On the first round bound delegates have to vote for the person they are bound to and can not jump ship. So if Trump gets 1237 bound delegates he will win, even if Priebus dearly wishes otherwise.
But people with more authority to talk of the process than I have, seem to think 1200 or even as few as 1100 would be enough for Trump to make up the difference on the first vote by finding unbound delegates to support him.
I am not sure which estimate is more realistic of the 1100 or 1200, but they all seem to agree that 1200 would be enough, and that 37 unbound would be easy to swing.
You don't get it ... do you? You know... it's not a felony if a bound delegate votes for someone else. It's not even a misdemeanor. It has happened before. Even electoral college electors have voted in opposition to the way they were "bound" to vote.
I can't believe that so many smart people here don't fully understand what is coming....
If someone attacked you the way Trump has attacked them... and you could deny them the nomination... wouldn't you do it? Of course you would... and of course they will.
That is not strictly true for all states.
Some of the states have unbound delegates.