Posted on 08/07/2016 10:02:21 AM PDT by BigEdLB
Tight races in two Southwestern states and wide margin in Virginia show how 2016 could continue to be an election of surprises.
Hillary Clinton holds a narrow two-point edge over Donald Trump in Nevada, earning 43% against Trumps 41% among likely voters in a swing state George W. Bush and Barack Obama both won twice.
In Arizona, which has only voted Democratic once since 1948, its Donald Trump with the slim lead, topping Clinton 44% to 42%.
But Clinton could be headed for a relative blow-out in Virginia, where she leads Trump 49% to 37%. In 2008 Obama turned Virginia blue for the first time since 1964 and repeated the feat in 2012, when his victory margin in the Old Dominion mirrored his 3.9 point national lead almost exactly.
(Excerpt) Read more at today.yougov.com ...
Look at the internals on the pdf links. Compare to Gallup’s survey he does every year of Party ID. This goes beyond incompetent. They actually oversampled AZ R’s by 2
You nailed it.
With so many people getting gov’t checks, the Democrats probably have a majority. The only reason they have to cheat is because a lot of their supporters are too lazy to vote.
I’m here in AZ, and have been close to AZ for years.
Every election they say AZ is “close.” Never is.
Bad demgraphics except AZ where Trump is slightly ahead
Demographics are going to become a bigger and bigger problem for Republicans getting the President with each 4 years that passes. I am not sure what the answer is but the party is doomed if we lose this election. I don’t think we will ever see another Republican President in at least 40 years.
If we could just have honest elections and keep the Democrats from cheating, the minority of us who are conservatives might outvote the Democrats who bother to legally vote.
You said the same thing in 2012. I think instead of putting our heads in the sand, we need to be aware of reality of things. I was ignorant like you were in 2012 and was 100 percent shocked we lost the election. I won’t and don’t want to be dumb again like we were in 2012. I remember bragging on election day on Facebook that we have this in the bag.........after announcing Obama was reelected, I had to eat crow and I upset some of my classmate from HS because I had them pretty psyched about Romney winning. We cannot be idiots....sorry I just don’t agree with your post at all.
If we could just have honest elections and keep the Democrats from cheating,
The President on national TV said that the Republicans will not cheat nor will the Democrats. He is such a tool.
And the demographics in this country haven’t gotten any better since 2012.
He’s like Claude Rains in “Casablanca,” pretending to be shocked at allegations of vote fraud, while the stolen election victories are delivered to him.
I don’t disagree on your point. The major contention with the 2012 polls was that they were overstating Dem turnout.
That seems to be the contention now. Serious question - not baiting or arguing - do you think the internal sampling of the polls is to be taken seriously this time around?
Democrats are in charge of the voting machines and the vote count in Virginia
Unfortunately, if the fraud is as rampant as it appears it s going to be, there may be violence if the winner (Hillary) is put there by fraud... Not a threat, just a deep concern. If Virginia is an issue, then there has to be a court order for paper ballots because of the integrity of the machines.
Got that right! Seems the whole of Northern VA is government workers or those who feed off the government contracts. Lib City. Along with some of the University towns and the Norfolk area.
NBC just showed their poll during a commercial break from the Olympic games ....showcasing Clinton 50/ trump 42...I guarantee you that if Trump was leading on that poll the @$$holes would not have shown it during prime time ! They are throwing everything they can to discourage trump voters ! These are plain and simple and on fair dirty tricks! I think I hate them more than I did last night! I wish trump would run a few ads during prime time calling out the media and showing them clapping for the beast during her press conference...NOW THAT would be so awesome! I am so sick and tired of feeling defeated, no matter how much we try we always seem to get the short end of the stick!
Oops..gotta proof read next time ...meant to say “unfair dirty tricks!”
Go look at a red/blue election map. Northern Virginia and a few college towns like Chatlottsville and Richmond, all went blue. Unfortunate as it is those areas also are densely populated.
The rest of Virginians are basically disenfranchised.
I’m afraid it’s happening in NC too, only slower.
I understand why you post them. However, for some reason, it discourages so many Trump supporters - some don’t understand the internals.
Do you happen to know which Rooney/Garland film this photo is from? They did quite a few together.
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