Posted on 04/22/2016 8:51:58 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
A poll of likely New Hampshire voters conducted by WMUR and the University of New Hampshire finds Hillary Clinton with big double-digit leads over both Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in head-to-head general election matchups. A press release for the poll reads:
If the 2016 presidential election was held today and the candidates were Clinton and Trump, 50% of likely New Hampshire voters say they would vote for Clinton, 31% would vote for Trump, 15% would support another candidate and 4% are undecided. Clinton does better among Democrats (83% to 4%) than Trump does among Republicans (68% to 13%), while Independents are divided (33% for Clinton and 31% for Trump). Support among men for Trump has dissipated in recent months as men currently favor Clinton 42% to 40% while Clinton leads 57% to 23% among women. Support for Trump has decreased 8 percentage points since February.
If the candidates were Clinton and Cruz, 48% of likely New Hampshire voters say they would vote for Clinton, 34% would vote for Cruz, 15% would support another candidate and 3% are undecided. Clinton leads among Democrats 83% to 4%, Cruz leads 71% to 7% among Republicans and Independents lean towards Cruz by 42% to 32%. Similar to her matchup against Trump, Clinton essentially tied among men (42% to 39%) but leads by double digits among women (53% to 29%). A Cruz – Clinton race has stayed steady since February.
So Trump loses by 19 points while Cruz loses by fourteen. Both results are well outside the 3.9% margin of error. The only GOP candidate who beats Clinton in a matchup is Kasich. He wins with 50% to 36% for Clinton.
Matchups with Sanders as the Democratic nominee have similar results except that Cruz loses by 31 points (61-30) while Trump loses by 27 (58-31). Finally, Sanders beats Kasich narrowly by 50% to 44 percent.
The results of all of these matchups seem to boil down to net favorability (as they always seem to do). The poll found Sanders and Kasich are the only remaining candidates with net positive favorability while Trump, Cruz and Clinton are all in net negative territory. This graph from the press release shows the favorability (in blue) for each candidate as well as the unfavorable numbers (in red):
The poll did identify one thing that both parties agree on: Nearly 80% of Democrats and just over 90% of Republicans say the political climate is worse than it was 20 years ago:
Cruz isn’t going to be the nominee for one, and I don’t like him because he doesn’t have a Country to belong to, he doesn’t have Canada, the U.S. or Cuba...and I will never vote for Clinton...
How did that turn out?
It turned out with President Romney ending his first term this year ;)
I suspect Trump is aware of the polls and his high negative ratings and I also suspect he believes them in private
RE: Cruz isn’t going to be the nominee for one
That wasn’t my question. I asked a hypothetical — if it were Cruz vs Clinton, why would you not vote for Cruz.
RE: I don’t like him because he doesn’t have a Country to belong to, he doesn’t have Canada, the U.S. or Cuba..
Explain to me why he is not American. He holds a US passport. So why does he not have a country to belong to?
and as I said, he is not ‘Natural Born Citizen’ and he removed his citizenship from Canada, and he doesn’t belong to Cuba, he isn’t legal to vote for...
Have you seen his passport, or did you just hear he had one...if his records are sealed, how do you know that isn’t just another lie?
Bears repeating:
THE...CAMPAIGN...HAS...NOT...EVEN...BEGUN!
RE: Have you seen his passport, or did you just hear he had one...if his records are sealed, how do you know that isn’t just another lie?
I have not seen his passport, but the same question can be asked of you-— how do you know that he did not use his US passport to travel overseas?
Simple deduction will tell us...
Since He renounced his Canadian Citizenship, Cruz has traveled overseas and came back — Poland, Ukrain, Estonia as part of his job as SENATOR and member of the Senate Armed Services Committee.
See here:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2014/05/29/sen-ted-cruz-goes-abroad/
So, how do you travel overseas as Senator of the United States without using your American passport?
Common Sense is not so common I guess.
“If you don’t like the news or believe it is crap, tell us why.”
Because it’s irrelevant. Might as well poll the cheese molecules on the moon as another Cankles vs Trump at this time. We are still in the PRIMARY SEASON. Not the GENERAL ELECTION SEASON.
And you & other Cruz supporters have been posting this crap for months now. I just wonder if you think you are actually changing anyone’s minds by doing the same thing day after day especially since Cruz is mathematically eliminated come next Tuesday.
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Special Issuance Passport
You Are Eligible for a Special Issuance Passport Book Only If:
You are an officer or employee of the U.S. Government, traveling abroad for the U.S. Government.
You are the dependent of someone traveling abroad for the U.S. Government, and will accompany them on their assignment.
You are exempt by law from payment of the passport fee.
You have a letter from the American Battle Monuments Commission stating that you are traveling overseas in honor of a deceased family member in the U.S. Armed Forces.
Yeah I guess common sense is the answer to any question people try to get around...
He makes me laugh.
“Why is the truth so damned painful to you people?”
What “truth’? It’s the primary season. Trump could be up in these meaningless polls & it still would be meaningless. Until late September Cankles vs Trump polls are just more $$$ in the pockets of pollsters.
Don't forget the doubtless inadvertent (but wholly irresistible) entertainment value afforded by this classic moment in live television:
;)
If this poll had shown Trump ahead vs behind, it’d be ballyhooed as the paragon of credibility.
this is called
“manufacture a trend no matter what”
The media is protecting Hillary by isolating just NH.
They did the same thing in 1980.
” I predict Cruz will drop out before the convention.”
And I predict Hillary will become incapacitated or die before the convention!
Trumpkins believe Donald will beat Hillary in NY.
Not by me. Take care. Peace :)
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