Not familiar with this poll, but I do assume Trump is up about 5 generally at this state of the race, and I am hard pressed, other than some sort of self inflicted wound, to see how Trump’s lead will not continue to slowly grow through November.
I fully expect Trump to finish with an 8-10 point lead, but unlike the 2008 finish Obama got with that lead, you will see a far, far larger EC difference, as Trump makes major inroads into deep blue segments of the country.
You’ll get the admission that Trump is in great shape when you start seeing ads or hearing Democrats start touting about voting “a straight Democrat ticket.” They will know Hillary is toxic but try the final trick to get Democrats to vote for her.
This business with polling is so stupid. I can’t believe what we are hearing.
We are hearing that major news organizations have changed the methodology of how they compile their polls, and that they have done this to show Hillary is ahead.
Doesn’t manipulating the numbers defeat the whole purpose of polls in the first place?
You could produce a poll tomorrow that shows Hillary ahead 90% to 10%, if it’s done based on bad data. It would be absurd, but the media could produce such a poll.
The purpose of polling is not supposed to be to push certain candidates. But the liberals who run our media apparently can’t resist the idea.
I think post DNC it’s closer-—2 points Trump lead. But I also expect much of that will vanish as Cankles voters have to try to maintain enthusiasm.
The key number is 65m. That will win it, easily. Zero got 66m in 2012, Minion 61. No way Cankles gets much over 60m.