Good news. What do you know about the methodology used in this poll?
Methodology
I went looking and couldn’t find much. Iirc, they require you to join to go deeper. They didn’t say you’d get access to the internals. I assume that is included.
I don’t trust polls that don’t reveal internals. Too easy to turn on one candidate or another when it is politically helpful.
They use the same subgroup, so long as they are participating, and circle back to them once a week. Each day has a sample size of somewhere between 300-400 people. Right now, the sample size is at about 2,200ish.
Apparently the folks at 538 claim they based their sample on the Obama/Romney race by asking who they voted for in that election, using the 51/47 breakdown for Obama/Romney in that race.
Of course the left-leaning hacks at 538 question that methodology.