neighbors next store and they laughed. They are from the TN mountains and only been renting down here for 3 years. I will keep you guys updated.
Thanks,
MM613
:o)
Richlands is practically in Jacksonville, so you’re fairly safe from the immediate coastal effects of a hurricane at least. Storm surge won’t be an issue for you unless it causes the Neuse River to flood, and even then your elevation could prevent flooding in your immediate area.
Look online for a topographical map that will show elevation for where you’re located, as well as elevation for the river and any creeks or other bodies of water nearby. Do any of the nearby residences have raised foundations and/or built up parking areas that are several feet higher than the surrounding land?
Here’s an online GIS system for Onslow County showing flood zones, flood risk, etc.
http://fris.nc.gov/fris/Index.aspx?FIPS=133&ST=NC&user=General%20Public
Generator - check
Gas - check
Propane - check
Outdoor stuff put up - check
Beer, tequila and chips - check, check & check
Chocolate?
That is gonna be some unfortunate scheduling. Storm should be beyond there by then, but a wedding? That might be difficult...particularly if a mandatory evac is ordered.
Amen to the unfortunate scheduling. My heart goes out to the MOTB. This has been her raison d’être for the last few months.
Godmother lived in Satellite Beach, FL from 1972 until 2005. She never left home/evacuated, for any storms. Until all her children and sisters browbeat her to evacuate in 2004.
She went to a family member in Orlando, and got hit there. She said she would not evacuate again. And she didn’t.
gunna suck to be me thursday night
My mother’s home was uninhabitable after the first of two storms made landfall at Stuart FL in 2004.
What is your storm plan?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.