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Clinton's convention bounce is officially over. Noticeable downward trend on her numbers. Trump has been about 44-45 for the past week. It's a 7 day mover so still some noise from the Khan Con, but the ship has been steadied if it was ever encountering stormy seas at all.
1 posted on 08/06/2016 6:54:02 AM PDT by usafa92
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To: usafa92

... Love me my Donald Trump -— he is my guy.


2 posted on 08/06/2016 7:00:43 AM PDT by nightmarewhileawake
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To: usafa92

Clinton doesn’t even have to campaign. The media reports nothing on her.

I see stories about Trump from the campaign all the time. Hillary doesn’t even need to say anything because the media is willing her into office.


3 posted on 08/06/2016 7:01:05 AM PDT by boycott (--s)
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To: LS; Catsrus; HarleyLady27; Jane Long; entropy12; I Hired Craig Livingstone; SamAdams76; ...

FYI


4 posted on 08/06/2016 7:04:24 AM PDT by usafa92 (Trump 2016 - Destroying the GOPe while Making America Great Again!)
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To: usafa92

... Obama looks like a skeleton, his head looks like a skull with eyebrows.
... Hillary looks like she just dragged herself out of her bed and is sleep walking around in her pajamas.


7 posted on 08/06/2016 7:08:44 AM PDT by nightmarewhileawake
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To: usafa92

I agree, the big bounce is over. USC’s Dorm’s Life has always shown Trump higher than other polls, but now it is trending our way.

Sounds like the latest obituary on Trump was again premature.


8 posted on 08/06/2016 7:08:45 AM PDT by BobL (A vote for anyone but Trump is a vote that HELPS HILLARY. Think about it.)
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To: usafa92

Ah yes, Mr. Khan. The ALT media outted him. The Sharia loving Constitution waiving crackpot. The pay for play Muslim lawyer. The Clinton stooge who when he leaves the Convention keeps opening his big mouth. Starts burning his bridges calling Ryan and McConnell cowards. We’ll MSM, behold your stooge.


11 posted on 08/06/2016 7:14:50 AM PDT by Lent
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To: usafa92

This is good, as it’s rolling I was bracing myself for Clinton to expand its (I can’t call it ‘her’, she’s barely human) lead in this poll. Time for Trump to continue attacking her and promoting his message and smash her back down. If Trump legitimately is getting anywhere close to 30% of the black vote (NC poll) the win will be an embarrassment and repudiation of epic proportions.


12 posted on 08/06/2016 7:16:29 AM PDT by Mjreagan
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To: usafa92

Good news. What do you know about the methodology used in this poll?


14 posted on 08/06/2016 7:21:35 AM PDT by tatown (#Cheatin' Ted - A 'principled' conservative)
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To: usafa92

Good, I think the craziness is over for now.


16 posted on 08/06/2016 7:26:51 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: usafa92

Either the bounce is over or the press is worried about even their polls being outed.


17 posted on 08/06/2016 7:27:23 AM PDT by Kenny
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To: usafa92

Dems to be in meltdown mode after their convention and more than a week of negative barrage on Trump has eventually vanished, albeit quicker than one would have thought. The debates will bury Clinton and Trump will win in a historic landslide. in 2016 it is no country for establishment types...


18 posted on 08/06/2016 7:28:55 AM PDT by Hotlanta Mike ('You can avoid reality, but you can't avoid the consequences of avoiding reality.")
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To: usafa92

With everything, including several kitchen sinks, the media/Dems/GOPestablishment have been throwing at Trump this week, it is astounding that Clinton’s post-convention bounce has evaporated, considering the typical over-polling of Dems in such polls.


20 posted on 08/06/2016 7:29:41 AM PDT by TomGuy
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To: usafa92
Here is the Daybreak Bias Corrected USC-Dornsife Poll. This poll is corrected for a 1.3% bias (in the opinion of daybreak.com) in the actual USC poll. Scroll down the page a bit to get to the "corrected" USC version. I like it better. Trump is up .7%.

I'm still of the opinion that the USC-Dornsife Poll is the best we have in terms of bias. Take a look at Daybreak's take on the many phony polls that we have been seeing lately. It's an eye-opener but will be no real surprise to Freepers.

Bottom Line: We have a Trump-Hillary tie at this point in the race. I think that is good because Hillary has had her best shot and now faces 3 Trump-Hillary debates and Wikileaks and DONALD TRUMP. She should be toast in a month or two.


27 posted on 08/06/2016 7:44:35 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you should have endorsed. Big mistake.)
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To: usafa92

If Trump can avoid being distracted and attacking any irrelavent losers until the election, I think he can win it.


33 posted on 08/06/2016 8:22:50 AM PDT by MNDude (God is not a Republican, but Satan is certainly a Democrat.)
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To: usafa92

As of yesterday, Reuter’s Ipsos only showed Clinton with a 2.4 point lead. On Monday it was 8 points.


37 posted on 08/06/2016 8:32:27 AM PDT by techno
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To: usafa92

What nobody is talking about, and they eventually will be, is “The Enthusiasm Factor.”

So called “likely voters” are, at best, taken as percentages from (usually) the 2012 election. That will absolutely not apply for two reasons.

First, Trump supporters (such as myself) will crawl across broken glass to vote for him. I’ll go door to door knocking and giving rides to anyone with Trump enthusiasm to get them to the polls. And I ain’t alone. I changed my registration from independent to pubbie just to vote for Trump.

Second, other than the msm, NOBODY likes Hillary. Everyone voting for her will reluctantly go holding their nose. (Or coerced, but that’s normal—won’t skew the true likely voter %).

Look at their respective rallies. Compare and contrast the total primary voters for each party with 2012 estimates.

It will become (reluctantly) a familiar phrase: “The Enthusiasm Gap.” I would guess multiply 2012 % by 1.3 for Trump, and 0.8 for Hillary. But there are pollsters out there who can do a creative adjustment based on reality if they try. Maybe ask “one a 1-10 scale, how likely are you to vote?” or, “If they charged $ to vote, how much would you pay?” or something...

Hillary’s enthusiasm multiplier won’t go up much from where it is now. She has to open her mouth more eventually, and as Rush points out so brilliantly, every time she does, her polls go down.

Trump’s enthusiasm multiplier, on the other hand, will fluctuate but it is real and positive. The msm and turncoat pubs are doing what they can to kill Trump’s enthusiasm multiplier. That’s all they can do to stop him, and they are pulling out all stops.


41 posted on 08/06/2016 8:42:28 AM PDT by Basket_of_Deplorables (Boy did I pick the wrong freeper name. This time. lol.)
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To: usafa92

BTW, there is an error in the Longroom polling charts: they say “7/1” but it’s clear they are “8/1”

Don’t see any individual adjusted charts for anything past 8/3.


48 posted on 08/06/2016 9:39:09 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: usafa92

What the heck happened to that huge 15 point kick in the ass she got from the Khan Man’s SNL skit at the convention and the DNC turds in the national DNC “media”?


49 posted on 08/06/2016 9:41:23 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Let's Make Our Government and Founding Documents Great Again!)
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To: usafa92

The rough patch is over and we’re off to the biggest landslide in our lifetimes.


50 posted on 08/06/2016 9:48:19 AM PDT by Rockitz (This is NOT rocket science - Follow the money and you'll find the truth.)
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To: usafa92

Trump is up a tad from yesterday. If the trend continues he will ahead in a couple of days.


51 posted on 08/06/2016 9:54:37 AM PDT by Parley Baer (")
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