I can’t believe Hillary already has this won. There is no way she will get the turnout that Obama did in either 2008 or 2012. There is no enthusiasm among young voters. She will not get 95% of black voters. Trump will probably have strong leads among indies, males, and white working class, and he is a movement candidate with people who are far more motivated than her base. Does she have some other strong coalition?
She starts out with 217 electoral votes and up to 249 ‘leans Democrat’ more. 270 is not that far away. Doesn’t matter much what the polls say. The Democrats have almost fixed it where the electoral votes are locked in.