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Brexit poll sees 10-point 'leave' lead two weeks before vote (Britain likely to quit EU)
Chicago Tribune ^ | 06-11-2016 | Robert Hutton

Posted on 06/11/2016 9:48:21 AM PDT by NRx

The campaign for Britain to leave the European Union took a 10 percentage-point lead in a poll published late Friday, less than two weeks before the country votes in a referendum. The pound dropped.

The survey of 2,000 people by ORB for the Independent newspaper found 55 percent in favor of a so-called Brexit, up 4 points since a previous poll in April, with 45 percent for "Remain," down 4 points. It's the biggest "Leave" lead recorded by ORB in polls for the newspaper. The pound was 1.4 percent lower at $1.4256 at 7:24 p.m. in London.

It's the latest online poll to suggest an advance for the "Leave" campaign, while a YouGov survey published Monday put "Remain" narrowly ahead. Polling companies themselves have expressed doubt about the reliability of their surveys, having failed to forecast the result of last year's British general election.

Prime Minister David Cameron, in comments before the ORB survey's release, urged the public to ignore polls.

(Excerpt) Read more at chicagotribune.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Germany; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: borisjohnson; brexit; brixit; churchill; europeanunion; france; germany; kenyan; kenyanbornmuzzie; london; nato; nigelfarage; notlegallybinding; obama; sirwinstonchurcill; trump; ukip; unitedkingdom; winstonchurchill
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

61 posted on 06/11/2016 6:39:22 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (I'll tell you what's wrong with society -- no one drinks from the skulls of their enemies anymore.)
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To: PAR35; miss marmelstein; NRx

This doesn’t necessarily follow Brexit. The UK border controls in Calais have nothing to do with the EU - they’re a bilateral arrangement between Britain and France. All UK-bound travellers have to pass through them, all EU citizens included. This is because the UK has never been part of the Schengen open-border zone. So none of this would need to change after Brexit, unless one of the two parties decides that it should. (In the case of France not,of course, improbable.)


62 posted on 06/12/2016 5:22:43 AM PDT by Winniesboy
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To: Winniesboy

Then why are we reading - from people as well informed as you - that Britain, without the EU, will be overrun with the Calais refugees? I’m not taking a stand in this, it’s none of my business, but that is what is being said by people I know who live in GB. Admittedly, most of these folks are against Brexit.


63 posted on 06/12/2016 5:53:14 AM PDT by miss marmelstein (Richard the Third: With my own people alone I should like to drive away the Muslims)
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To: miss marmelstein

The only explanation I can give is that your informants believe France will abrogate the bilateral agreement in a huff if Britain leaves the EU. Perhaps so, perhaps not.


64 posted on 06/12/2016 12:13:31 PM PDT by Winniesboy
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To: Winniesboy

Good enough.


65 posted on 06/12/2016 12:24:26 PM PDT by miss marmelstein (Richard the Third: With my own people alone I should like to drive away the Muslims)
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