Posted on 08/26/2016 12:46:01 PM PDT by Hojczyk
Is elite overconfidence surfacing again? Donald Trump says that the same experts and pollsters who incorrectly predicted that British voters would vote to stay in the European Union are now dismissing his chances to win the White House.
That’s mostly true. Before the Brexit vote, PredictWise, a website that aggregates data on the likelihood of events, found that there was a 21 percent chance of its being approved. Early on the night of June 23, when Britons voted, it pinned the chances of Brexit’s passing at only 12 percent. Over the last month, PredictWise has placed Trump’s chances of winning at between 19 percent and 30 percent. Other American prediction outlets give Trump only a 15 to 25 percent chance of victory.
Over the next ten weeks, we will no doubt see a domestic version of Project Fear accelerate in the presidential race. As in Britain, the liberal establishment and its media allies will paint a dystopian vision of what America would be like under President Trump. As my readers know, I am no fan of Donald Trump, who is neither a conservative nor a truth-teller. But I am confident that the attack on him will be well over the top, and it could easily backfire.
In Britain, anti-Brexiters’ predictions of economic disaster didn’t persuade a majority of voters because only two regions of the country — London and the southeast — had seen average incomes rise above the levels they were before the 2008 recession. As Larry Elliott, the economics editor of the Guardian noted this week: “After weighing up the pros and cons, plenty of voters didn’t think they were risking all that much.”
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
Let’s prove them wrong again!!!
How can they predict before the debates?
Coming from the National Review, this pegs my irony-meter.
This is from John Fund? Whoa. He’s been anti-Trump for so long I stopped reading his stuff months ago.
To quote a famous man, Jethro, “Hot diggity dog!”
Dewey Defeats Truman!
I can’t believe Hillary already has this won. There is no way she will get the turnout that Obama did in either 2008 or 2012. There is no enthusiasm among young voters. She will not get 95% of black voters. Trump will probably have strong leads among indies, males, and white working class, and he is a movement candidate with people who are far more motivated than her base. Does she have some other strong coalition?
What exactly is it that Trump is supposed to be lying about? We know Hillary can't open her mouth without lying.
Sean Hannity just said he hates to say it but thinks she can win. I’m depressed.
Consider the BS source which published an entire anti-Trump issue!!
BTW: CSPAN IS AIRING TRUMP’S MISSISSIPPI RALLY FROM THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN WHICH NIGEL FARAGE BASICALLY ENDORSED TRUMP THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AT 12:40 PM ET!!!
“Sean Hannity just said he hates to say it but thinks she can win. I’m depressed.”
By all means stay home.
I have no pity for you people still listening to talk radio and watching Fox, and then coming here to emote.
From that faux conservative John Fund.
Why would a candidate who is actually ahead in the polls stoop so low as to deliver the kind of hate speech she gave yesterday???
Moreover, do you know that Trump’s next rally is scheduled to take place in Everett, Washington???
His internals must show that he is doing well enough in the battleground swing states to expand his horizons into the Pacific Northwest!!!
I believe most of the polls are MSM propaganda!!!
Disappointed that Hannity would stab Trump in the back like this!!! He rails against the GOPe RINOs for not supporting Trump and then says something this asinine!!
BTW, his Trump Town Halls from Texas this week will re air this weekend, at 8 PM ET Saturday and Sunday with repeats at 11 PM and 2 AM overnight!!!
I’m wondering how long Hannity will be allowed to continue his overt support platforms for Trump???
Maybe TPTB have warned him to get in line. Fox isn’t much better than CNN and MSNBC these days, other than Hannity’s show and sometimes O’Reilly. Even Judge Jeanine buys into the BS polls despite being Trump’s “friend.”
This morning, I had to tune out Fox Business because Stuart Varney was all negative on Trump. Hope Lou Dobbs doesn’t buckle to the pressure, too!!
Also, how can they predict before Trump’s barrage of ads has begun?
Of course she CAN win, but it doesn’t mean she WILL win.
Trump is only starting.
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