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First Read: Cruz and allies have five days to stop Trump
MSNBC ^ | 28 Apr 2016 | Chuck Todd, Mark Murray and Carrie Dann

Posted on 04/28/2016 8:35:24 AM PDT by mandaladon

Cruz and allies have five days to stop Trump

When Ted Cruz unveiled Carly Fiorina as his running mate on Wednesday, and when he struck that alliance/truce with John Kasich on Sunday night, they were from a position of weakness – not strength. The reason: If Cruz and the “Stop Trump” movement don’t win in Indiana on May 3, they’re done. It’s that simple. After Trump ran the table in Tuesday’s primaries, including getting at least 35 of the 54 Pennsylvania unbound delegates (and that number could go above 40), a win in Indiana – even by a single point – would put him on a glide path to 1,237 delegates. So those are the big stakes for next week’s primary in the Hoosier State. But you have to give the Cruz campaign credit: Given that must-win situation, they’re trying every trick in the book (early VP pick, alliance) to win. But when you throw that “Hail Mary” and the pass falls incomplete, the game is usually over.

How Trump can get shut out of Indiana but still get to 1,237

But here’s the thing: Even if Trump gets shut out in Indiana, he still has a viable path to 1,237. Trump is currently sitting at 991 delegates after Tuesday. Now consider the following contests:

Indiana: 0/57 Nebraska: 0/36 West Virginia: 34/34 Oregon: 14/28 Washington: 22/44 California: 120/172 Montana: 0/27 New Jersey: 51/51 New Mexico: 10/24 South Dakota: 0/29

So if you add up those numbers with Trump’s current delegate haul, you get 1,242 – five more delegates than the 1,237 he needs for a majority on the first ballot. Here’s the current delegate math:

Trump holds a 427-delegate lead over Cruz

(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Indiana
KEYWORDS: 2016gopprimary; elections; gameover; trump
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Cruz is running out of ammo...
1 posted on 04/28/2016 8:35:25 AM PDT by mandaladon
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To: mandaladon
 photo 132_zpst4kamqaz.gif
2 posted on 04/28/2016 8:37:02 AM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee.)
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To: mandaladon
Maybe the biggest reason why Trump’s path to 1,237 is so viable – even if he doesn’t win Indiana – is because he dominated the fight for Pennsylvania’s 54 unbound delegates after his 35-point win in the Keystone State. “NBC News reached out to all 54 delegate winners after the polls closed Tuesday night. Interviews reveal that as of Wednesday afternoon 35 said they intend to support Trump on the first ballot at the convention – a number that could rise north of 40 when the final ten delegates are reached. Trump’s delegate haul is an impressive feat for the candidate who has largely ignored the convoluted and intricate delegate process.”........................Hasta la vista baby!!!
3 posted on 04/28/2016 8:37:02 AM PDT by mandaladon (Suppose you were an idiot, and suppose you were a member of Congress; but I repeat myself. Mark Twai)
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To: mandaladon

It was over since Super Tuesday. This is just the GOPe running hail mary defense plays against Trump.


4 posted on 04/28/2016 8:38:44 AM PDT by Trumpinator ("Are you Batman?" the boy asked. "I am Batman," Trump said.)
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To: mandaladon

Five days left? I think that’s pretty generous given their goose is already cooked.


5 posted on 04/28/2016 8:38:57 AM PDT by orangeTank
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To: mandaladon

Cruz just now was introducing Carly saying how qualified she is to bring back jobs. Then to top it off he said “look I know everyone is frustrated by politicians”

Bwahahahahaha


6 posted on 04/28/2016 8:43:03 AM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: mandaladon

They had 5 states to stop Trump and they lost everyone of them, badly!-)

Go Trump Go!


7 posted on 04/28/2016 8:43:08 AM PDT by Harpotoo
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To: Trumpinator

This is just the GOPe running hail mary defense

That’s Funny, I see Cruz picking Fiorina as a way to LOSE GRACEFULLY and still keep face.


8 posted on 04/28/2016 8:43:28 AM PDT by eyeamok
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To: mandaladon

GAME OVER

INSERT COIN


9 posted on 04/28/2016 8:43:46 AM PDT by thoughtomator
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To: mandaladon
Last night I was banned from the National Review website, apparently because some Cruz supporters called me a "troll." My crime was to suggest - and not in a "har-de-har-har" way - that Cruz's dismal showing on Tuesday virtually ended his campaign. I am not a Trump supporter, and tended to prefer Cruz.

But some people are so hyper-sensitive, so emotionally unstable, that they can't tolerate any negative comment at all about their candidates. The fact that NR let's these people police their website is appalling.
10 posted on 04/28/2016 8:44:47 AM PDT by Steve_Seattle ("Above all, shake your bum at Burton.")
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To: eyeamok

When people declare a VP ticket ahead of time before they need to - or declare they are running and will only serve one term, etc - those are old fashioned desperation gimmicks of a losing campaign.


11 posted on 04/28/2016 8:45:12 AM PDT by Trumpinator ("Are you Batman?" the boy asked. "I am Batman," Trump said.)
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To: Trumpinator

Trump is almost at 1,000 delegates, McCain got 145 out of CA alone, Trump should get at least that and NJ is another 50.
That means Trump starts with 1200 before we factor in NM, OR and Indiana.

In Indiana before the 5 landslide victory past Tuesday, Trump was up 5 percent. So, I think he gets a bump from the huge victory, and Cruz getting 0 zero delegates that night.

Then there is the Bobby Knight campaign endorsement and the rallies Coach Knight is doing with Trump yesterday and today.

Also, Trump is getting rave reviews from Newt and others on his Foreign Policy speech yesterday.

I expect Trump will have a double digit lead by the end of the weekend.

One thing that Carly added is that Cruz was big for a 500 percent H1B visa increase, then flipped flopped and Carly was a very big proponent of H1B too. This won’t help him in California.


12 posted on 04/28/2016 8:46:56 AM PDT by Zenjitsuman (Y)
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To: mandaladon

Ted won’t leave the stage... like a failing Gong Show contestant... time for the hook to drag his crazy arse offstage.


13 posted on 04/28/2016 8:47:18 AM PDT by Lexington Green (Why isn't Hillary in jail?)
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To: mandaladon

1) Trump may end up with all but one or two of PA’s 54
2) He will get far more than 120 in CA. I’m hearing 140-150.


14 posted on 04/28/2016 8:47:34 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Nifster

The largest donation to the Fiorina super PAC — close to $1.6 million — came from Jerry Perenchio, the former CEO of Univision and national finance co-chairman for John McCain’s 2008 presidential campaign with deep ties to California.” http://www.cnn.com/2015/07/31/politics/carly-fiorina-super-pac/

Someone sent me this? did you guys know this?


15 posted on 04/28/2016 8:48:03 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Steve_Seattle

You have to know by now that NR/NRO is the biggest “neverTrump” troll site ever invented. Jonah Goldberg, Jim Geraghty, all they do is write anti-Trump stuff five times a day . . . each.


16 posted on 04/28/2016 8:49:06 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: mandaladon

That is good to know.


17 posted on 04/28/2016 8:49:17 AM PDT by Rusty0604
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To: Zenjitsuman

Check this out (someone sent me this):

The largest donation to the Fiorina super PAC — close to $1.6 million — came from Jerry Perenchio, the former CEO of Univision and national finance co-chairman for John McCain’s 2008 presidential campaign with deep ties to California.” http://www.cnn.com/2015/07/31/politics/carly-fiorina-super-pac/


18 posted on 04/28/2016 8:49:42 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Steve_Seattle
Last night I was banned from the National Review website, apparently because some Cruz supporters called me a "troll." My crime was to suggest - and not in a "har-de-har-har" way - that Cruz's dismal showing on Tuesday virtually ended his campaign. I am not a Trump supporter, and tended to prefer Cruz.

But some people are so hyper-sensitive, so emotionally unstable, that they can't tolerate any negative comment at all about their candidates. The fact that NR let's these people police their website is appalling.

---------

I suggest you were not banned for being a troll an d upsetting any one's feelings - you were banned for telling the truth and the National Review is looking to weed out anyone who seems "defeatist" even of their guys are losing. The National Interest came out against Trump on behalf of the Republican establishment and is doing work against Trump including preventing people from mentioning reality or banning people for deviating against their message.

19 posted on 04/28/2016 8:50:27 AM PDT by Trumpinator ("Are you Batman?" the boy asked. "I am Batman," Trump said.)
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To: LS

Intersting


20 posted on 04/28/2016 8:51:17 AM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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