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Reuters-Ipsos Poll Showing Hillary Up by 6 Pts. Sampled 44% Dem, 33% Rep (Actual Result Trump +2.5%)
The Gateway Pundit ^ | Sep 29th, 2016 | Jim Hoft

Posted on 09/29/2016 9:35:15 AM PDT by xzins

The latest Ipsos-Reuters poll has Hillary up 6 points over Donald Trump.

For this poll, Ipsos spoke to 1705 Americans, of whom 752 were Democrats.

ipsos-poll-fraud

That’s 44 percent of the total.

Only 29 percent of Americans identify as Democrats.

Ipsos spoke to 570 Republicans for the poll.

That’s 33 percent of the total.

That’s media fraud.

Prepare for the landslide.

UPDATE: Via Zero Hedge —

Using Reuters’ data, Hillary supposedly has a 6-point lead over Trump. However, if we alter the sample data to reflect what Pew says is the real distribution of democrats versus republicans (i.e. 33% vs. 29%, respectively) and apply the same support levels by party affiliation it results in an 8.5% swing toward Trump who would have a 2.5% lead….very inconvenient.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; elections; fraud; hillary; mediabias; polls; trump
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To: Red Steel

Yep...I remember. When I got home I put Fox News on and Brit Hume had his roundtable discussing what a terrible campaign Bush ran and giving all the reasons why he ‘lost’. Before ANY polls had closed anywhere.


61 posted on 09/29/2016 11:04:09 AM PDT by pgkdan (The Silent MajorityStands With TRUMP!)
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To: xzins

Are you saying that they over sampled Democrats 752 to 570?


62 posted on 09/29/2016 11:04:51 AM PDT by Sam Gamgee
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To: Red Steel

“It also reminds me when I read the NY Slimes or WaPo Compost was pushing a poll 10 days before the 1980 election showing Reagan down by 10%. LoL.”

“I, also, recall the headline in my local paper the Monday before election day 1980: “Carter Pulls Even With Reagan.”

Special Report
How Carter Beat Reagan
Washington Post admits polling was “in-kind contribution”; New York Times agenda polling.
By Jeffrey Lord – 9.25.12
Dick Morris is right.

Here’s something Dick Morris doesn’t mention. And he’s charitable.

Remember when Jimmy Carter beat Ronald Reagan in 1980?

That’s right. Jimmy Carter beat Ronald Reagan in 1980.

In a series of nine stories in 1980 on “Crucial States” — battleground states as they are known today — the New York Times repeatedly told readers then-President Carter was in a close and decidedly winnable race with the former California governor. And used polling data from the New York Times/CBS polls to back up its stories.

Four years later, it was the Washington Post that played the polling game — and when called out by Reagan campaign manager Ed Rollins a famous Post executive called his paper’s polling an “in-kind contribution to the Mondale campaign.” Mondale, of course, being then-President Reagan’s 1984 opponent and Carter’s vice president.

All of which will doubtless serve as a reminder of just how blatantly polling data is manipulated by liberal media — used essentially as a political weapon to support the liberal of the moment, whether Jimmy Carter in 1980, Walter Mondale in 1984 — or Barack Obama in 2012.

First the Times in 1980 and how it played the polling game.
The states involved, and the datelines for the stories:
· California — October 6, 1980
· Texas — October 8, 1980
· Pennsylvania — October 10, 1980
· Illinois — October 13, 1980
· Ohio — October 15, 1980
· New Jersey — October 16, 1980
· Florida — October 19, 1980
· New York — October 21, 1980
· Michigan — October 23, 1980

Of these nine only one was depicted as “likely” for Reagan: Reagan’s own California. A second — New Jersey — was presented as a state that “appears to support” Reagan.

The Times led their readers to believe that each of the remaining seven states were “close” — or the Times had Carter leading outright.

In every single case the Times was proven grossly wrong on election day. Reagan in fact carried every one of the nine states.

Here is how the Times played the game with the seven of the nine states in question.

• Texas: In a story datelined October 8 from Houston, the Times headlined:

Texas Looming as a Close Battle Between President and Reagan
The Reagan-Carter race in Texas, the paper claimed, had “suddenly tightened and now shapes up as a close, bruising battle to the finish.” The paper said “a New York Times/CBS News Poll, the second of seven in crucial big states, showing the Reagan-Carter race now a virtual dead heat despite a string of earlier polls on both sides that had shown the state leaning toward Mr. Reagan.”

The narrative? It was like the famous scene in the Wizard of Oz where Dorothy and her friends stare in astonishment as dog Toto pulls back the curtain in the wizard’s lair to reveal merely a man bellowing through a microphone. Causing the startled “wizard” caught in the act to frantically start yelling, “Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain!” In the case of the Times in its look at Texas in October of 1980 the paper dismissed “a string of earlier polls on both sides” that repeatedly showed Texas going for Reagan.

Instead, the Times presented this data:
A survey of 1,050 registered voters, weighted to form a probable electorate, gave Mr. Carter 40 percent support, Mr. Reagan 39 percent, John. B. Anderson, the independent candidate, 3 percent, and 18 percent were undecided. The survey, conducted by telephone from Oct. 1 to Oct. 6, has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

In other words, the race in Texas is close, assures the Times, with Carter actually in the lead.

What happened? Reagan beat Carter by over 13 points. It wasn’t even close to close.


63 posted on 09/29/2016 11:06:23 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (In a time of universal deceit - teIlling the truth is a revolutionary act! George Orwell)
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To: xzins

Can’t wait for the Ipso Facto Poll. Should be more accurate.


64 posted on 09/29/2016 11:06:23 AM PDT by MadMax, the Grinning Reaper
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To: Red Steel; LS

663 TO 897

Males to Females

42.5% to 57.5%

US Census says

48% to 52%


65 posted on 09/29/2016 11:09:04 AM PDT by xzins ( Free Republic Gives YOU a voice heard around the globe. Support the Freepathon!)
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To: xzins

I understand the census percentages...but what is the usual percentage in US General Elections?


66 posted on 09/29/2016 11:10:40 AM PDT by wareagle7295
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To: Sam Gamgee

67 posted on 09/29/2016 11:12:18 AM PDT by xzins ( Free Republic Gives YOU a voice heard around the globe. Support the Freepathon!)
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To: Biggirl

Sure about what?


68 posted on 09/29/2016 11:12:44 AM PDT by nhwingut (Trump-Pence 2016 - Blow Up The GOPe)
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To: wareagle7295; LS

I believe LS has posted it in the past as being parallel to the census data


69 posted on 09/29/2016 11:13:26 AM PDT by xzins ( Free Republic Gives YOU a voice heard around the globe. Support the Freepathon!)
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To: wareagle7295

Rest assured that it isn’t 42.5 to 57.5.


70 posted on 09/29/2016 11:14:41 AM PDT by xzins ( Free Republic Gives YOU a voice heard around the globe. Support the Freepathon!)
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To: nhwingut

Of what you have posted?


71 posted on 09/29/2016 11:17:17 AM PDT by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: Red Steel

Quote: “For this poll right here for internals.”

Can you find the internals for the polls conducted immediately before the debate?


72 posted on 09/29/2016 11:18:23 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: Biggirl

That polls shape opinion instead of reflecting it? And that combined with the bogus fact check hoaxers, they have a stronghold on the propaganda in this country?

Yes!


73 posted on 09/29/2016 11:22:51 AM PDT by nhwingut (Trump-Pence 2016 - Blow Up The GOPe)
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To: dp0622

I disagree bud... while your point about being more honest is certainly true, they can easily be manipulated - even more than scientific polls.... and not just landlines, - a mix of cell and landline


74 posted on 09/29/2016 11:25:18 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: xzins

It is way more fun when Trump is leading a poll regardless of the reason.


75 posted on 09/29/2016 11:25:36 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: LS

The insanity is almost over, mercifully


76 posted on 09/29/2016 11:27:48 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: Chauncey Gardiner

“I do not remember, but I believe it has to do with their tendency to turn out, but I could be wrong.

yes, you are wrong


77 posted on 09/29/2016 11:30:37 AM PDT by heights
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To: xzins

Wait, I get 39% Hillary and 36% Trump. Based on Democrats being 43% of voters, and Republicans 39% of voters. Did I miss something?


78 posted on 09/29/2016 11:30:49 AM PDT by Sam Gamgee
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

i just got an online poll from yougov and i am about to BURST!!!

it was about that new ####ing hillary commercial calling a woman a fat pig and then showing girls all depressed about being heavy.

if we lose this race, it will be the most blatant example of the media collusion and will be the start of a civil war


79 posted on 09/29/2016 11:32:45 AM PDT by dp0622 (IThe only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: inchworm

“There was no enthusiasm for Algore, and John FrankenKerry, and look how close those elections were.”

Wrong, on their worst days their crowds were 5x Hillary’s.


80 posted on 09/29/2016 11:32:58 AM PDT by heights
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