Posted on 04/09/2016 7:37:35 AM PDT by mandaladon
(Reuters) - A third of Republican voters who support Donald Trump could turn their backs on their party in November's presidential election if he is denied the nomination in a contested convention, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll.
The results are bad news for Trump's rivals as well as party elites opposed to the real estate billionaire, suggesting that an alternative Republican nominee for the Nov. 8 presidential race would have a tougher road against the Democrats.
"If it’s a close election, this is devastating news" for the Republicans, said Donald Green, an expert on election turnout at Columbia University.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted March 30 to April 8 asked Trump’s Republican supporters two questions: if Trump wins the most delegates in the primaries but loses the nomination, what would they do on Election Day, and how would it impact their relationship with the Republican Party?
Sixty-six percent said they would vote for the candidate who eventually wins the nomination, while the remaining third were split between a number of alternatives such as not voting, supporting a third-party candidate, and switching parties and voting for the Democratic nominee.
Meanwhile, 58 percent said they would remain with the Republican Party. Another 16 percent said they would leave it, and 26 percent said they did not know what they would do with their registration. The online poll of 468 Republican Trump supporters has a credibility interval of 5.3 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at yahoo.com ...
Source? Besides your arse, I mean?
Exactly!
Yep, funny, as in odd funny,
because look at the way cruuze supporters bash their fellow American Donald Trump.
Yeah, it’s a mess. But I’m pretty sure I’ll be voting against Hillary in November. There is no perfect candidate, but it’s either vote for the rep, or let the dems keep winning the presidency and the Supreme Court.
“So was 2012. How’d that work out?”
No, 2012 didn’t work out well at all. So, why are we trying to recreate 2012 again?
CB, thanks for pointing out the chaos in Iowa.
Dan, thanks for describing how it went in Kansas.
Caucuses can be orderly or not; it’s the ones that are not which are anathema....
“Just like 2012. Want to win or want another also-ran? The GOP establishment seems determined to make 2016 another also-ran election.”
The GOP primary voters seem to be doing a rather good job of it themselves. I also blame the candidates. Cut the name calling. Quit accusing each other of nefarious conspiracies. Tell me how you’re going to beat Hillary if you want my support.
When did it become unwinnable?
Only a third would walk? I bet it would be more.
“Yep. We’re doomed no matter what. The Democrats are hobbled with Hillary as their standard-bearer and in an election when practically anyone should’ve been able to soundly wallop her, we’ve managed to rally behind the only two candidates who can’t.”
I also blame the candidates. I’m fed up with both of them. They need to stop the childish name-calling. Stop accusing each other of playing unfair games. Start telling me how you’re going to win the general election.
You might want to read the polls. Both Hillary and Sanders beat the crap out of both Cruz and Trump.
All this talk of arcane rules for delegates is no more than rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic. The GOPee has lost the benefit of doubt with a sizeable portion of its historical voting base. Those who do not require a color diagram to keep up recognize this. Trump has kept them in the party.
Absent a hostile takeover (Trump) the GOPee is destined for the scrap heap. There's not a lot of basis for historical comparison but I'd guess the GOPee (as is) won't field a presidential candidate in 2028.
All these arcane rules are, as they say, another brick in the wall. And declaring war on Trump? Bad idea. The GOPee is in denial, because what they think they might win will not balance what they will inevitably lose.
IMO, the RATs are headed for the same type of realignment.
NO TRUMP = NO VOTE + NO MONEY EVER! Can I make that any clearer?
I can explain it to you, but I can't help you understand it.
And both would walk if the nomination was jiggered to Ryan.
Oh, the GOP is listening all right. They’re listening to the people who under no circumstances will ever vote to put a buffoon like Trump in the White House, a group of voters who easily matches the group of you who “say” you won’t vote for Cruz even though many of you have often claimed in the past that you were once a supporter of his.
Well, for the record, most GOP voters who would never vote for Trump have never, ever, stated that they have supported him in the past. Big difference. We mean it; many Trump supporters don’t (even if you personally do mean it.)
You are forgetting the model that the college scientist/professor put out that has NEVER been wrong. It has predicted the election without fail since it’s invention. Has Trump wiping the slate with Clinton.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.