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Clinton Rises to 348 Electoral Votes, Trump Drops to 190
Sabato's Crystal Ball ^ | August 18, 2016 | Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley

Posted on 08/18/2016 3:03:57 PM PDT by C19fan

New Hampshire may just have four electoral votes, but it’s important. If you doubt it, just ask any Granite State citizens, and they’ll tell you about their first-in-the-nation primary. Even that quartet of electoral votes can matter; in 2000, if Al Gore had just won them (and without Ralph Nader on the ballot, he probably would have), Gore would have been president even without Florida. He didn’t and he wasn’t.

Since 2000, we’ve watched New Hampshire become more reliable for the Democrats in presidential years. Neighbor John Kerry of Massachusetts won 50.2% in 2004, and Barack Obama easily carried the Granite State in 2008 (54.1%) and 2012 (52.0%). And now, Hillary Clinton is doing so well that her polling lead in the state is about seven-to-eight points, depending on the average, and now we’re ready to shift New Hampshire from Leans Democratic to Likely Democratic.

(Excerpt) Read more at centerforpolitics.org ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016; 2016polls; electoralcollege; newhampshire; nh; potus; sabato; trump
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To: jsanders2001
“Well helll no wonder she’s running out of money. “

All you have to do is imagine 400 million in foreign currency on pallets loaded in a unmarked plane destined to terrorists in Iran.

The level of corruption in Washington D.C. and the leftstream media is so encompassing that Hillary doesn't have to worry about money or ‘election results’.

To hell with petty vote fraud here and there, they will change the numbers outright or use one of the alphabet groups like the irs to torpedo Trump.

With no checks on the left, their options are unlimited.

61 posted on 08/18/2016 4:59:40 PM PDT by Electric Graffiti (DEPORT OBOLA VOTERS)
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To: C19fan

Oh no, Omg, Ooh


62 posted on 08/18/2016 5:02:03 PM PDT by Grampa Dave ((My passion for freedom is stronger than that of the Democrats whose obsession is to enslave me.))
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To: C19fan

Sabato is dyslexic.


63 posted on 08/18/2016 5:04:16 PM PDT by AmusedBystander (The philosophy of the school room in one generation will be the philosophy of government in the next)
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To: ZULU

Sabato is a Hillary Democrat.

Trump vs. Hillary – It’s a No-Brainer

US Defense Watch ^ | August 17, 2016 | Ray Starmann
Posted on 8/17/2016, 8:37:27 PM by pboyington

The current election is historic for many reasons: the Democrats have nominated a woman for the first time to run for the nation’s highest office and a blue collar billionaire has galvanized the Silent Majority and created a modern populist movement of patriots from every corner of society. Meanwhile, GOP Establishment pundits and politicians plot and scheme to sabotage the election without any thought of the consequences.

Hillary Clinton has at least 75% of the media on her side, doing whatever they can to help her. The liberal media is collaborating with the Clinton Campaign in a grandiose Maskirovka, psy ops campaign the KGB would have envied. Deception is the order of the day. Polls numbers are inflated or completely concocted. The slightest off color comment by Trump is jettisoned out at light speed to leftist trolls in the social media world. Any negative information about the Clinton Foundation, the Email Scandal, Benghazi and the women Bill Clinton has raped and molested is buried within minutes.

Rumors of Hillary’s horrendous health issues, including petit mal seizures, bizarre facial expressions, losing track of her thoughts, falling, fainting, forgetfulness and referring to Trump as her husband are all brushed off as part of that Right Wing Conspiracy that has seemed to follow Hillary around since the day she was fired from the Watergate Committee for immoral behavior.

This election is historic, but it is also a no-brainer. If you want four to eight more years of the Obama Administration’s disastrous policies, by all means, vote for Hillary Clinton. If you want a President who could be worse than Obama, vote for Hillary Clinton.

reerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3460568/posts


64 posted on 08/18/2016 5:07:16 PM PDT by Grampa Dave ((My passion for freedom is stronger than that of the Democrats whose obsession is to enslave me.))
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To: edie1960

I know who I’m voting for but when do we start believing the polls?....


65 posted on 08/18/2016 5:09:15 PM PDT by cherry
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To: C19fan

Many of the so called pollsters like thishave been Democrat Operatives for decades going back to when they predicted Carter would beat Reagan.

Pollsters today like this joker, are like the buggy whip makers in the early 1900’s, facing economic devastation because they can’t poll many people. They are in a losing battle with social media and cell phones.

Now, they are trying to compete with cell phones, social media and the problem of less landline phones.

More and more people on both ends of the age spectrum do not have landline phones. They only have cell phones.

Does anyone with a cell phone ever answer any unknown numbers and specifically any 800 #’s?
Probably not.

We use no more robocalls on our two land lines. Zero pollsters have gotten through since we started using no more robocalls, 2 plus years ago.

None of our voting age relatives have received a call from any pollster this election. That is 20+ Trump voters.

Then, there is this on social media versus polls:
Social Media Patterns Show Trump Is Looking at a Landslide Victory

Gateway Pundit ^ | Aug 7th, 2016 | Jim Hoft
Posted on 8/7/2016, 8:32:37 AM by detective

Current polls show the race for President is much tighter than it really is. Ann Coulter warned us years ago in her bestseller Slander that Democrats and the liberal media always use polls to manipulate and discourage conservatives from voting. Thanks to social media there is more and more evidence that the polls are way off and if things stay as they are, Trump will win in a landslide!

It’s evident that, Hillary has a hard time filling a Union Hall or high school gym while Trump regularly turns people away from his stadium and arena venues.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3457347/posts

A final question have you or any Trump voters, you know, actually been polled this year?


66 posted on 08/18/2016 5:11:21 PM PDT by Grampa Dave ((My passion for freedom is stronger than that of the Democrats whose obsession is to enslave me.))
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To: C19fan

so it’s SCREW THE VOTERS TIME ?


67 posted on 08/18/2016 5:14:50 PM PDT by butlerweave
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To: sergeantdave

Sabato is playing with fire.

All of these Goebbels clones think they can play the game and not suffer the consequences of losing the war.


68 posted on 08/18/2016 5:16:21 PM PDT by Rome2000 (SMASH THE CPUSA-SIC SEMPER TYRANNIS-CLOSE ALL MOSQUES)
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To: dforest
they plan cheating

IMO that's why Scalia is no longer with us.

If/when a vote fraud case comes before SCOTUS it will tie and the lower ruling will stand.

How convenient.

69 posted on 08/18/2016 5:18:10 PM PDT by Bobalu (Democrats use guns to shoot the innocent. Republicans use them for self-defense.)
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To: C19fan
“Liars Are Us” is not only a tag that can legitimately be worn by Barack Obama and his handpicked replacement but one that should identify a mainstream media that is keeping Hillary Clinton leading most polls."

”The propaganda going on in today’s MSM would make Goebbels proud. It’s absolutely outrageous the slander and libel going on everyday against Trump, and people of ALL political persuasions should be outraged. If politicians were able to sue these slime bags for slander and libel Trump would have made himself another 10 billion by now. How outrageous is it that the media completely ignored the fact that the DNC celebrated the mother of an attempted cop killer and instead chose to focus on the lesser story of Trump questioning why a woman didn’t speak. So attempted cop killers - Good. Asking a question - BAD!” posted on 8/13/2016, 7:04:57 AM by GrandJediMasterYoda


70 posted on 08/18/2016 5:19:20 PM PDT by Grampa Dave ((My passion for freedom is stronger than that of the Democrats whose obsession is to enslave me.))
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To: C19fan

Sabotage! LOL!


71 posted on 08/18/2016 5:20:53 PM PDT by Lopeover (2016 Election is about allegiance to the United States!)
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To: All; dontreadthis

This bs was predicted in late July!

Beware The Predictable Polling Onslaught to Paint the Potemkin Village…

The Last Refuge ^ | July 28, 2016 | sundance

Beware The Predictable Polling Onslaught to Paint the Potemkin Village…

The Last Refuge ^ | July 28, 2016 | sundance
Posted on 7/28/2016, 4:36:38 PM by dontreadthis

We are not, repeat NOT, going to exhaust unnecessary energy in the next 10 days to deconstruct the insufferably predictable media-agenda-polls that are looming on the near horizon.

The corporations who have a vested interest in manufacturing the Potemkin village have their collected pollsters armed with fresh paint to create the optics of a “historic” surge in polling upon the conclusion of the Democrat National Party Convention in Philadelphia.

Benjamin Franklin Half a Truth is often a Great Lie

This paint job has been planned for weeks, if not months.

You can count on a manufactured corporate-media pretense to deliver a carefully scripted narrative giving Hillary Clinton a post convention bounce around 10 to 15 points (+/- 3).

What’s coming is so intensely predictable, that if they don’t do it – we’ll actually eat a plain rice cake.

There may be a few scientific polling outcomes that are not connected to the tentacles of the media; we’ll look for those.

However, polling from: CNN/ORC (Turner), ABC (Disney), NBC (Mark Murray), Wall Street Journal (Rupert Murdoch), Monmouth (Patrick Murray), FOX News (Daron Shaw), Reuters, CBS (David Rhodes), and PPP (Happy Liberals), are g-u–a-r-a-n-t-e-e-d to be manufactured for maximum political value. ie. Painting the Potemkin Village.

Fortunately, there’s a decent (and recent) history showing the ideological fail of their best prior efforts. Divergent outcomes including: Matt Bevin (KY), GOP Primary (FL, IN, etc), The Brexit outcome, and the Republican delegate totals etc., the list goes on.

Consequently, amid the new electoral awakening, people are looking more critically, more cynically, at the disconnect between agenda-driven media polls (corporate interests) and the factual real outcomes (people interests).

How can we be so certain the onslaught is about to take place? Good Question.

Take today, as a litmus in a predictive sense. The Pennsylvania polling from Suffolk U is bizarrely disconnected from current reality. Also today, Rasmussen says Clinton leads by 5 points amid “unaffiliated” voters. Keep in mind just last week the same Rasmussen poll had Trump leading by 20 points (44/24), with those SAME unaffiliated voters. Did unaffiliated Rasmussen voters swing 25 points in a week?… of course not. That’s silly. But that’s what they presented today. The week prior to last week it was Trump +11 (43/32) with the same voters.

Conversely, Donald J Trump did not swing 16 or 17 points in his post GOP convention bounce. Attributing such pro-Trump polling outcomes to reality is just as flawed as accepting the upcoming pro-hillary polling paint job.

Outlining the media corruption in this process is not conspiracy theory, it’s not hiding from reality, it’s not a host of other “things” or “isms” that those with vested political interests might call it. It’s just simply the natural and transparently predictable acceptance that trillions of dollars are at stake in this election, and those massively invested influences have a vested stake in a very particular and specific approach.

And we hate rice cakes

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3454116/posts


72 posted on 08/18/2016 5:24:58 PM PDT by Grampa Dave ((My passion for freedom is stronger than that of the Democrats whose obsession is to enslave me.))
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To: Grampa Dave

thanks for the reminder, gramps
sometimes it gets pretty cold out here.
I think Trump is on a winning general campaign path now.


73 posted on 08/18/2016 5:29:08 PM PDT by dontreadthis (I finally came up with this tagline)
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To: edie1960

The anti-Trump trolls are coming out like rats.


74 posted on 08/18/2016 5:30:51 PM PDT by GilGil
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To: All

An anonymous staffer with the DNC issued this statement today after reading this poll and other DNC paid posters predicting the end of Trump and victory for the glassy eyed stumbling one.

“We have looked at our paid posters polling data and have determined the race is already over.”

Hillary Clinton has an insurmountable lead and will win the Presidency in landslide fashion”!

“We therefore see no reason to continue campaigning, giving Hillary a lot of time to rest and prepare for her 2 terms as President of the United States. Her relentless campaigning up until now has proved fruitful. Let Trump have his rallies with thousands of people. We don’t care. We will win. Trump is the Republican version of Bernie Sanders. He can have his thousands. It’s a lost cause”!

“We also urge Donald Trump to release his complete medical records for scrutiny. Hillary has been extremely transparent on this issue and we call for Mr. Trump to return the favor”!

Developing...

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3460133/posts


75 posted on 08/18/2016 5:36:46 PM PDT by Grampa Dave ((My passion for freedom is stronger than that of the Democrats whose obsession is to enslave me.))
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To: dontreadthis

Your post of the Sundance warning was very predictive about what is happening across the nation with the rat whores pretending to be legit pollsters.

Thanks for posting it.


76 posted on 08/18/2016 5:40:56 PM PDT by Grampa Dave ((My passion for freedom is stronger than that of the Democrats whose obsession is to enslave me.))
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To: JPJones

Say, how did Trump do in Florida again, over favorite sun and Tea Party favorite, Foam Boi?


77 posted on 08/18/2016 5:47:00 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: Bullish
Hopefully the Trump campaign knows where their weaknesses are and will make the effort and spending to correct them. Everything from here on out depends on a smart, efficient campaign. He should stay away from the insults and focus more on the issues likely voters care about.

Don’t get me wrong, he should still go after Obama and Clinton with both barrels and everything he’s got, he should just keep it more civil and substantive. Don’t give the enemy more ammo to portray him as an exploding loose cannon.

Excellent advice - and Trump's only hope.

78 posted on 08/18/2016 5:49:50 PM PDT by tjd1454
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To: grey_whiskers

“Say, how did Trump do in Florida again, over favorite sun and Tea Party favorite, Foam Boi?”

Against all expectations and polls, he won in a landslide.

Anyone or any website that gives FL to Hillary, discredits itself.


79 posted on 08/18/2016 5:54:49 PM PDT by JPJones ( You can't help the working class by paying the non-working class.)
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To: Bullish
Hopefully the Trump campaign knows where their weaknesses are and will make the effort and spending to correct them. Everything from here on out depends on a smart, efficient campaign. He should stay away from the insults and focus more on the issues likely voters care about.

Don’t get me wrong, he should still go after Obama and Clinton with both barrels and everything he’s got, he should just keep it more civil and substantive. Don’t give the enemy more ammo to portray him as an exploding loose cannon.

Excellent advice - and Trump's only hope.

80 posted on 08/18/2016 6:09:43 PM PDT by tjd1454
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