Posted on 09/15/2016 10:02:49 AM PDT by usafa92
West Long Branch, NJ - Donald Trump now has an 8 point lead over Hillary Clinton in the battle for Iowa's electoral votes, according to the Monmouth University Poll . He held a slimmer 2 point edge in July. In the race for U.S. Senate, incumbent Chuck Grassley maintains a double digit advantage over Democratic challenger Patty Judge.
Among Iowa voters likely to participate in November's presidential election, 45% currently support Trump and 37% back Clinton. Another 8% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson, 2% say they will support Green Party candidate Jill Stein, 2% say they will vote for another candidate, and 6% are undecided. Trump's current standing is similar to his 44% share two months ago, but Clinton has lost support since July when she had a 42% vote share.
Among self-identified Republicans, 81% support Trump, which is down from 87% in July. Clinton has improved her standing among Democrats from 86% two months ago to 91% in the current poll. Trump has been able to increase his overall lead, though, by improving his share of the independent vote. He now leads Clinton 44% to 29% among independents, compared to a much narrower 39% to 35% edge he had in July.
Nearly half (48%) of Iowa voters under age 50 currently support Trump compared to 33% for Clinton, 10% for Johnson, and 4% for Stein or another candidate. Two months ago, the under 50 vote split 51% for Trump, 32% for Clinton, 7% for Johnson, and 3% for another candidate. In Monmouth polls conducted nationally and in other states, Clinton has had the advantage with younger voters.
Voters age 50 and older are almost evenly divided between the two major party nominees. Currently, Trump has the support of 42% of this group, Clinton has 41%, Johnson has 6%, and other candidates have 4%. In July, Clinton actually had an advantage among voters age 50 and older, with 50% support compared to 38% for Trump, 4% for Johnson and 1% for other candidates.
Trump (42%) and Clinton (43%) are basically tied among voters with a college degree while Trump leads 47% to 34% among those without a college education. In July, Clinton had a 46% to 34% edge with college graduates while Trump had a 50% to 40% lead among those without a college degree.
"Iowa is one of the few places where Trump has been able make inroads among voting blocs that generally support Clinton," said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.
Iowa voters take a dim view of both major party candidates. Only 32% have a favorable opinion of Trump while 55% hold an unfavorable view of him, which is similar to his 33% - 51% rating in July. Likewise, only 30% have a favorable opinion of Clinton while 58% hold an unfavorable view of her, which is similar to her 32% - 56% rating two months ago.
Turning to the Hawkeye State's U.S. Senate race, six-term incumbent Chuck Grassley has nearly doubled his prior lead over former Lieutenant Governor Patty Judge. The race now stands at 56% for Grassley and 39% for Judge, with 2% supporting other candidates and 3% who are undecided. The incumbent held a 52% to 42% lead in Monmouth's July poll.
Grassley's electoral strength is built on a strong job performance rating from Iowa voters - 58% approve and 31% disapprove of the job he has done in Washington. He also has a solid personal rating of 50% favorable and 29% unfavorable, compared with a 46% favorable and 31% unfavorable rating in July.
Voters are more divided about the challenger. Judge holds a 27% favorable and 20% unfavorable rating with 52% having no opinion of her. Her July rating was slightly better at 30% favorable and 14% unfavorable, with 56% having no opinion.
The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from September 12 to 14, 2016 with 404 Iowa residents likely to vote in the November election. This sample has a margin of error of + 4.9 percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.
Iowa and North Carolina shouldn’t even be mentioned as swing states anymore at this point.
Those are massively both in Trumps column already.
Civitas has NC tied at 42-42 today. Not sure why NC is so tight but every poll in NC is showing a tight race. Suffolk is out today with another OH poll showing Trump up 3.
Listen.
There is no world where Trump loses North Carolina. Heck, even that loser Romney won North Carolina.
ahhh for got the br backets :(
The Clinton Crash is on.
Go Hawks !
This is YUGE...this is a must-win state for Trump, something that Romney couldn’t manage. This will really help give him other paths to 270.
I visit various electoral college map sites, and they all show Iowa and NC as too close to call. Are we seeing doctored polls which exaggerate Hillary’s popularity??
I could have sworn I heard Reuters changed their poll methodology so that they could show Hillary in the lead. I can’t find documentation of that anywhere. But have heard other rumors of doctored polls because the liberals running these polls want to show Hillary is ahead.
This particular poll has a tell that leads me to think it is a bit more honest than most. It shows Sen. Grassley with a 15-point lead over the Dem challenger. He’ll likely win by 25 or more points, so this poll at least leans in the right direction.
-PJ
Iowa, and Michigan would be great.
I love it. Donald, work hard, stay on message and take this thing home. America is depending on you for our very survival.
LoL at these Dem pollster. Trump has got NC.
i think this might be a little high based on what I see here in Iowa. iI do think Trump and Grassley win but it will be closer than these margins.
That NC poll was +14 democrat. A real sham poll.
Where did you see that VA state poll?
So you believe Patty Judge is a stronger candidate than Roxanne Conlin? Grassley beat Conlin by 30 points last time.
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