Posted on 08/06/2016 6:54:02 AM PDT by usafa92
No article just the link.
(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...
She can’t get their if 95% of blacks go out and cast their vote. It’s over but the crying for the dems, and they know it...
2016 Election Analysis: Trump Will Defeat Clinton in Landslide
https://the-politik.com/2016/08/04/trump_will_win_landslide/
That being, "when do the friggin' ads begin?!?"
This daily anti-Trump/pro-HRC drumbeat in the media is taking its toll, I'm sure.
Both are now tied to each other in all the corruption and scandals...nothing Obama can do or say to save her bid for the presidency and save his legacy, however pathetic it is.
The most despicable act was to have a sitting president in a news conference with a foreign leader make a statement calling the opponent’s candidate unfit for office. That coming from the man who has lied to Americans almost as much as Hillary and Bill Clinton...
Plus he galvanized his surrogates to go out and hit Hillary and Obama hard...
I'm still of the opinion that the USC-Dornsife Poll is the best we have in terms of bias. Take a look at Daybreak's take on the many phony polls that we have been seeing lately. It's an eye-opener but will be no real surprise to Freepers.
Bottom Line: We have a Trump-Hillary tie at this point in the race. I think that is good because Hillary has had her best shot and now faces 3 Trump-Hillary debates and Wikileaks and DONALD TRUMP. She should be toast in a month or two.
Methodology
I went looking and couldn’t find much. Iirc, they require you to join to go deeper. They didn’t say you’d get access to the internals. I assume that is included.
I don’t trust polls that don’t reveal internals. Too easy to turn on one candidate or another when it is politically helpful.
Patience my friend. It's early August.
This is the exact same team which developed RAND in 2012 and correctly predicted the 2012 election based on their own polling + panelists, so until events dictate otherwise I am going to error on the side of trusting their methods. Although I do wish they would account for the other candidates and publish the “Other” or not voting options.
http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-usc-daybreak-poll-methodology-20160714-snap-story.html
It's the same methodology as the Rand Poll that was #4 in 2012. It's innovative methodology, but since Gallup was so bad in 2012 that they gave up polling presidential elections, "something" new is needed in the wireless era. Is this "it"? We will see, "in the fullness of time".
If Trump can avoid being distracted and attacking any irrelavent losers until the election, I think he can win it.
Use but don’t trust
Anything produced by a major public university in the realm of social outlook should be held at arm’s length. jmho
The Ronald Reagan dictum: “Trust but verify.” They have made it difficult if not possible to verify, ergo, don’t trust.
They use the same subgroup, so long as they are participating, and circle back to them once a week. Each day has a sample size of somewhere between 300-400 people. Right now, the sample size is at about 2,200ish.
Apparently the folks at 538 claim they based their sample on the Obama/Romney race by asking who they voted for in that election, using the 51/47 breakdown for Obama/Romney in that race.
Of course the left-leaning hacks at 538 question that methodology.
It’s nice to be told how they get their numbers but they don’t show their demographics, weightings, etc. Without that it’s not possible to evaluate any agendas, questions, etc.
As of yesterday, Reuter’s Ipsos only showed Clinton with a 2.4 point lead. On Monday it was 8 points.
Disgusting! With the Khan business and Obama’s big mouth, the MSM full court press, they thought they had DT on the ropes? lol.
https://alpdata.rand.org/?page=election2012
It is still the people who developed RAND that are running it, just rebranded for the Times. And their final numbers for 2012 were Obama 49.5%, Romney 46.1%j, within .5 of the final spread.
If anything I would think that methodology would favor Clinton but who know.
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