Posted on 04/22/2016 8:51:58 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
A poll of likely New Hampshire voters conducted by WMUR and the University of New Hampshire finds Hillary Clinton with big double-digit leads over both Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in head-to-head general election matchups. A press release for the poll reads:
If the 2016 presidential election was held today and the candidates were Clinton and Trump, 50% of likely New Hampshire voters say they would vote for Clinton, 31% would vote for Trump, 15% would support another candidate and 4% are undecided. Clinton does better among Democrats (83% to 4%) than Trump does among Republicans (68% to 13%), while Independents are divided (33% for Clinton and 31% for Trump). Support among men for Trump has dissipated in recent months as men currently favor Clinton 42% to 40% while Clinton leads 57% to 23% among women. Support for Trump has decreased 8 percentage points since February.
If the candidates were Clinton and Cruz, 48% of likely New Hampshire voters say they would vote for Clinton, 34% would vote for Cruz, 15% would support another candidate and 3% are undecided. Clinton leads among Democrats 83% to 4%, Cruz leads 71% to 7% among Republicans and Independents lean towards Cruz by 42% to 32%. Similar to her matchup against Trump, Clinton essentially tied among men (42% to 39%) but leads by double digits among women (53% to 29%). A Cruz – Clinton race has stayed steady since February.
So Trump loses by 19 points while Cruz loses by fourteen. Both results are well outside the 3.9% margin of error. The only GOP candidate who beats Clinton in a matchup is Kasich. He wins with 50% to 36% for Clinton.
Matchups with Sanders as the Democratic nominee have similar results except that Cruz loses by 31 points (61-30) while Trump loses by 27 (58-31). Finally, Sanders beats Kasich narrowly by 50% to 44 percent.
The results of all of these matchups seem to boil down to net favorability (as they always seem to do). The poll found Sanders and Kasich are the only remaining candidates with net positive favorability while Trump, Cruz and Clinton are all in net negative territory. This graph from the press release shows the favorability (in blue) for each candidate as well as the unfavorable numbers (in red):
The poll did identify one thing that both parties agree on: Nearly 80% of Democrats and just over 90% of Republicans say the political climate is worse than it was 20 years ago:
What an asinine poll!!!
The general campaign hasn’t even started yet...ROFL...
Are people in New Hampshire this stupid or are they just saying they love Hillary Clinton..... NO one can be this stupid!!!!!!
Oh well, they need to drop out.
The purpose of propaganda is to demoralize the enemy.
And the Cubs lose the 2016 World Series!
Trump hasn’t even started on Crooked Hillary yet.
Maybe FR needs a new section for “Breaking BS Predictions of Future Events”
So W carried NH in 2000, just 16 years ago. I wonder what happened since then?
Just like Reagan was supposed to lose to Carter by 20 points
New Hampshire has gone to the Dems in 4 out of 5 of the last Presidential elections. I don’t think we should get too worked up about which Republican they like the least or most. We’ll probably just have to win without those 4 electoral votes.
This is news?
If ANYONE thinks that a GOP candidate is going to do well in any of the Northeast states, they are deluding themselves. Even Trump with all of his bluster about New York. In the end, New York won’t be voting for Trump, Cruz, or Jesus.
You keep posting the anti-Trump clap-trap & these useless general election polling numbers.
At this point do you actually think you are changing minds with this crap?
The liberal ministates of the NE are long lost for GOPers in presidential elections. Like CA and NY, milk them for fundraising and supporting downticket races, but trying to compete there is a waste of time and money.
Why is the truth so damned painful to you people?
RE: You keep posting the anti-Trump clap-trap & these useless general election polling numbers.
I am a Cruz supporter. Look at the title and tell me if this is just an anti-Trump claptrap as you call it.
If you don’t like the news or believe it is crap, tell us why. Don’t try to attack people for posting something that is news.
It's not random chance that Sodom went completely Homo.
Yeah - I predict Cruz will drop out before the convention.
But Ted says he is the only one who can beat Clinton?????
Sometimes i get the feeling like he is not always telling us the truth?
They both lost to Sanders.
At this point in time, POLLS are meaningless in that POLLS are reflections of MEDIA opinions (AKA news) 24/7.
Shove the poll up...
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