Posted on 09/17/2016 10:14:32 PM PDT by CaptainK
WASHINGTON — Democrat Hillary Clinton has a 9-point lead among likely Pennsylvania voters as Republican Donald Trump continues to struggle among groups key to winning the state, according to a Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll released Saturday.
The survey, conducted Sept. 12-16, shows Clinton leading the presidential race here with support from 47 percent of likely voters who say they intend to vote for her or are leaning that way. Trump is at 38 percent, while 11 percent say they'd pick neither of the major-party choices, and 4 percent are not sure.
Clinton's lead narrows slightly to 8 percent when third-party candidates are included, with 40 percent for her, 32 percent for Trump, 14 percent for Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and 5 percent for Green Party nominee Jill Stein.
(Excerpt) Read more at mcall.com ...
How can Trump be so far behind in PA when he’s ahead in national polls???
What was the D/R ratio?
I’ve read no internals for the poll. Released on a Saturday?
He’s not.
Especially not after today/tonight.
47/38
Let me correct that
1. Democrat 47%
2. Republican 39%
3. Independent 11%
4. Other party 2%
47% D, 39% R. So it’s utter bilge.
I have never heard of this particular poll.
They haven’t released internals. Also, they underpolled Trump ~20 points in the primary...
D 47 R 39 I 11 Oth 2. There is a link to the PDF with the toplines.
Bilge? You are being too gentle.
I can’t recall a Muhlenberg College poll ever favor a Republican. Same poll has Toomey losing.
+8 D. Another over-sample of democrats. If it was +2 or 3 D I would be more concerned with these numbers. That said....I don’t trust PA & if I were Trump I would be spending my time & money in Colorado & Virginia in place of PA to get the 270 EVs he needs.
A HREF=https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-7mhXduBwVw>They had this ad agency in charge of the surveying</A>
Q19: What county do you currently reside in?(OPEN ENDED – CODED INTO CATEGORIES)
1. Southeast (including Lehigh Valley)...........40%
2.Southwest......................................18%
3. Remainder of State............................42%
This is how they did in their final poll of 2012
They polled
Dem 46%
Rep 42%
Ind 11%
Other 1%
Their results
Obama 48%
Romney 46%
undec 7%
Real Results
Obama 51.97%
Romney 46.59%
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