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Trump: 82% Chance of Winning Indiana
538 ^ | 4/23/2016 | Nate Silver

Posted on 04/23/2016 7:19:43 AM PDT by usafa92

Just the link to 538

(Excerpt) Read more at projects.fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Indiana
KEYWORDS: 51atlink; 51percentchance; carrier; cruz; polls; trump
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To: thoughtomator
>And until William Randolph Hearst kicked off the war on drugs, that was the common belief in the country. When alcohol was illegal, cocaine was a common component of soft drinks (hence Coca-Cola).

The war on drugs isn't what people think it is. Nixon kicked it off because liberal judges in the 60s and 70s made it almost impossible to convict criminals. So Nixon created a series of crimes based on drug possession since it's easy to prove a crime like that. And since most criminals also use drugs it became easy to lock up the robbers, rapists, and other scum on drug charges. It was a very important tool in reducing crime and cops generally only used it against harden criminals while they left otherwise law abiding users alone.

However, thanks to the Clinton/Bush administrations grants where given to law enforcement for every drug bust. So the war on drugs went from being a proxy war on crime, to be an actual war on drug users. And cops soon realized that going after the otherwise law abiding drug users was much a much safer way to collect their federal grant overtime money than going after actual hardened criminals. Thus like most things it does, the federal government corrupted the drug war into the mess it is today.

81 posted on 04/23/2016 10:00:53 AM PDT by RedWulf ((Trump supporter))
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To: JBW1949

Alcohol is LEGAL
Cocaine is ILLEGAL

Note the difference???????


and there was a time in the first half of the 20th century when

Alcohol was ILLEGAL
Cocaine was LEGAL


82 posted on 04/23/2016 10:03:50 AM PDT by tophat9000 (King G(OP)eorge III has no idea why the Americans are in rebellion... teach him why)
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To: usafa92

Trump: 82% Chance of Winning Indiana

Thanks for the info.

I’ll see what I can do to change the %.


83 posted on 04/23/2016 10:06:37 AM PDT by Kegger
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To: tophat9000

That doesn’t exist today...


84 posted on 04/23/2016 10:06:56 AM PDT by JBW1949
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To: thoughtomator

“I have seen countless people destroyed by alcohol and very few destroyed by cocaine” “You are stuck in the past”

I have seen hundreds either by alone or in combination. I have seen and I’m not stuck in the past..I’m from Boston, so naturally he came to mind. My guess is that we have been in much different environments and I have been able to see things that you haven’t.

But that’s not a reason to give you a pass. You thinking is dangerous and the ironic part is that you probably wouldn’t use it even if it was legal, but people would die because of your view.


85 posted on 04/23/2016 10:10:40 AM PDT by MaxistheBest
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To: thoughtomator

So, in your opinion, if raping a young girl makes YOU happy (in your “pursuit of happiness”), it is entirely OK????


86 posted on 04/23/2016 10:12:06 AM PDT by JBW1949
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To: NYRepublican72

Are the unbound delegates really going to go with a guy who can’t win open elections, which is what the nominee will face in November?


87 posted on 04/23/2016 10:12:26 AM PDT by EDINVA
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To: dynoman

I tried to watch this and after 30 seconds I had to turn it off. It was worse than watching Obama. OMG, no wonder he is losing.


88 posted on 04/23/2016 10:20:28 AM PDT by faucetman (Iowa)
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To: JBW1949

That’s a violation of another person’s liberty as well as a ridiculous strawman argument.


89 posted on 04/23/2016 10:29:02 AM PDT by thoughtomator
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To: JBW1949
So you make you judgment of the right or wrong of something based on the law of the moment?

Marijuana was illegal, now it's legal in many states
Abortion was illegal now it's legal
Gay marriage was illegal, now it's legal
Types of Gun and they're carry are illegal in some area legal in others

Do you have no opinion on laws that run counter to the law of the time?.... I don't say break the law but you can offer an opinion of the law cant you?

90 posted on 04/23/2016 10:29:26 AM PDT by tophat9000 (King G(OP)eorge III has no idea why the Americans are in rebellion... teach him why)
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To: iontheball
Cruz can’t make 1237.

What if Trump can't make 1237 either?

91 posted on 04/23/2016 10:30:35 AM PDT by Hoodat (Article 4, Sec. 4)
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To: GilGil

Did the NY Times really publish that? It would be funny considering how they endorsed Obama. Twice.


92 posted on 04/23/2016 10:32:16 AM PDT by Hoodat (Article 4, Sec. 4)
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To: MaxistheBest

I spent my youth in the heart of New York City. I guarantee that I’ve seen everything you have and at least ten times more.

It has been proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that the legal status of drugs has no effect on the amount of drug use. Places like the Netherlands where drugs are legal have no more drug use than anywhere else. When Portugal legalized, drug use actually went down (due to the elimination of the “forbidden fruit” incentive).

All drug laws do is increase taxes, the power of government, and crime. The black market always fills in where legal markets are forbidden.

And you are correct that I wouldn’t use these drugs if they were legal. I haven’t had so much as a bottle of aspirin in my medicine-less cabinet in my entire adult life. I think you will find that likewise, removing prohibitions will not cause anyone to use drugs who would not seek them out under current conditions as well.

You like taxes, big government, and a loss of freedom, then the drug war is for you. It is not for me. I do not arrogate to myself the right to tell another human being how to pursue happiness, as long as they do not violate the liberty of others in said pursuit.


93 posted on 04/23/2016 10:33:49 AM PDT by thoughtomator
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To: tophat9000

You can always offer your “opinion” of a law, but that doesn’t change the law, does it?

You obey the laws in your area/state/country or you break them and are subject to punishment...

That’s the bottom line....


94 posted on 04/23/2016 10:34:15 AM PDT by JBW1949
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To: JBW1949

How did that go in the original German?


95 posted on 04/23/2016 10:35:45 AM PDT by thoughtomator
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To: Hoodat

What if Trump can’t make 1237 either
______________________________
Yes, but at least he still retains a chance to make it.


96 posted on 04/23/2016 10:37:47 AM PDT by iontheball
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To: dowcaet

Think they’ll take into consideration how many active candidates there were at the time?


97 posted on 04/23/2016 10:44:13 AM PDT by John W (Under One Year And Counting!)
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To: thoughtomator

The phrase, “All Men are Created Equal”, emanates from the Declaration of Independence not the US Constitution, and was written largely by Jefferson, who while a great man, wrote a political, not a governing document.
A core Conservative Principle, derived from of the ageless wisdom of the Natural Law, asserts that difference and variety are the drivers of creativity and innovation which are the critical attributes necessary for the ongoing development and growth of culture/society. As such equality and sameness, products of an egalitarian nostrum; another pernicious secular heresy from the French; is rejected.
All men, never were nor ever will be, equal. The unique greatness of Pericles, Aristotle, Julius Caesar, Cicero, Shakespeare, Galileo, Michelangelo, Mozart; among thousands,
is mute testament to that reality.


98 posted on 04/23/2016 10:46:45 AM PDT by Arrian
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To: usafa92

I see the FR contingent of the Democrat Party is still as enthusiastic as ever about Trump. It is really quite something to behold to see otherwise intelligent people be so thoroughly bedazzled and mesmerized by an obvious con artist.


99 posted on 04/23/2016 10:49:05 AM PDT by Ajnin
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To: thoughtomator

“I guarantee that I’ve seen everything you have and at least ten times more.”

You have seen ten times more? How do know that? We are both from large cities. I have heard all the arguments and studies. You use data from other countries; different societies and different morals.

“I haven’t had so much as a bottle of aspirin in my medicine-less cabinet in my entire adult life”

That tells me one thing. There is no way you could have seen first hand what you say you have. You’re exaggerating for sure. You sound like a drive-by intellectual.


100 posted on 04/23/2016 10:49:54 AM PDT by MaxistheBest
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