Posted on 08/27/2016 11:03:37 AM PDT by Mariner
The political team at the Florida Chamber of Commerce has come across a remarkable trend this campaign season: A huge spike in mail voting by people who rarely vote in primary elections.
Almost half of the mail ballots returned so far for Tuesdays primary election have come from Floridians who voted in either one or zero of the past four primary elections. That means a big, decisive chunk of the vote will come from people who have not been polled, and potentially not courted, targeted or accounted for by countless campaigns across the state.
This is huge, said Marian Johnson, senior vice president of political strategy for the Florida Chamber and one of the foremost experts on Florida campaigns and politics. I can envision election night when the votes are counted that certain people win that nobody thought had a chance, and that being attributed to this trend.
As of Thursday morning, more than 855,000 primary ballots had been cast by mail. More than a quarter of those votes came from Floridians who had not voted in the last four primaries and another 20 percent from people who voted in just one of the last four primaries.
In other words, these are not likely voters surveyed by most pollsters or targeted by sophisticated political campaigns. The trend applies to Democrats and Republicans alike and across the state, said Johnson, who was shocked when she first spotted the trend developing weeks ago.
The first thing I did was go back to my data people and said, 'Are you sure you ran this right?
(Excerpt) Read more at miamiherald.com ...
From your keyboard to G-d’s ears.
8^)
5.56mm
Marian Johnson is a conservative and is one of the best political strategists in Florida.
I have an aversion to too smooth talking, slick little pretty boys. They ALWAYS are weaklings interested in only themselves.
LOL In this case you’re excused. Say what you really think! :>)
Sad if it’s true, and it probably is.
The People have their perfect Florida Senator in Carlos.
Well, there’s TWO intelligent votes!!
: )
Thanks for sayin’ what I was thinkin’...........................
:>)
Are these new voters backers of Mrs. Bill, or is it impossible to know?
>>I have an aversion to too smooth talking, slick little pretty boys. They ALWAYS are weaklings interested in only themselves.
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LOL, so true!
Leni
“Nor are these new primary voters likely to significantly help the outsider presidential candidate in November. The vast majority of these new primary voters are regular general election voters already, Johnson said.”
A lot of Snow Birds voting in the primary?
Hopefully none of these are mass mailings from the same address.
Florida is a closed primary, so the massive Dem vote is for Dems.
I think Rubio will win this easily, but I still think it’s important to get out and vote for Beruff to make a statement. Hopefully, he will over-perform his polls.
So far in Cuyahoga Co OH 29,000 new Republicans registered while Ds lost between 44,000 and 111,000
(Is grew by 44,000 so SOME Ds might just be Is)
Senate, house, and local primary. Yep Florida votes three times this year.
Are you saying republicans are conducting fraud? You do know more new ballots are republican?
You are registered when you get your drivers license. No time limit. My wife and I registered 1 week after arriving in Florida. Did need a utility bill though. I ran mine off the computer since I didn’t get one in the mail yet.
I’m saying that absentee voting and early voting are fraud vectors.
Absentee ballots are checked against the voter rolls...
These were verified a few years ago...
Florida was sued to stop the process...
They lost...
I have a fair amount of confidence pulling off massive fraud in Florida is difficult...
I used to think that but statistics have proven less then 1 percent of voting is fraud and it is equal across both parties. But I used to think fraud big time until the stats came out and was like wow not bad at all.
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