Posted on 09/24/2016 9:40:51 PM PDT by NYRepublican72
In all, 44 percent of likely voters say they’d vote for Trump if the election were today, numerically his best since spring. Forty-six percent prefer Clinton, unchanged from an ABC/Post poll early this month and virtually unchanged since June. The 2-point gap between them is not significant, given the survey’s margin of sampling error. The race has closed from an 8-point Clinton lead in early August.
Support for third-party candidate Gary Johnson slipped to a new low, 5 percent in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, with the biggest departure among Republicans and GOP-leaning independents -- thus mainly benefiting Trump.
(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...
“if the numbers were normalized for D+4?”
Why is D+4 “normal”?
In the midterms two years ago it was an even split between dems and reps (36-36-28).
In 2012 when Obama won it was D+6.
I wouldn’t be surprised if republicans beat dems in turnout this year.
D+10 in this poll is obviously absurd. Hillary won’t overperform Obama. This gives her a false sense of comfort. Her stupid handlers probably believe the poll is accurate.
The scary part for Her Heinous is the geographic distribution of her support. Winning by large margins in safe States like New York or California doesn’t help her in battleground States. If her “+2%” in this national poll is all from these “Safe Zones”, then she’s in deep kimchee.
2008 Obama-mania year was only D +7. These clowns, like many of these moron pollsters, have Shillary outperforming Obama. LoL.
Hahahahaha -
Same sh*t Muhlenberg pulled in PA - with D +8, they also had Hillary ahead by +2!
So its a dead heat with these rigged polls.
What it means is Trump is really ahead. Must be killing them to even put it out.
Soon they’ll have to limit their polls to registered Democrats in Manhattan and San Francisco to keep her above +2.
Look, you guys are overboard with this D+10 stuff.
There are two ways you get D+10. One is you screen for it. You make random calls and if you don’t have D+10 you toss out phone call results until you get D+10.
The other way is you make random calls and D+10 is what is sampled. THAT would be bad. And don’t presume D+10 randomly obtained is bogus. If that’s what their phone calls got, that’s what they got.
Her handlers know exactly what’s going on. They live and die by polls.
D+10 is outrageous. This spells deep trouble for Hillary.
I never said D+4 was “normal”. The question was what would the outcome be if the poll was adjusted to D+4. Maybe “normalize” was the wrong word to use or too confusing. Anyway, DEMs are more likely to vote in presidential elections than the midterms. So, if it was D+6 in 2012, D+4 for 2012 is not going to be too far off, especially in light of possible massive voter fraud.
Real accurate.
Early voting in FL appears to be R +4 at the least.
Not that they’ll ever admit it. Can you say massive confirmation bias?
Yup.
Its going to be at least R +4 if FL is any indication of where things are headed.
Liars’ polls are going to be shown up November 8.
And they still can’t lie well enough to drag Hillary over the finish line.
Florida with 2,036,643 ballots sent out, it’s R +6%. :-)
North Carolina and Iowa with similar results. These thing usually stay to form through to the election.
If it were a one-off, that would be one thing. This poll consistently overpolls or adjusts for a Democrat-favorable sample. I think the last one was D+8, IIRC.
Yup.
We’re seeing a monster Republican vote emerging.
It won’t be a dead heat and it won’t be close.
😅👍🇺🇸
I encourage people to start openly displaying their support for Trump with bumper stickers, signs, shirts, etc. It`s a battle for the LIV` at this point, to a large extent. Seeing a large groundswell of support for Trump all around has a significant effect for many of them.
Let’s note that in state polls, Hillary’s share of the vote ranges from the low to high 30s.
Hillary is underperforming any recent Democratic presidential candidate - and that’s not a compliment.
MSM and their pollster hacks can’t or don’t want to see it.
By gosh....I am beginning to really believe!
Are you sure that’s not her double?
The other 8% is miscellaneous, like green, libertarian, marijuana party, etc
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