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The USC Dornsife / LA Times Presidential Election "Daybreak" Poll (T: 45.4, C: 43)
cesrusc.org ^ | 9/21/16

Posted on 09/22/2016 3:42:54 AM PDT by PapaBear3625

see chart at site

(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; clinton; elections; polls; trump
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To: LS
I also have Colorado in Trump's column at 64.59% chance of winning. This new poll is a total flip.

Looking at that poll, it is of 540 registered Colorado voters, the poll was conducted by telephone and online interviews between Sept. 14-18. It included 172 Democrats, 174 Republicans and 154 unaffiliated voters. The margin of error is plus or minus 5.1 percent.

-PJ

61 posted on 09/22/2016 8:18:30 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too (If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)
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To: LS
I think I'm going to ignore that Franklin and Marshal College poll. There is no reason for a "registered voter" poll this close to the election.

-PJ

62 posted on 09/22/2016 8:25:35 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too (If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)
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To: Political Junkie Too

statespoll.com have the USC poll at a 5+ spread. Remember, USC “changed its methodology” three days ago. Now, they said it was just in how they “called” the margin of error, but honestly I think they manipulated a bit more because it’s clear that statespoll.com has adjusted them three days running.


63 posted on 09/22/2016 9:10:24 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Helicondelta

Bill Mitchell said the poll fluxuates so much it’s not to be taken seriously any longer. One day Trump is getting 20% of the black vote the next day 2%. Same with melinnials. One day he’s up 7, the next day Clinton leads. She goes up when she disappears and spends a week in the bunker. She goes up when there’s no rationale for her to go up. This poll should be thrown in the trash. And RCP should quit using any daily poll to average numbers. It’s ridiculous.


64 posted on 09/22/2016 9:55:16 AM PDT by NKP_Vet (In matters of style, swim with the current; in matters of principle,stand like a rock ~ T, Jefferson)
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To: LS

Looking at the graph it’s obvious (to my eye, at least) that the last 3 days are a result of the “adjustment.” It doesn’t look like typical movement in a rolling daily poll. Also, the shaded area is significantly narrower all the way back to the beginning.

I’m sure the pressure to modify their methodology was tremendous; Trump was likely going to touch 50% and HRC was likely headed for 39%.

In 4 more days the “reset” will be complete and we will see what the new normal is for this poll.

http://cesrusc.org/election/


65 posted on 09/22/2016 9:59:30 AM PDT by Quicksilver (Trump / Pence 2016)
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To: Quicksilver

It’s interesting that statepolls.com using last D/R samples M/F samples has Trump surging virtually everywhere, and it also has USC back at 5.7%.


66 posted on 09/22/2016 10:14:18 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: jokemoke

The polls have to show Hillary close to Trump in order for the electronic voting machine & other voter fraud to work.....

Remember, the GOP establishment are for Hillary....without a genuine opposition party, theft of the election by the Bohemia Grove luciferians is entirely possible......


67 posted on 09/22/2016 10:35:20 AM PDT by Trump_vs_Evil_Witch (Huma Abedin + Hillary Clinton => Muslim Brotherhood asset, lesbian spy ring)
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To: Helicondelta; Biggirl

When it’s down THREE DAYS in a row AFTER terrorist attacks (because the MSM makes the A@@holes in this country think Trump’s “incendiary” talk is causing it,

it’s reason for MOTHER ####ING alarm.

ignoring it dont change it.

A@@holes will vote to appease when given the chance. That’s what makes them A@@holes.

We just have to hope there are less a@@holes on election day than smart people


68 posted on 09/22/2016 11:27:40 AM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: xzins

5. Run an aggressive paid media campaign to get around the media narrative and counter Hillary.


69 posted on 09/22/2016 3:35:27 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: LS

The US Dornsife LA Times daybreak poll didn’t update this morning.

I’ve been checking first thing in the morning for a few weeks, and it always updates to reflect the previous day a few minutes after 3am eastern time.

This is the first time I can’t get it to update by hitting the refresh button.

Do you know what’s going on?

The last date it shows is 9/21/16 (another decline for Trump, and reciprocal improvement for Clinton).


70 posted on 09/23/2016 8:38:35 AM PDT by enumerated
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